moneypitmike Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 On 10/29/2017 at 8:43 PM, bobbutts said: Would be quite an event for Sagadahoc county if it gets anywhere close to that. I'm still holding a few undeveloped acres there, hopefully there isn't too much tree damage. Expand where about? My place there is on a little point, sitting on rocks about 20' above the water with open lines for about 1.5 miles to the SE. I anticipate it'll be a tad breezy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Hey this storm is a bust. Where's my wind and rain.J/k.Sent from my XT1254 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 HRRR says Cape, Islands... Hammered. That's not a meh wind event there. Whoa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 On 10/29/2017 at 8:51 PM, sbos_wx said: HRRR says Cape, Islands... Hammered. That's not a meh wind event there. Whoa.Any numbers wind wise? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 On 10/29/2017 at 8:44 PM, weathafella said: Remember that’s km/hour, not mph of knots Expand The 103 in Maine is mph. Not sure if you're referencing that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 On 10/29/2017 at 8:52 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Expand I think if MHT hits 62 that BOS will be blown off the map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 On 10/29/2017 at 8:51 PM, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Any numbers wind wise? Expand That second "low" seems to keep ticking west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 On 10/29/2017 at 8:51 PM, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Any numbers wind wise? Expand I mean, it has that Philippe remnant low rip across ACK into Mid Cape with gusts to 90 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 The latest HRRR runs for gusts don't seem anything huge? Am I missing something? HRRR is much windier on westerly flow tomorrow from 8am onward in SNE than it is tonight. 1am Gusts 2am Gusts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Here is what I expect: http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2017/10/major-rain-wind-on-tap-for-eastern-mass.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 On 10/29/2017 at 8:55 PM, sbos_wx said: I mean, it has that Philippe remnant low rip across ACK into Mid Cape with gusts to 90 mph. I could understand the Euro model overestimating severe wind gusts due to its over amplification of the storm center bias, but for multiple layers of models including the progressive bias of the GFS shows high severe winds than I'm inclined to agree with the Euro on the potential severity of the wind situation, power outages and power pole failure seems probable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 3am 4am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 On 10/29/2017 at 8:57 PM, powderfreak said: The latest HRRR runs for gusts don't seem anything huge? Am I missing something? HRRR is much windier on westerly flow tomorrow from 8am onward in SNE than it is tonight. 1am Gusts 2am Gusts Expand If you're referring to me I'm watching that pocket of wind due south of BOS moving toward the Cape, when I reference 90mph gusts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 On 10/29/2017 at 8:16 PM, WinterWolf said: What's that showing us..kind of hard to make out? Expand Showing 925mb winds exceeding 100 knots which will pass over the Cape. Considering this is like 2500’ off the ground that’s insane. Won’t take much to mix some of that down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 8am is when it really rips though... 8am through 12pm is best winds on the HRRR. Look at CNY...highest wind gusts of the whole HRRR runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 On 10/29/2017 at 8:58 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Here is what I expect: http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2017/10/major-rain-wind-on-tap-for-eastern-mass.html Expand That's pretty reasonable, I like it. There's gonna be a wild wind gust or two down on the Cape. If today was Saturday, I'd be en route to Dennisport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 On 10/29/2017 at 8:58 PM, sbos_wx said: If you're referring to me I'm watching that pocket of wind due south of BOS moving toward the Cape, when I reference 90mph gusts. Expand No not referencing you. The best winds on the HRRR are only the small area east of that meso-low. Aside from that, only the downslope mountain zones are shown to gust over 40kts until the wind goes westerly. Its odd... like 50% of the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 On 10/29/2017 at 8:52 PM, dendrite said: The 103 in Maine is mph. Not sure if you're referencing that. Expand I was referencing what I thought mpm posted but too many weenies in this thread posting the most extreme maps with the biggest weenie bias for me to be sure...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 On 10/29/2017 at 8:58 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Here is what I expect: http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2017/10/major-rain-wind-on-tap-for-eastern-mass.html Expand Just a friendly observation.. you need to come up with a new way to convey the map. Those lines and arrows are very difficult to read and ascertain. It’s very convuluted and confusing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 On 10/29/2017 at 8:50 PM, moneypitmike said: where about? My place there is on a little point, sitting on rocks about 20' above the water with open lines for about 1.5 miles to the SE. I anticipate it'll be a tad breezy. Expand Woolwich about 3/4 mi from Hockomock bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 On 10/29/2017 at 8:58 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Here is what I expect: http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2017/10/major-rain-wind-on-tap-for-eastern-mass.html Expand Helpful, Ray--thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 On 10/29/2017 at 9:00 PM, powderfreak said: No not referencing you. The best winds on the HRRR are only the small area east of that meso-low. Aside from that, only the downslope mountain zones are shown to gust over 40kts until the wind goes westerly. Its odd... like 50% of the Euro. Expand Toss that 10m crap. CT is already gusting to those levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 On 10/29/2017 at 9:02 PM, bobbutts said: Woolwich about 3/4 mi from Hockomock bay. Expand Nice--I'm straight across from Day's Ferry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 lol the HRRR has DDH/Bennington with the highest surface winds overnight of anywhere outside of SE Mass and up the Maine coast. Hopefully that poster backedgeapproaching has a generator. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 On 10/29/2017 at 9:11 PM, dendrite said: Toss that 10m crap. CT is already gusting to those levels. Expand Winds have steadily increased last 2 hours. Couple gusts into the 30’s now 60.1/60 .66 in bucket Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 On 10/29/2017 at 9:11 PM, dendrite said: Toss that 10m crap. CT is already gusting to those levels. Expand Ahhh I thought that was what all those wind gust maps were? IJD is at like 5-9mph and BDL into the low teens it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Wow severe threat could maximize severe wind threat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 On 10/29/2017 at 9:12 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Winds have steadily increased last 2 hours. Couple gusts into the 30’s now 60.1/60 .66 in bucket Expand Nice you're already gusting higher than GON/WST. You'll do well then in Tolland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 I think tonight's winds have a chance to destroy my anemometer on my parents roof, it's been there since I was 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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