Hoosier Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 Breaking news: it's 50 at South Bend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 16 hours ago, Hoosier said: Tomorrow seems like a candidate to overperform. Pretty good southwest flow and mainly sunny skies around here. Also most of the leaves are down so it's almost like one of those late winter/early spring days that gets warmer than expected with the lack of vegetation. Most raw 2m guidance has highs in the 40s (MOS a bit warmer) but I'm thinking we can get to 50+. Your forecast was spot on. Definite overperformer. NWS has been forecasting 45°-46° for today for several days. Current temps: FWA - 49° SBN - 50° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 Sunset this evening in Findlay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 GFS was over amped at this range for the last system so I'll wait a few more days to get excited about a bomb low. This one is showing up notably farther west with the low pressures though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 Thanks for posting that gorgeous sunset, I was just outside admiring a similar colorful sunset here in the Indpls metro area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 Made it to 52 at ORD, which ties for the highest temp so far this month. If that seems abnormally cool for the highest November temp, it is. Chicago has only had 12 Novembers in which the highest temp failed to reach 60, and almost all of them except one (1997) happened 50+ years ago. Friday should surpass 52, but prospects for a 60 degree day this month are a bit uncertain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted November 21, 2017 Share Posted November 21, 2017 1 hour ago, harrisale said: GFS was over amped at this range for the last system so I'll wait a few more days to get excited about a bomb low. This one is showing up notably farther west with the low pressures though. Completely gone on the 18Z run, lmao. F the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmillzz Posted November 21, 2017 Share Posted November 21, 2017 1 hour ago, CheeselandSkies said: Completely gone on the 18Z run, lmao. F the GFS. How does it go from this to this in just one run? What's wrong with these models? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 21, 2017 Share Posted November 21, 2017 216 hours, big flip flops aren't that unusual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted November 21, 2017 Share Posted November 21, 2017 Cold, brisk November night tonight in downtown Findlay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted November 21, 2017 Share Posted November 21, 2017 Fell asleep at 8 last night and the temp was 32 degrees, woke up at 330 and it was 37... now down to 26 (and falling) with wind and snow showers courtesy of the low cranking ne of Superior. Wind chill is 17... good day to stay inside by the fire. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted November 21, 2017 Share Posted November 21, 2017 Nice overachiever yesterday, now have some ice pellets mixed in with rain this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted November 21, 2017 Share Posted November 21, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted November 21, 2017 Share Posted November 21, 2017 The Dakotas have dropped up to 36 degrees in the last 24 hours. It looks like the Ohio River has warmed up about 10 degrees in the past 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted November 21, 2017 Share Posted November 21, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 21, 2017 Share Posted November 21, 2017 Had a little sleet this morning before the band of precip departed. 2nd time that it's sleeted already this season lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 High of 49 today with some sun felt real nice compared to a snowy weekend. Rain moved in around 6:00pm but has since let up. Pattern doesn't really look good for much more snow until into December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 Rain/snow mix here currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 11 hours ago, (((Will))) said: Drove all the way from Calumet to just outside of Detroit today for Thanksgiving family stuff... It is so warm down here. Had snow the whole way from Calumet to Negaunee...then the sun came out and there was grass all the way to around Munising when the snow started again. Snowed from there all the way through Germfask and Blaney Park...then flurries up till the Mackinac Bridge...and from then on it was like I was back in September/October. It was 18 degrees in Calumet and 35 in whatever towns are south of the bridge. Insane. There were even leaves left on the trees...dead leaves...but they were still on the trees. Most snow I saw was pretty much in Calumet, though the areas between Herman and Lake Michigamme were pretty close...pretty much the areas 1,400-1,500 feet in elevation. I miss the UP. Everywhere south of Saginaw is depressing and there are so many people. Yesterday was our warmest day since November 5th fyi. The leaves fell late but the only trees left with any dead leaves are oaks and pear trees. For someone who likes isolation yes there's too many people south of Saginaw. I LOVE visiting the remote areas of the UP but I wouldn't want to live there. As for it being 18 above the bridge and 35 below it, you know fronts were in progress. Sw winds brought us our warmest day in 2.5 wks ahead of a cold front. And i doubt highs in the upper 40s to low 50s is september weather in calumet. This IS a weather board lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 3 inches from yesterdays lake effect. Temp was in the teens and snowing/blowing all afternoon. Winter is here for good... although 43 on Friday will be pleasant. I understand a little where Will is coming from. I have a Cousin downstate and one in N Indiana. I dread visiting anymore. I know that sounds awful, but after 5 years in the woods where red lights don't exist, paved roads are a luxury, and there isn't swarms of people and cars and lights, it is a bit overwhelming visiting, and I can't wait for the trip back north. I like the area in Michigan from Houghton Lake on north and especially Gaylord/Charlevoix area to the tip of the mitt, but crossing the bridge into the UP is like a gateway to another country... Things are different, life is different, there isn't this mass consumption type atmosphere and mentality... quiet and slow and peaceful is a rule. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 Might as well start a December thread. Rest of November.....ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 Early next week could have a pretty stout warm pulse out ahead of the system tracking through the northern tier/Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 Looking more at the setup for Friday, I think there's a decent shot at 60 at ORD. Warmer thermal profiles than Monday (925 mb temps of 10-11C) and clouds really shouldn't be an issue for most of the day. Out west toward cyclone and hawkeye, they should get deep into the 60s. Friday's record at MLI is 66. That might get approached. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 I wasn't implying that there's nothing to follow, but temperature forecasts aren't that exciting this time of year. I want the first hint of real winter weather for those of us not in Northern MI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 27 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Looking more at the setup for Friday, I think there's a decent shot at 60 at ORD. Warmer thermal profiles than Monday (925 mb temps of 10-11C) and clouds really shouldn't be an issue for most of the day. Out west toward cyclone and hawkeye, they should get deep into the 60s. Friday's record at MLI is 66. That might get approached. NAM is particularly offensive. It's like it doesn't know how to mix with plenty of sun and strong S/SW flow. Likely widespread 7-10 degrees underdone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 3 minutes ago, IWXwx said: I wasn't implying that there's nothing to follow, but temperature forecasts aren't that exciting this time of year. I want the first hint of real winter weather for those of us not in Northern MI. Well, we had/have the cold, but not the snow. Sort of sucks but not that unusual to "waste" the cold in Nov. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 7 hours ago, weatherbo said: 3 inches from yesterdays lake effect. Temp was in the teens and snowing/blowing all afternoon. Winter is here for good... although 43 on Friday will be pleasant. I understand a little where Will is coming from. I have a Cousin downstate and one in N Indiana. I dread visiting anymore. I know that sounds awful, but after 5 years in the woods where red lights don't exist, paved roads are a luxury, and there isn't swarms of people and cars and lights, it is a bit overwhelming visiting, and I can't wait for the trip back north. I like the area in Michigan from Houghton Lake on north and especially Gaylord/Charlevoix area to the tip of the mitt, but crossing the bridge into the UP is like a gateway to another country... Things are different, life is different, there isn't this mass consumption type atmosphere and mentality... quiet and slow and peaceful is a rule. This is soooooo what I long for. Southern Michiganders are SOOOOO impatient and so caught up in their own little fast-paced worlds. I can't wait to live somewhere with like-minded people as me, who like to stop, take a deep breath, and enjoy the beautiful creation. Some day hopefully...in the next couple years... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 Light LES flurries off NW flow through the day today added a nice touch to some chilly conditions. 5th day this month with flakes flying which seems higher in my memory than recent Novembers. Snow Log so far (sorry for metric): 2017-2018 First flakes: Oct 31 (LES) Event // Season Total Nov 5: 1.0cm // 1.0cm Nov 9-10: 2.0cm // 3.0cm Nov 18: 0.0cm // 3.0cm (wrap around from a rainy system... no accumulation, above zero at surface) Nov 19: 1.0cm // 4.0cm (LES, some +SN moments) Nov 22: DAB // 4.0cm (Light LES flurries) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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