October 29-30th Intense Storm From Tropics Discussions & Observations

[donsutherland1]

Three photos from this afternoon, one of which includes a Monarch that is trying to ride out the storm.

[Drz1111]

NAM has that funny meso / ex-Philippe low swinging up over CC, and that's why it has the crazy winds there.  If that's spurious the highest winds will be a bit lower and further west, more toward Block Island.

[nesussxwx]

huge blob of rain about to move into the area 

https://radblast.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/radar/WUNIDS_map?station=DIX&brand=wui&num=6&delay=15&type=N0R&frame=0&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&showstorms=0&mapx=400&mapy=240&centerx=400&centery=240&transx=0&transy=0&showlabels=1&severe=0&rainsnow=0&lightning=0&smooth=0&rand=25155161&lat=0&lon=0&label=you

[stockmanjr]

NHC just issued their last advisory on 

Philippe. Already merged with the front per the 5pm

[bluewave]

5 minutes ago, stockmanjr said:

NHC just issued their last advisory on 

Philippe. Already merged with the front per the 5pm

Made the expected energy contribution to the new system near OBX.

Much of the latent heat and deep convection associated with
Philippe's remnants will likely be drawn into a larger extratropical
low pressure that is developing near the outer banks of North
Carolina, aiding in that intensification process.

[Rtd208]

There have been numerous flooding reports already but I think we may really start to have some flood issues with the large area of moderate to heavy rain moving in from the south/southeast.

[jm1220]

7 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Made the expected energy contribution to the new system near OBX.

Much of the latent heat and deep convection associated with
Philippe's remnants will likely be drawn into a larger extratropical
low pressure that is developing near the outer banks of North
Carolina, aiding in that intensification process.

Reminds me of a Noreaster that developed off NC from Hurricane Ida in 2009 (I think at the time it was called Nor’Ida). I remember it being pretty bad along the Delmarva and south from there. 

[weathermedic]

Lightning showing up south of Harrisburg PA and way off shore of North Carolina.

[larrye]

1 hour ago, Snowlover11 said:

0.97” here in white plains so far, heavy rain currently.

 

 anyone familiar with the bronx river parkway i just drove past it and they are closing it down at around 3pm

Yep. Typical for it to flood during heavy rains (along with the Saw Mill River Pkway and Hutchison River Parkway).

 

[bluewave]

20 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Reminds me of a Noreaster that developed off NC from Hurricane Ida in 2009 (I think at the time it was called Nor’Ida). I remember it being pretty bad along the Delmarva and south from there. 

The FSU cyclone phase charts are really impressive showing the warm core.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cyclonephase/gfs/fcst/archive/17102912/60.html

[NJwx85]

Up to 1.52" already. Expect to more than double that. The wind was insane inside MetLife Stadium today.

[NJwx85]

Based on current radar trends, 3" should be near the low end on totals.

[Rtd208]

Up to 1.98" of rain so far.

[dmillz25]

2.32" here

[danstorm]

Pushing 2" in Montclair - this area of NE NJ been a mini jackpot this afternoon 

[NycStormChaser]

Flood warning issued for NYC.

[stockmanjr]

EAS just went off on my TV flood warning for the city.

[Rtd208]

Officially over the two inch mark, 2.06"

[Fantom X]

are these rain bands about to come in have the stronger winds that will mix down?

[Rjay]

7 minutes ago, seanick said:

Flood warning issued for NYC.

Most of the metro is now under a flood warning. 

[LIWeatherGuy29]

When will the winds be at their peak?

[Rtd208]

I am glad we are getting some much needed rain and finally some active weather, hopefully it remains active during the winter months.

[MJO812]

Over 2.30" here

[Santa Claus]

Getting shelled in Piscataway.

[snow1]

Just now, Will - Rutgers said:

Getting shelled in Piscataway.

Barely any wind though in pway

[Cfa]

1.51” so far here. This storm might be the biggest rain producer in years when all is said and done. I know my gauge has yet to record over 2 inches in a single storm.

64 degrees, pressure down to 995mb.

[sussexcountyobs]

Finally getting some real rain here in Vernon, NJ. 3/4" in rain gauge. No wind. 61°

[Snowlover11]

up to 1.65” in WP

[SnoSki14]

Winds should hold off until after the low passes through.

[Morris]

Pressure down to 990 mb on the SPC map.