October 29-30th Intense Storm From Tropics Discussions & Observations

[Rjay]

Pam's gem-lam cut back on the wind a little.

[Rtd208]

Absolutely pouring here.

[gravitylover]

Breaking 1" now, steady moderate rain and winds are mid teens with stronger (low 20's) gusts.

[Juliancolton]

The pressure falls are starting to go crazy over central/eastern NC. Seeing a couple 991mb obs.

[SACRUS]

1.27 in the bucket - will likely double that before it ends.  Exceeding totals Sep 7 - Oct 28th her

[Stormlover74]

3 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

1.27 in the bucket - will likely double that before it ends.  Exceeding totals Sep 7 - Oct 28th her

 

You might double that before 6:00

[weathermedic]

Reports of several roads under water in Newark and Jersey City

[MJO812]

20 minutes ago, dmillz25 said:

1.20" here with 40 mph gusts

We are going to get about 3 inches in our area.

[SnoSki14]

Heavy rain now, radar lighting up.

[Rtd208]

Up to 1.13" here.

[sferic]

1.24 inches here varies from light to torrential

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[doncat]

1.90" here. pressure 29.48".

[Metsfan]

1.80'' so far 

[stockmanjr]

High Wind Warning for the city now.

[Stormlover74]

.9" last hour at ewr

[Rtd208]

The radar is lit up, alot more rain headed this way over the next several hours.

[weathermedic]

11 minutes ago, stockmanjr said:

High Wind Warning for the city now.

And also the lower Hudson Valley

[Hoth]

Euro ensembles out yet?

[jm1220]

Lighter rain here so far, since we're missing the heavy band to the west. Should be in heavier stuff soon though. Breezy as well but nothing too bad. 

[sferic]

When does the worst of it pass over NYC? Can rush hour tomm morning be disrupted?

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[MJO812]

Just now, sferic said:

When does the worst of it pass over NYC? Can rush hour tomm morning be disrupted?

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Tonight

[Rtd208]

Just now, sferic said:

When does the worst of it pass over NYC? Can rush hour tomm morning be disrupted?

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The worst of it should be over by then although probably still windy.

[weathermedic]

Area airports gusting to near 30 mph at the 4pm obs. TEB 31

[nesussxwx]

16 minutes ago, stockmanjr said:

High Wind Warning for the city now.

Only an advisory for EWR. Weird.

[SleetStormNJ]

3 minutes ago, Rtd208 said:

The radar is lit up, alot more rain headed this way over the next several hours.

Yup.  Radar is really robust all the way down to Virginia and NC and look at all the returns offshore.  Could easily see our area approach 4 maybe even 5 inches.

[jm1220]

HRRR is taking the low really far west, basically along the Delaware River. Has gusts over 60 along the entire NJ Shore and LI/NYC. 

[hudsonvalley21]

4 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

HRRR is taking the low really far west, basically along the Delaware River. Has gusts over 60 along the entire NJ Shore and LI/NYC. 

That would take those winds up the Hudson River valley. Upton just put up a wind advisory for us folks in Orange County.

[Juliancolton]

Albany keeps nudging my P&C max gusts upwards. Now up to 50 mph tonight.

[jm1220]

6 minutes ago, hudsonvalley21 said:

That would take those winds up the Hudson River valley. Upton just put up a wind advisory for us folks in Orange County.

It’s probably too far west given the other models being near or west of NYC, but it’s close enough now for it to matter. 

[Rjay]

26 minutes ago, Hoth said:

Euro ensembles out yet?

~ AC to Binghamton