CAPE Posted November 15, 2017 Share Posted November 15, 2017 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: That doesn’t bode well for me. Life’s moving at light speed right now. It seems to go by progressively faster with age, beginning about the time you realize the world is bigger than just your neighborhood. It gets "worse" from there, as you start to approach a point where as much (and then more) or your life is behind you than ahead. Ok, back to winter 2009-2010.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted November 15, 2017 Share Posted November 15, 2017 20 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Time moves a lot faster once you have kids. I've noticed this and it's terrifying. I've been out of college now for about 12 years and it seems like those years have passed quickly. I've had a kid now for almost three years and time is just flying. If only there was a way to slow it down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted November 15, 2017 Share Posted November 15, 2017 52 minutes ago, mappy said: Only just saw the DT Aleet on twitter. Guess I should start paying attention to weather again Aleeting is the kiss of death for a storm. Similar to starting a thread too early. We won’t see it show up again until next ThanksgIving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted November 15, 2017 Share Posted November 15, 2017 41 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Time moves a lot faster once you have kids. It does. You have a much greater sense of time because you see it progressing as your kids grow. If you don't have kids, you don't really have that perspective - things just kind of happen around you. Kids provide that focal point that makes it plainly obvious how time moves forward. On topic: I hope my kids see a lot of snow this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 15, 2017 Share Posted November 15, 2017 You folks wait until your kids are out of the house. Talk about time flying......ughhhh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 15, 2017 Share Posted November 15, 2017 Speaking of life comes at you fast...6z GEFS caved to the EPS after thanksgiving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted November 15, 2017 Share Posted November 15, 2017 20 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Speaking of life comes at you fast...6z GEFS caved to the EPS after thanksgiving. Of course it did. The hill only goes down from here. Even on Thanksgiving 850 and 2m departures much warmer than previous runs on the GEFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 15, 2017 Share Posted November 15, 2017 21 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Speaking of life comes at you fast...6z GEFS caved to the EPS after thanksgiving. Still has ridging over Greenland and there's no blue-eyed circle over Alaska, so relaxation seems reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 15, 2017 Share Posted November 15, 2017 17 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Speaking of life comes at you fast...6z GEFS caved to the EPS after thanksgiving. It seems inevitable for the reasons you mentioned yesterday. Although 6z is not bad in the NPAC, its a step back from 0z, and you can almost see rolling it forward how it could pretty quickly go right back to an Aleutian Ridge/GOA trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted November 15, 2017 Share Posted November 15, 2017 33 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: The Panic Room might be off to a fast start after all! If losing a storm on black friday causes mass panic then this place will be ridic all winter. i'm not ready to be all pinkying posts while trying to shop online and eat leftovers when meltdowns happen over day 7+ storms that don't occur. Climo people. Remember what time of year it is and slow your roll Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted November 15, 2017 Share Posted November 15, 2017 17 minutes ago, H2O said: If losing a storm on black friday causes mass panic then this place will be ridic all winter. i'm not ready to be all pinkying posts while trying to shop online and eat leftovers when meltdowns happen over day 7+ storms that don't occur. Climo people. Remember what time of year it is and slow your roll Exactly what you said. If I recall, the last time D.C had 1" of snow in November was in the 90s. I'm hoping this potential warmup sets up for a flip-flop and then we go back into -NAO/-AO for early-mid December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 15, 2017 Share Posted November 15, 2017 I saw the words "after Thanksgiving". That's a long time away. I don't care if it's the GEFS, GEPS. EPS, CBS, MSNBC, HBO. Doesn't matter. Why would anybody panic? Or be excited? Foolishness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted November 15, 2017 Share Posted November 15, 2017 12z GFS seems to be much more in line with the 0z rather than the 6z for next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted November 15, 2017 Share Posted November 15, 2017 Big ol' blob of cold in the Northwest poised to drop down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 15, 2017 Share Posted November 15, 2017 5 minutes ago, Cobalt said: Big ol' blob of cold in the Northwest poised to drop down Look at this consistency! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted November 15, 2017 Share Posted November 15, 2017 The GFS is moving the 2nd cold wave in like a sloth. Barely moves in 2 days Edit: Nevermind, it's moving alright Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted November 15, 2017 Share Posted November 15, 2017 I wouldn't trust the GFS at this range. It goes from 44 degrees on Thanksgiving day to 60 in 1 run. I mean, for all it's worth it could be right. but after being pretty consistent it's consistency has left the building Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 15, 2017 Share Posted November 15, 2017 6 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Look at this consistency! I like it when it does that at about 96 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 15, 2017 Share Posted November 15, 2017 Congrats Houston on Thanksgiving weekend! What a hilarious run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 15, 2017 Share Posted November 15, 2017 Look at that cold in the plains at 264 on the GFS... Crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted November 15, 2017 Share Posted November 15, 2017 Recap of the 12z GFS: makes the GEM look consistent. Goes from showing torch out Northwest to freezing the entire western 2/3rds of the country, including Texas. I still think it's safe to say that the GFS is out of it's prime range, and it may be better to just put more weight in the ensembles. Last Run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted November 15, 2017 Share Posted November 15, 2017 2 hours ago, WxUSAF said: Speaking of life comes at you fast...6z GEFS caved to the EPS after thanksgiving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted November 15, 2017 Share Posted November 15, 2017 GEFS is warmer for thanksgiving But it is wetter/snowier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted November 15, 2017 Share Posted November 15, 2017 1 hour ago, Cobalt said: I wouldn't trust the GFS at this range. It goes from 44 degrees on Thanksgiving day to 60 in 1 run. I mean, for all it's worth it could be right. but after being pretty consistent it's consistency has left the building Looking at 2m temps at range on the GFS probably isn't the wisest way to utilize the model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted November 15, 2017 Share Posted November 15, 2017 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: Look at this consistency! That's about par for the course for the GFS at range. Euro is much more consistent with its op runs. Gefs has been a rock though. Just glanced back through 29 runs and there has been very little deviation whatsoever. Would slideshow it but am not sure how to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 15, 2017 Share Posted November 15, 2017 2 minutes ago, showmethesnow said: That's about par for the course for the GFS at range. Euro is much more consistent with its op runs. Gefs has been a rock though. Just glanced back through 29 runs and there has been very little deviation whatsoever. Would slideshow it but am not sure how to. Yes, much better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted November 15, 2017 Share Posted November 15, 2017 Just now, WxUSAF said: Yes, much better. Know this is off topic. But how do you get it to slideshow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted November 15, 2017 Share Posted November 15, 2017 Use the Forecast Gif button on the model page, then pick which hours of the run you want it to span Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 15, 2017 Share Posted November 15, 2017 2 minutes ago, showmethesnow said: Know this is off topic. But how do you get it to slideshow? Tropical Tidbits has the "TREND GIF" button and it downloads automatically. Very helpful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted November 15, 2017 Share Posted November 15, 2017 Just now, WxUSAF said: Tropical Tidbits has the "TREND GIF" button and it downloads automatically. Very helpful. Greatly appreciated. Thank you. 1 minute ago, smokeybandit said: Use the Forecast Gif button on the model page, then pick which hours of the run you want it to span I don't have the forums model package just weatherbell. But thank you anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.