Cobalt Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 Just now, C.A.P.E. said: Is it? Looks pretty much the same through 156. Maybe a tad colder. Front seems to come in farther east, lasts a tad shorter, and is warmer in the metro and surrounding areas by about 4-5 degrees. Shouldn't really care about the little details like that this far out. 37 degrees vs 42 degrees are both pretty great for November high standards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 1 minute ago, Cobalt said: GFS coming in warmer all around its not an amazing historic pattern certainly...I assume that was 11/11/87.....its just better than last year...we are all just starved for winter weather and want it now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 End of the GFS is worth staring at for a while. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 48 minutes ago, Cobalt said: GFS coming in warmer all around How bout starts of a touch warmer, then ends rather nicely...? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 6 minutes ago, pasnownut said: How bout starts of a touch warmer, then ends rather nicely...? The run saved itself. Back to scheduled programming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 GEFS has a pretty sweet extent of cold too. The cold anomaly is farther west than last time, which is a good thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 3 minutes ago, Cobalt said: GEFS has a pretty sweet extent of cold too. The cold anomaly is farther west than last time, which is a good thing I was trying to play it cool but your first post about the 12z run caused me to tear up a bit...just one tear but it was there I could feel it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 Just now, BristowWx said: I was trying to play it cool but your first post about the 12z run caused me to tear up a bit...just one tear but it was there I could feel it The run saved itself luckily. As long as we end today and the 0z isn't showing torch for that time, we're golden Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 12z GFS has some leftover snow for everyone on Thanksgiving...really wants to hammer the continued BN temps regionwide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 DT is aleeting: More **ALERT! ** 12Z EURO shows strong short wave in the STJ on 11/23 over North Gulf/ LA/ MS ... Upper Low over eastern Canada and strong -NAO -- strong PJ dumping cold air into eastern US -air mass over NC TN KY (ice) WVA VA MD DEL cold enough for snow-IF Euro is correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 Well, the end of the 12z Euro is an enticing look to say the least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 Euro has a 10/10 improvement. What I'd like to see. *Less* torch in the Northwest by a decent margin, more cold in the East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 4 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: DT is aleeting: More **ALERT! ** 12Z EURO shows strong short wave in the STJ on 11/23 over North Gulf/ LA/ MS ... Upper Low over eastern Canada and strong -NAO -- strong PJ dumping cold air into eastern US -air mass over NC TN KY (ice) WVA VA MD DEL cold enough for snow-IF Euro is correct All aboard the hype train tickets selling fast, trip lasts all winter bring enough clothes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 Canadian actually somewhat agrees with the Euro insofar as it has a deep closed s/w near the Gulf Coast at Day 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 Pretty interesting looking for sure... (Panasonic Version) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 ^Surface temps all of MD, NVA, DE in the mid to upper 20s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 5 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: That high on the Euro is locked in place at 240. Nice confluence from the 50 /50 in the ne. That storm might attack the high verbatim but it's day 10. Cool stuff though. More vort energy trying to dive in from the NW at day 10 as well Nice to see the Euro may be buying into what the GFS/GEFS has been trying to sell us as far as an East coast storm around the 10th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 1 minute ago, C.A.P.E. said: Pretty interesting looking for sure... (Panasonic Version) Dang, that's pretty good 1 week out. Now there's only room for better runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 3 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Looking st h5 it might even be a south mid atlantic storm verbatim It's fun too look at for now. Long way off. If something like that does materialize, given climo, it would likely favor the interior. Fwiw, that is probably snow/sleet falling on the northern fringe in upstate SC into NC verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 Just now, losetoa6 said: It made a nice move that way . Gefs still looking ripe The GEFS was nice to look at but the GFS was a candy run. Had potential sweets all over the place. Not to mention it flipped the NPAC again, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 20 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Canadian actually somewhat agrees with the Euro insofar as it has a deep closed s/w near the Gulf Coast at Day 10. Its still digging/moving SE if you look at 228-240 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 6 minutes ago, showmethesnow said: The GEFS was nice to look at but the GFS was a candy run. Had potential sweets all over the place. Not to mention it flipped the NPAC again, Best part...heading into December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 16 minutes ago, showmethesnow said: Nice to see the Euro may be buying into what the GFS/GEFS has been trying to sell us as far as an East coast storm around the 10th. You mean Thanksgiving or the 24th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 4 hours ago, midatlanticweather said: I just hope it is not perpetually day 10+ I think we need to make T-shirts for that kind of winter that say: "Forever Day 10" lol Hey, we can only go up from last winter, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 2 minutes ago, yoda said: You mean Thanksgiving or the 24th? Sorry, meant the window around day 10 for an E coast storm that the GEFS has been signalling for awhile now. ETA: I guess that is just a little after Thanksgiving, isn't it. God, you get old and you lose track of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 So... who is staying up for the 00z EURO tonight to see if the EURO keeps the threat going? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 21 minutes ago, showmethesnow said: Sorry, meant the window around day 10 for an E coast storm that the GEFS has been signalling for awhile now. Don’t have wxbell, atm. How does the GEFS snow mean change before and after that window? Curious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 2 minutes ago, yoda said: So... who is staying up for the 00z EURO tonight to see if the EURO keeps the threat going? Can only commit to staying up for the 18z GFS. Even that can be a stretch. Unless you can guarantee a “DC Crushed” post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 Just now, yoda said: So... who is staying up for the 00z EURO tonight to see if the EURO keeps the threat going? I did that last night for the GFS. When you have to wake up for school at 6:30, and are dog tired the entire day, it isn't exactly smart. Worth it though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted November 14, 2017 Share Posted November 14, 2017 11 minutes ago, Thanatos_I_Am said: Don’t have wxbell, atm. How does the GEFS snow mean change before and after that window? Curious. Blah snow wise. Takes it from nothing to trace amounts through the cities from day 9 to 11. Precip totals show maybe .3-.4 through that period as well. ETA: Half inch mark is all the way out in the pan handle of MD at day 11. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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