Bostonseminole Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 For the 84 hour NAM??lol well.. things need to happen well before 84hrs.. i really want to see if this start to trend sharper to draw that gulf moisture in.. that should be around 70-80 hrs.. no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Kevin you can make a new thread if you want. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Amazing dynamics to be sure. But the general low moisture / low QPF progs are somewhat disconcerting. Possibly due to the still dominant westerly flow over the west Atlantic, limiting moisture convergence in the storm. Still, I'd think there'd be a decent connection to the Gulf too. Model guidance doesn't underdo QPF too often. Usually the other way around. And no, not really like 93 at all I see -6 SD U winds at the coast and even -4 up north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Perhaps part of the DMA still hemming and hawwing and keeping things close to the vest for now. I really think tomorrow's OP and ensemble runs will help a lot. As of right now I think along and south of I90 in NYS and MA could see some snow..maybe moderate to heavy amts from S'rn Berkshire County south thru the Litchfield Hills and beck west to POU and SWF. I just really see 2 BIG cut-offs with this system 1) those who get measurable snow and those who don't. 2nd cut-off will be in the snow "getters" zone with the potential for quite a gradient from light tots to heavy ones. I really Like the east half of LI thru SE CT and to around BOS for potentially some real heavy amounts and along with a lot of wind. 850 wind anomalies have been hammering ELI and SE New England past several runs with -3 to -3.5 NE-ENE winds so for me confidence is growing for these locales to be in on the party. AS for Christmas in the Bronx haven't done that in over 15 years. Family and friends will be at my place tomorrow night for the Dago Fish Feast on Christmas Eve. Thanks. Bummed you're not more optimistic of NW Mass. I'm trying to be. Alas, it is what it is. Enjoy the company and Merry Christmas! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 23, 2010 Author Share Posted December 23, 2010 What should be obvious to all is the massive hole carved in the atmosphere, I do not understand the fetish with tracking the big L, QPF maps are and will be underdone 8h inflow is as good as it gets. Verbatim this is 93 for us just in a mucho better position. What? 93 snowed down to Georgia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Have you fired up the TANDY for this event? Agree with your thoughts here. Like HFD/ORH/NYC points east. Good thing we're in "Storm" Mode Ryan. LMAO. Yep the OLD HP is melting down on this one hope it survives till Christmas Day when I get my new quad-core system. Which I'll place in my DEN! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Perhaps part of the DMA still hemming and hawwing and keeping things close to the vest for now. I really think tomorrow's OP and ensemble runs will help a lot. As of right now I think along and south of I90 in NYS and MA could see some snow..maybe moderate to heavy amts from S'rn Berkshire County south thru the Litchfield Hills and beck west to POU and SWF. I just really see 2 BIG cut-offs with this system 1) those who get measurable snow and those who don't. 2nd cut-off will be in the snow "getters" zone with the potential for quite a gradient from light tots to heavy ones. I really Like the east half of LI thru SE CT and to around BOS for potentially some real heavy amounts and along with a lot of wind. 850 wind anomalies have been hammering ELI and SE New England past several runs with -3 to -3.5 NE-ENE winds so for me confidence is growing for these locales to be in on the party. AS for Christmas in the Bronx haven't done that in over 15 years. Family and friends will be at my place tomorrow night for the Dago Fish Feast on Christmas Eve. Salute! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Time to start the new thread???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Thanks. Bummed you're not more optimistic of NW Mass. I'm trying to be. Alas, it is what it is. Enjoy the company and Merry Christmas! I'm not negative. Its just too early to commit with any for sure's just yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Perhaps part of the DMA still hemming and hawwing and keeping things close to the vest for now. I really think tomorrow's OP and ensemble runs will help a lot. As of right now I think along and south of I90 in NYS and MA could see some snow..maybe moderate to heavy amts from S'rn Berkshire County south thru the Litchfield Hills and beck west to POU and SWF. I just really see 2 BIG cut-offs with this system 1) those who get measurable snow and those who don't. 2nd cut-off will be in the snow "getters" zone with the potential for quite a gradient from light tots to heavy ones. I really Like the east half of LI thru SE CT and to around BOS for potentially some real heavy amounts and along with a lot of wind. 850 wind anomalies have been hammering ELI and SE New England past several runs with -3 to -3.5 NE-ENE winds so for me confidence is growing for these locales to be in on the party. AS for Christmas in the Bronx haven't done that in over 15 years. Family and friends will be at my place tomorrow night for the Dago Fish Feast on Christmas Eve. The 6 Z has -6 at the coast and -4 Berks , NH, what about PWAT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Good thing we're in "Storm" Mode Ryan. LMAO. Yep the OLD HP is melting down on this one hope it survives till Christmas Day when I get my new quad-core system. Which I'll place in my DEN! lol Hopefully this storm doesn't turn into a dud... I feel good around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Time to start the new thread???? When Kevin starts it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shadow Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 well it thursday everybody all done with their shopping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Haddock?? and 6 other seafood variety but no EEL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 The 6 Z has -6 at the coast and -4 Berks , NH, what about PWAT? how do you get those -6 and -4 #'s? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shadow Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 just looked at the maps looks good put will it stay this way still too far to say how much snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 The key is getting it to occlude at just the right time so it slows just under. That is what the Euro and GFS are hinting at for SNE. It seems within the realm of possibilities to get a bit of a stall or slowdown given that it has been shown on modeling in recent runs. Not uncommon for some of those kinds of features that disappear, to come back at least to soem extent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Kevin you can make a new thread if you want. Let's do this! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 What? 93 snowed down to Georgia You guys totally missed my point, take the 93 type intensity, developed at max to our coast. But from what I see snow in Georgia looks likely anyway but no not93 anywhere but from DXR to Maine. Huge huge atmospheric hole. 965 and below MB against a 1035 or so HP. My bet is that if this is modeled correct it's not your Daddy's Nor'easter. Time to move over to a new thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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