40/70 Benchmark Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 960s in side the benchmark and that's the qpf? would expect double It's more progressive now. This March 2001 all over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 You don't want it much faster than that though....i dont want it involved any earlier...because it will act to keep the trough from really going negative in time...its fine there now, but hopefully it stays there. Maybe I'm wrong though. Didn't a big piece of it drop in early on the Tue 12z run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 more would you need? It's more progrssive now. Both the GFS and Euro give you a significant snow event... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 It's more progressive now. This March 2001 all over. captured and progressive? i thought a capture slows a storm down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Both the GFS and Euro give you a significant snow event... He wont be happy unless it shows 30" for him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 can someone give me a detailed description of where the qpf contours are? thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 sub 960mb in the Gulf of Maine at hr120! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 He wont be happy unless it shows 30" for him. A little bit nuts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 He wont be happy unless it shows 30" for him. Plus the GFS ensembles were surprisingly NW... I think this is looking decent and that is using my realistic pessimism Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 can someone give me a detailed description of where the qpf contours are? thanks Most of the eastern 2/3rds of SNE is over an inch of qpf looking at WSI...it doesn't have outrageous 2" totals though. It would probably be a 12-18" type storm.But qpf is pretty quirky...I wont really care about it until about 48h out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 You don't want it much faster than that though....i dont want it involved any earlier...because it will act to keep the trough from really going negative in time...its fine there now, but hopefully it stays there. Maybe I'm wrong though. Yeah, and it also makes it more progressive. It'd be nice to have it diving south 100 miles further west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 You prefer the NAM like the met in that thread? Fun times there. Maybe this is the run the Ec stops changing but didn't it just have a stalled low 600 miles sw last run? I'll tame the combo of the gfs and Ec ens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Most of the eastern 2/3rds of SNE is over an inch of qpf looking at WSI...it doesn't have outrageous 2" totals though. It would probably be a 12-18" type storm.But qpf is pretty quirky...I wont really care about it until about 48h out. I'd assume I'm somewhere over the .50'' mark? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 A little bit nuts It's relative...we're all sitting on a weather board staring at a model while drooling/getting a noose at 1:30AM. What are we? I agree with Ray way back, progressive scares me. All very nice, and I would sign up for this, but let's keep this thing slow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 He wont be happy unless it shows 30" for him. I made a simple statement of fact that it was more progessive, which is true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 I'd assume I'm somewhere over the .50'' mark? I'm sure you're over 1"... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 I made a simple statement of fact that it was more progessive, which is true. What would have to happen at this juncture to have you any more convinced of a signficant snow event? We have the GFS and Euro on board... I sure as hell wouldnt want the nogaps and ukie on board! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 I'd assume I'm somewhere over the .50'' mark? You about an inch of qpf...maybe just a hair less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 It sounds like the ECM is violently inconsistent. So we still know very little.... Except not much chance of more than a modest event here. I made a simple statement of fact that it was more progessive, which is true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 A little bit nuts Ok, I'm sorry Jay....it stalls until March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 I'd assume I'm somewhere over the .50'' mark? Yes you are, It looked to be .75" all the way back to the NY border......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 A little bit nuts We all stayed up past 1am for a forecast model. We're all a little bit nuts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 As we thought looking like the traditional Nor'easter hyped up, do not believe those QPF totals this screams huge QPF and hurricane gusts, white hurricane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 You about an inch of qpf...maybe just a hair less. Will what does it have for PHL-Nyc....i know you said sv can be a bit clowny with preciep. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 You about an inch of qpf...maybe just a hair less. I'll definitely take that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Most of the eastern 2/3rds of SNE is over an inch of qpf looking at WSI...it doesn't have outrageous 2" totals though. It would probably be a 12-18" type storm.But qpf is pretty quirky...I wont really care about it until about 48h out. Oh only a run of the mill 12-18" storm at 964 mb inside the BM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 What would have to happen at this juncture to have you any more convinced of a signficant snow event? We have the GFS and Euro on board... I sure as hell wouldnt want the nogaps and ukie on board! I made a first call of 3-8" 2 days ago and see no reason to stray from that, yet because the only model that implies more than that is fluctuating radically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 captured and progressive? i thought a capture slows a storm down Not if the upper low is scooting along too. That trough diving down from Quebec picks up the whole system instead of allowing it to cut off for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Will what does it have for PHL-Nyc....i know you said sv can be a bit clowny with preciep. Thanks It looks like philly is around 0.70"...they get pretty good backlash,...NYC is maybe just shy of an inch...LI is easily over an inch. Coastal NJ looks near an inch...esp the southern half around ACY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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