CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 LOL,this is almost too early to see this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2010 Author Share Posted December 22, 2010 Ecstasy is the only way to describe it. Euphoric Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Fooking crushed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 EC v GFS...in reality not immensely different. 5 days out I've never been in/near the bullseye and had it work out so I'll have my bags packed ready to head NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Yup, practically identical to the 00z, and very similar to the 12z, except once again, the upstream ridge screws the interior by cutting this off too soon. Starting to become a theme now. Huge hit for SE New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 If the Euro is right the place to be is New Haven. Awesome coastal flooding... 20" of snow... and 50+ knot winds lol. never good to be in the jackpot this early though still...I was nervous this morning based on some of the overnight trends...but I'm really starting to feel it now! Confidence high on at least a MECS for the region...while the potential for a HECs is slowling building. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 But I wonder if it fringes Berkshire County and ALB... Fooking crushed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Sort of 96-esque. The question is how early it occludes. Remember early runs on 1/96 had the thing occluding too far south... kept inching north with time. Early runs of last season's MA blizzards had the same occlusisons and we waited for them to inch north. And waited. And waited. I know--new year. I'm hoping this can make it a littler further up. Could be fun times for all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Is it able to come north enough to get to VT/Rick/Andy? Brutal SE-NW gradient. There's like 1" QPF at ASH and then like 0.10" for LEB and 0.05" for MPV. All of MA does well although the NW corner is a hair under 1". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Does the heavy snow make it all the way to Portland, ME? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Yup, practically identical to the 00z, and very similar to the 12z, except once again, the upstream ridge screws the interior by cutting this off too soon. Starting to become a theme now. Huge hit for SE New England. So were screwed you think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2010 Author Share Posted December 22, 2010 15-30 south of the pike 12 + north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 This is too good to be true. Wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Alrighty then. QPF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Hvy hvy weenies right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 I wish this were 3-4 days from now. Almost a perfect solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 So were screwed you think? You get 12+ if you're near MHT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 at the rate things are going...we may need another server upgrade before the weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 I wish this were 3-4 days from now. Almost a perfect solution. Yeah exactly. The one thing I hold onto is the fact it has been so consistent. Perhaps we will be able to hang onto something quite close to this solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2010 Author Share Posted December 22, 2010 2- 2.75 inches total qpf from BOS to HFD on that line 1.75 to the NW and down from there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 I have to ask this, how many feet do I get? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Alrighty then. QPF? 1.75+ from west of ORH, most of CT except far NW corner and all or RI. You and I easily 2-2.5 And temps remain cold...no issues this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 I'm starting to see this thing as being so massive in terms of areal coverage that it may not matter if it passes some 100 miles E of ideal - you'd still be close enough to the gravity well to be sucked into the impact envelope (so to speak). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 NYC/Long Island haven't seen a nor'easter produce major coastal flooding AND heavy snow (1 foot+) in a long, long time. The last one may have been Feb 4-7, 1920. NYC/LI were spared major flooding in the blizzard of '78 because it bombed ESE of LI, and winds were mainly from the NNE and N. The March 1993 storm had very strong ENE winds but the storm moved too fast to allow the water to really pile up in LI Sound. In my experience, in order to produce major coastal flooding in NYC and LI, the wind direction generally needs to be ENE or E. The Euro closing so early means major coastal flooding and wind for NYC/S CT on Long Island Sound. Very 92 looking scenario with 1-2 ft of snow even down to the coast lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 I have to ask this, how many feet do I get? As much as you got (and reported so beautifully) in Jan 2005. Get the generator ready. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 I wish this were 3-4 days from now. Almost a perfect solution. That's exactly how I felt yesterday at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 I'd like to see the ensembles tick back close to the benchmark...then I'll feel really good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 I would say you all better hope this occludes further north than Norfolk because I can't recall when SNE got in the bulls eye for snowfall with a low cutting off that far south. It seems like some lucky quirk that the ECM manages to pull heavy snow that far north of the low. I think you need this thing up to at least DE Bay..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 You guys are doing a job on yourselves. Heavy weenie suicide watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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