40/70 Benchmark Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 4:46 AM, weatherwiz said: If the Euro continues to hold serve to what it's been showing that will really begin to open my eyes. It has been very interesting though to see the GFS and now the NAM sort of start trying to trend towards the Euro with respect to digging that trough deeper. GEM and UK blow....the only model\ens mean to give me much over warning criteria is the OP EURO....fact not opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 4:38 AM, ETauntonMA said: Euro needs to hold serve. Nothing more, nothing less. Yes There isn't much room for improvement over the CONUS. Main thing I'm watching for is trying to get that northern Quebec energy further west like the 21/12z Euro. But I think that's a lost cause. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 what's the GGEM show? my site doesn't update for another 20 mins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 4:44 AM, ORH_wxman said: Face value, I'm sure the GFS tries to make it rain for a time there, but we know its biases in 2m temps out there. Great job tonight, Looks like you may have brought good luck to some up here....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 4:47 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: GEM and UK blow....the only model\ens mean to give me much over warning criteria is the OP EURO....fact not opinion. Very true Ray, very True. Snow backing in again now, not sure I've ever seen such a solid shield of pathetic snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 4:44 AM, ORH_wxman said: Face value, I'm sure the GFS tries to make it rain for a time there, but we know its biases in 2m temps out there. yeah the model itself would probably have it briefly 36 or 37F and the precip algorithms might show rain for a time but i think even in nov. that track would be 90% frozen even at CHH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 4:48 AM, Boston-winter08 said: what's the GGEM show? my site doesn't update for another 20 mins Look through your telescope on a clear night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 4:47 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: GEM and UK blow....the only model\ens mean to give me much over warning criteria is the OP EURO....fact not opinion. But it's the one you want to have giving it to you. And it's giving it hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 GFS ensembles very similar to OP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 4:48 AM, messenger said: Very true Ray, very True. Snow backing in again now, not sure I've ever seen such a solid shield of pathetic snow? I like the look of the radar near PWM...looks like things are starting to build a bit better. But we'll see. And that's for another thread anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 4:50 AM, Kbosch said: But it's the one you want to have giving it to you. And it's giving it hard. It gave me John's cosmic dildo pretty hard this last event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 GFS ENS has 984 passing literally 3 ph's outside the BM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 4:49 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Look through your telescope on a clear night. no kidding? that sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 4:46 AM, messenger said: Major timing changes. Lots of energy coming in late should sping up a biggie - late. Ginx I think a Euro type deal is still possible but just not that far SW. I could see a beast stalling up our way, not that far south. I'm pretty sure it's off a rocker with that 12z solution. Clime says south of BID, this overamped patterns says further south say off ACY, either was huge hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 GGEM is not too reliable in my opinion. Will have to see the EURO when I wake up in the morning. Night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 4:50 AM, Kbosch said: But it's the one you want to have giving it to you. And it's giving it hard. The Euro has given it hard to a lot of us this winter. GGEM through 84, not very pretty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 4:47 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: GEM and UK blow....the only model\ens mean to give me much over warning criteria is the OP EURO....fact not opinion. They were really that bad? Well hopefully that isn't a cause for concern but let's see what the Euro gives us...if the Euro continues to hold serve than I wouldn't put a ton of stock into the GEM and UK just yet. If we see the euro though trend towards their solutions with it's 0z run than it might be time to think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 4:51 AM, weathafella said: GFS ENS has 984 passing literally 3 ph's outside the BM. What is a ph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 4:51 AM, messenger said: The Euro has given it hard to a lot of us this winter. GGEM through 84, not very pretty. I only have it to 72........84 shows 12Z/25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 4:52 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: What is a ph pubic hair. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 4:53 AM, weathafella said: I only have it to 72........84 shows 12Z/25 hit refresh a couple of times its there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 4:53 AM, weathafella said: pubic hair. lol I think everyone but Bob to ACK is slip, slidn' away from the bliz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 4:52 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: What is a ph Think down south on the body. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 GGEM is a total WHIFF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 4:50 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: It gave me John's cosmic dildo pretty hard this last event. On 12/23/2010 at 4:51 AM, messenger said: The Euro has given it hard to a lot of us this winter. GGEM through 84, not very pretty. True, but this is a different event, and not tempting us with only 2 runs. Great solution and very consistent plus signs of others trending towards it. If we can get the 00z and 12z again I think it's time to actually believe this might be it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 If the Euro doesn't verify, it would be the 2nd time this week that it had an historic storm fail. The mighty king is falling On 12/23/2010 at 4:51 AM, messenger said: The Euro has given it hard to a lot of us this winter. GGEM through 84, not very pretty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 GGEM is a brutal whiff for everyone. Next. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 GGEM crosses 70 at about 35n. Nearest QPF is the benchmark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 4:54 AM, messenger said: hit refresh a couple of times its there Got it. Heading straight out. No one on the east coast gets decent snow. Should be passing our lattitude around 42/55-60 of that far west...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 I am out to hour 60 now with the GFS ensemble mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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