the ghost of leroy Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 1 minute ago, agrayson12 said: Well for those searching for other info on hurricane that DO live in mobile Bay... Work in new Orleans Biloxi and pcola...Yeah we're watching everything that is said on here... Because even if it IS a "garden variety hyped up nothing"... It's still my family.. My dogs.. My home... My businesses.... I went through Frederick Katrina Ivan... We all have lost alot here on the gulf coast.. so if the hurricane doesn't concern you ... And it's a hyped up garden variety then why waste your time talking about it at all? I wish your family luck. I hope they aren't relying upon SN_lover and stormchaserchuck in this dire situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 1 minute ago, jpeters3 said: This is plausible, given that the left quadrant winds are going to be weaker, and the potentially reduced rainfall totals. I edited my response regarding "less wind". I meant that for a single point, the time it will be under damaging winds is going to be less than in a slow moving system. That translates to less damage, even though the max winds are the same. Also, the wind distribution is asymmetric as you say, but that means the other half of the cyclone will have a larger area of max winds than it would have if it had been moving slower. It kind of compensates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 The bickering, trolling and BS about it being a major or not at landfall has to stop. Just deleted a boatload of posts and will keep deleting. Keep it focused on the storm and productive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted October 7, 2017 Author Share Posted October 7, 2017 Looking at the long range radars it seems to me like the COC is moving more W than N. Does anyone else see this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jfreebird Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 So what is this thing doing IR shows frame by frame the nw part of the storm losing its mustard but intensification on the east and south east part Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fishwrap Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 I think this discussion is missing something. The aftermaths of hurricane strikes are consistently downplayed by the media. Two or three days pass and all is forgotten. There is no discussion of water and mold damage, the cost of repairs in more than money ( time lost in arranging repairs if anyone is willing to do them), wages and receipts lost and on and on. The term disaster is not used in vain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted October 7, 2017 Author Share Posted October 7, 2017 1st Tornado warning issued for Baldwin county AL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 12 minutes ago, NavarreDon said: 1st Tornado warning issued for Baldwin county AL. Legit: https://twitter.com/sarahann1693/status/916739859787763712 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 I have to say... Nate's presentation is degrading rapidly. The ball of deep convection that has been around since last night has collapsed. The presentation on New Orleans radar is poor, showing a line of storms pushing north, inland, along what may be an outflow boundary, with a ragged, weak-looking core. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 8 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: I have to say... Nate's presentation is degrading rapidly. The ball of deep convection that has been around since last night has collapsed. The presentation on New Orleans radar is poor, showing a line of storms pushing north, inland, along what may be an outflow boundary, with a ragged, weak-looking core. I'm not sure if it's ever been more than a 55kt storm plus east side enhancement from the quick forward speed. The diurnal max flare up was little more than that it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 on this animation, looks way west than projected http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/loop.asp?data_folder=tropical/tropical_ge_1km_center_relative_vis_floater&width=640&height=480&number_of_images_to_display=12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNovice Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 58 minutes ago, Dunkman said: I'm not sure if it's ever been more than a 55kt storm plus east side enhancement from the quick forward speed. The diurnal max flare up was little more than that it seems. Anyone ever see one fall apart this rapidly? That sure seems to be what we are seeing or is it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 4 pm maintains 90 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 2 hours ago, agrayson12 said: Well for those searching for other info on hurricane that DO live in mobile Bay... Work in new Orleans Biloxi and pcola...Yeah we're watching everything that is said on here... Because even if it IS a "garden variety hyped up nothing"... It's still my family.. My dogs.. My home... My businesses.... I went through Frederick Katrina Ivan... We all have lost alot here on the gulf coast.. so if the hurricane doesn't concern you ... And it's a hyped up garden variety then why waste your time talking about it at all? The Gulf coast isn't a choice place to live for those that want to avoid any negative impacts from tropical systems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zippity Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 2 hours ago, agrayson12 said: Well for those searching for other info on hurricane that DO live in mobile Bay... Work in new Orleans Biloxi and pcola...Yeah we're watching everything that is said on here... Because even if it IS a "garden variety hyped up nothing"... It's still my family.. My dogs.. My home... My businesses.... I went through Frederick Katrina Ivan... We all have lost alot here on the gulf coast.. so if the hurricane doesn't concern you ... And it's a hyped up garden variety then why waste your time talking about it at all? It's meteorological chatter rather than social commentary. Please take it with a grain of salt because it's not intended to be hurtful. I am in north Alabama, and don't post much due to lack of knowledge, but I do care very much about what happens to the people and property in the aftermath of a storm. I hope you and everyone else in the path of Nate stay safe and dry. Good to see the storm falling apart, so to speak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 23 minutes ago, Hoosier said: 4 pm maintains 90 mph. it's probably not 90, but for continuity and warning purposes i get why they'd stick to it. that hot tower may still produce a little baby eyewall action that is strong. URNT12 KNHC 072114VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL162017A. 07/20:40:10ZB. 28 deg 14 min N089 deg 12 min WC. 850 mb 1278 mD. 45 ktE. 195 deg 20 nmF. 271 deg 51 ktG. 195 deg 20 nmH. 982 mbI. 19 C / 1527 mJ. 22 C / 1521 mK. 18 C / NAL. NAM. NAN. 1345 / 8O. 0.02 / 3 nmP. AF309 0916A NATE OB 04MAX OUTBOUND AND MAX FL WIND 78 KT 039 / 25 NM 20:48:30ZCNTR DROPSONDE SFC WIND 015 / 5 KTSFC CNTR 360 / 2 NM FROM FL CNTR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 Dvorak technique shows that the more intense cloud structures are moving away from the center. Fairly obvious indication of non-intensification. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 This is a micro cane with a very very small area of hurricane gusts, this should produce minimal damage and surge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TPAwx Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 24 minutes ago, winterymix said: The Gulf coast isn't a choice place to live for those that want to avoid any negative impacts from tropical systems. Really? Guy lays out historical impact and concerns about Nate coming ashore close to his interests, and you have to condescend? Millions live along the Gulf Coast and deal with these risks every year and accept them as part of life. Not many people down here get jazzed about anything TS or higher coming into their hood, unlike the OMG bombs away crew from the MA region and north, that don't seem to understand these storms create massive impact and disruption. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gallopinggertie Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 The highest gust so far at Boothville, which is really close to the center right now, is only 32 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 pretty lackluster. i'd go 65 kts and that might be generous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 The radar is showing about 1/2 of a hurricane. Some offshore oil rigs have winds of 40 kt with some gusts of 43 kt. I think winds will soon pick up to 60kt for the oil rigs. The recon has had 75kt at flight level recently-- maybe 65 kt at surface. Interesting little swirl of rain in the eye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 15 minutes ago, Chinook said: The radar is showing about 1/2 of a hurricane. Some offshore oil rigs have winds of 40 kt with some gusts of 43 kt. I think winds will soon pick up to 60kt for the oil rigs. The recon has had 75kt at flight level recently-- maybe 65 kt at surface. Interesting little swirl of rain in the eye. that little thing in the center is interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
salbers Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 Some central convection redeveloping... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 About a 3 ft surge and rising at the coast guard sector Mobile in Mobile Bay thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 This location updates every few minutes....its just in the NW corner of the circulation center, the anemometer is 100 ft off the surface as well.... http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=pstl1 This oil rig is basically under or in the NE "eyewall" right now and even at 200+ ft off the surface the winds are 50-55 knts... http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=kmis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
salbers Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 KMIS 63 kt gust, wind direction from 130 degrees. http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/radial_search.php?storm=at1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 Within an hour or two.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 This is a landfalling micro TS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.