buckeye Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 18 minutes ago, pondo1000 said: There wasn't much model support for this though right? GFS only one showing it I think. the euro literally has nothing...for no one. ukmet also has nothing. The ggem has something but it's weaker. Here we go again, needing a phase to show what the gfs is spewing and you know what happens when we need a phase. 9 times out of 10 it's a miss and a non-event...or it happens way too late for anyone other than new england. On the positive side, the gfs has beaten up the euro a bit this winter on storms. 12z should give us a pretty solid idea of which camp is going to cave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 2 hours ago, buckeye said: the euro literally has nothing...for no one. ukmet also has nothing. The ggem has something but it's weaker. Here we go again, needing a phase to show what the gfs is spewing and you know what happens when we need a phase. 9 times out of 10 it's a miss and a non-event...or it happens way too late for anyone other than new england. On the positive side, the gfs has beaten up the euro a bit this winter on storms. 12z should give us a pretty solid idea of which camp is going to cave. and "poof" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 3 hours ago, pondo1000 said: and "poof" yep, barring any fantastic trends back to a gfs-esque phased solution... ...it might be time to give props to the much-maligned uncle ukie. Never once showed anything other than a weak wave passing off the southeast coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighTechEE Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 17 hours ago, buckeye said: yep, barring any fantastic trends back to a gfs-esque phased solution... ...it might be time to give props to the much-maligned uncle ukie. Never once showed anything other than a weak wave passing off the southeast coast. Ah the infamous shift north at the 11th hour maybe from LMK: As we continue into Saturday, the GFS/Euro/GEFS all slowly sink the frontal boundary into Tennessee. Overrunning precip will strengthen as a surface low comes up out of the Southern Plains. This will keep the best precip chances over southern KY, with a gradient in pops as you go farther north. Saturday night, the surface low will travel across the Deep South. GFS now is on board with this scenario, but it will be interesting to see if it trends back north and shows a little more phasing with a northern stream system coming in. The latter system may keep precip chances going through Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, HighTechEE said: Ah the infamous shift north at the 11th hour maybe from LMK: As we continue into Saturday, the GFS/Euro/GEFS all slowly sink the frontal boundary into Tennessee. Overrunning precip will strengthen as a surface low comes up out of the Southern Plains. This will keep the best precip chances over southern KY, with a gradient in pops as you go farther north. Saturday night, the surface low will travel across the Deep South. GFS now is on board with this scenario, but it will be interesting to see if it trends back north and shows a little more phasing with a northern stream system coming in. The latter system may keep precip chances going through Sunday. I'm lighting a candle in the window. It may be our last shot this season at a real threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 the 12z gfs just makes me Any other year you put a 994 low in sw TN and a 1037 HP pressing in from SD, and I'd be licking my chops or even wiping my brow nervous of the warm tongue. But alas, the block from hell says fu, and takes it due east. I was ready to give this winter a B+, but watching the end game and how it's unfolding is driving that grade down to a C....which should work considering we're about average snowfall I guess. I should add something I've noticed in recent years. It seems like there has been a re-occuring pattern of late season snow storms that whiff us to the south and east. It's this kind of stuff that turns me into a warminista. F*ck snow, warmth never disappoints Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 2 hours ago, buckeye said: the 12z gfs just makes me Any other year you put a 994 low in sw TN and a 1037 HP pressing in from SD, and I'd be licking my chops or even wiping my brow nervous of the warm tongue. But alas, the block from hell says fu, and takes it due east. I was ready to give this winter a B+, but watching the end game and how it's unfolding is driving that grade down to a C....which should work considering we're about average snowfall I guess. I should add something I've noticed in recent years. It seems like there has been a re-occuring pattern of late season snow storms that whiff us to the south and east. It's this kind of stuff that turns me into a warminista. F*ck snow, warmth never disappoints Agree. My winter loving days are starting to come to an end. Year after year it's the same crap. I just don't get excited about a 4"-6" storm anymore. If that's the best we can do then I'd just assume it stay warm. I think nearly everyone on the forum had a big storm except us. And of course warm states... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 13 minutes ago, dilly84 said: Agree. My winter loving days are starting to come to an end. Year after year it's the same crap. I just don't get excited about a 4"-6" storm anymore. If that's the best we can do then I'd just assume it stay warm. I think nearly everyone on the forum had a big storm except us. And of course warm states... 10 years ago I would have never considered moving to a place where it didn't snow or where there wasn't 4 seasons. If it wasn't for my established business and family being here in the east....I'd love to move to some place like Scottsdale, AZ. I wouldn't miss the snow for a second. In fact, I'd still log on to this site so I could laugh at all the snowstorm tracking that leads to fail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 Had a nice dusting overnight. All gone now of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 5 minutes ago, CoachLB said: Had a nice dusting overnight. All gone now of course. yea, we got that too. Some pretty impressive squalls yesterday as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighTechEE Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Heavy snow has broke out over SW Indiana and S Illinois this afternoon! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 2 hours ago, HighTechEE said: Heavy snow has broke out over SW Indiana and S Illinois this afternoon! Winter storm warnings hoisted in those areas as well! Potential for 3-5”+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighTechEE Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 1 hour ago, Chambana said: Winter storm warnings hoisted in those areas as well! Potential for 3-5”+ Looks like 4 to 8" in central Kentucky now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighTechEE Posted March 13, 2018 Share Posted March 13, 2018 Well its official, we recorded 15mins worth of heavy snow at in March! Text: KMGY 131709Z AUTO 33012KT 1/4SM +SN VV006 M01/M04 A3004 RMK AO2 P0001 T10111039 Temperature: -1.1°C ( 30°F) Dewpoint: -3.9°C ( 25°F) [RH = 81%] Pressure (altimeter): 30.04 inches Hg (1017.4 mb) Winds: from the NNW (330 degrees) at 14 MPH (12 knots; 6.2 m/s) Visibility: 0.25 sm ( 0.40 km) Ceiling: indefinite ceiling with vertical visibility of 600 feet AGL Clouds: obscured sky Weather: +SN (heavy snow) QC Flag: automated observation with no human augmentation Text: KMGY 131700Z AUTO 34013G22KT 1/4SM +SN BKN011 OVC033 M01/M04 A3004 RMK AO2 P0000 T10111039 Temperature: -1.1°C ( 30°F) Dewpoint: -3.9°C ( 25°F) [RH = 81%] Pressure (altimeter): 30.04 inches Hg (1017.4 mb) Winds: from the NNW (340 degrees) at 15 MPH (13 knots; 6.7 m/s) gusting to 25 MPH (22 knots; 11.3 m/s) Visibility: 0.25 sm ( 0.40 km) Ceiling: 1100 feet AGL Clouds: broken clouds at 1100 feet AGL, overcast cloud deck at 3300 feet AGL Weather: +SN (heavy snow) QC Flag: automated observation with no human augmentation Text: KMGY 131653Z AUTO 34016G23KT 1/4SM +SN FEW007 BKN016 OVC048 M01/M04 A3004 RMK AO2 SNB40 SLP183 P0000 T10061044 Temperature: -0.6°C ( 31°F) Dewpoint: -4.4°C ( 24°F) [RH = 75%] Pressure (altimeter): 30.04 inches Hg (1017.4 mb) [Sea level pressure: 1018.3 mb] Winds: from the NNW (340 degrees) at 18 MPH (16 knots; 8.2 m/s) gusting to 26 MPH (23 knots; 11.8 m/s) Visibility: 0.25 sm ( 0.40 km) Ceiling: 1600 feet AGL Clouds: few clouds at 700 feet AGL, broken clouds at 1600 feet AGL, overcast cloud deck at 4800 feet AGL Weather: +SN (heavy snow) QC Flag: automated observation with no human augmentation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 This says it all! LMAO!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted March 15, 2018 Share Posted March 15, 2018 9 hours ago, pondo1000 said: This says it all! LMAO!! 00z GFS gives us some love. It would be nice if the euro agreed, but its performance of late has been lackluster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted March 15, 2018 Share Posted March 15, 2018 29 minutes ago, vespasian70 said: 00z GFS gives us some love. It would be nice if the euro agreed, but its performance of late has been lackluster. Yeah right GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted March 15, 2018 Share Posted March 15, 2018 3 hours ago, snowlover2 said: Yeah right GFS. Well I'd take that. I'm ready for spring, but if we can get an 8-12" system I'd take that then root for the warmth a few days afterwards lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted March 15, 2018 Share Posted March 15, 2018 7 hours ago, dilly84 said: Well I'd take that. I'm ready for spring, but if we can get an 8-12" system I'd take that then root for the warmth a few days afterwards lol 0z Euro showed a similar solution to GFS but a little more north and also weaker some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted March 15, 2018 Share Posted March 15, 2018 12z GFS still looking interesting meanwhile the 12z GGEM shows a similar evolution but everything along/south of OH River. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Wake up people! I know it’s March & this upcomer would be waaayyy better in January, but nonetheless trends are good. Maybe, just maybe, our first WSW in 3 years for central Ohio! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 10 minutes ago, pondo1000 said: Wake up people! I know it’s March & this upcomer would be wasay better in January, but nonetheless trends are good. Maybe, just maybe, our first WSW in 3 years for central Ohio! I think we're all gun-shy outside of 12 hour leads on snow lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just now, buckeye said: I think we're all gun-shy outside of 12 hour leads on snow lol I know. Just think this one is trending different (better). Would u agree? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 6 minutes ago, pondo1000 said: I know. Just think this one is trending different (better). Would u agree? yea, appears to be. Might finally break the seal on getting a winter storm watch. Of course we do it in true CMH-style.... first day of spring lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Been waiting for an AFD from Wilmington. Haven't updated since 9am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 4 minutes ago, buckeye said: yea, appears to be. Might finally break the seal on getting a winter storm watch. Of course we do it in true CMH-style.... first day of spring lol. Right?! So crazy, but that’s mother nature I guess, trying the even things out. We actually had a Watch back in December that never panned into Warning. I think it has been 3 years since we had a Warning, definitely 2 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted March 26, 2018 Share Posted March 26, 2018 27.8” of snow in Columbus. Talk about being nickled & dimed to death!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighTechEE Posted March 29, 2018 Share Posted March 29, 2018 C'mon, snow next Thursday/Friday the 5th & 6th??? http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=snku_acc&rh=2018032912&fh=204&r=us_ma&dpdt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iluvsnow Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 Couldn't buy a good snow in the heart of winter....now that April shows up...my backyard is targeted for a half a foot {Dayton, Ohio} That mother nature can be a practical joker. I know, April fools. I'm not laughing: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 Just now, iluvsnow said: Couldn't buy a good snow in the heart of winter....now that April shows up...my backyard is targeted for a half a foot {Dayton, Ohio} That mother nature can be a practical joker. I know, April fools. I'm not laughing: Right? It is the NAM though so amounts always too much. Cut that in half, but still, I feel your pain here to your east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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