MoWeatherguy Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 43 minutes ago, The Waterboy said: Looks like it’s NW and warmer. Waterboy, we're toast here in NW AR. These models get warmer and worse for us once inside 36 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 35 minutes ago, MoWeatherguy said: Waterboy, we're toast here in NW AR. These models get warmer and worse for us once inside 36 hrs. It looks that way. Very frustrating. This one looked promising since 3-4 days out the trend was SE of us which is exactly what we want. Then it shifts too freakin far. I’m not giving up yet but it ain’t looking good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkRazer Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Gfs has really warmed up temps for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormdragonwx Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Something that has been getting overlooked is concern for icing. SE OK, NW AR, and Southern MO is notorious for getting Ice storms with systems like this due to the terrain as the cold air needs more time to filter into the area thru all the levels. With it being as warm as it has been over the past few days I have my doubts if the cold air will fully arrive in time for any snow SE of I-44. Right now its mostly been the Canadian models showing it but the NAM and GFS have hinted a bit more on it too. Though if I am realistic it will probably be 33 degrees and rain as it has been all season in my area. I will take that over ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 2 hours ago, MoWeatherguy said: Waterboy, we're toast here in NW AR. These models get warmer and worse for us once inside 36 hrs. I don't think we will ever catch a break here man lol, u rdy to move back to your old stomping grounds yet haha? I know I am, I miss small town living Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 24 minutes ago, NwWhiteOut said: I don't think we will ever catch a break here man lol, u rdy to move back to your old stomping grounds yet haha? I know I am, I miss small town living Damn straight I miss Missouri weather dude. This is a dung pile for weather here. No big snow 5 yrs and counting. I have a feeling spring is coming early, too. Chances are running out on us again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Just now, MoWeatherguy said: Damn straight I miss Missouri weather dude. This is a dung pile for weather here. No big snow 5 yrs and counting. I have a feeling spring is coming early, too. Chances are running out on us again. Me too man, this place is just crap for snow lol!!! Last time it snowed decently was when we moved here in 2013..you wanna talk about a donut hole over this place!!! Its just unreal. Hell its like we went from fall and got teased in October right back to spring, warmest most boring winter ever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Important NAM run in progress. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lokee Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 5 minutes ago, StormChazer said: Important NAM run in progress. 36 hour HRRR has seemed to bring it to the NW some. Nam and HRRR are looking pretty close so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Folks along and NW of I44 are in good shape. The rest not so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lokee Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Newest Nam has much of Okc in heavy snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lookingnorth Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, MoWeatherguy said: Folks along and NW of I44 are in good shape. The rest not so much. The NAM looks pretty good for all of central OK, even areas S of I-44, IMO. Of course, that could all change in the next 36 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lokee Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 00z HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 14 minutes ago, lokee said: 00z HRRR Looks to be way south to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 11 minutes ago, lokee said: 00z HRRR If you extrapolate that NE a few frames it looks like a solid hit for Tulsa, Joplin, and Bentonville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Kevin Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 If yall think think about it, there really isn't any solid cold air mass. Its been a very uneventful winter for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 6 minutes ago, Mr. Kevin said: If yall think think about it, there really isn't any solid cold air mass. Its been a very uneventful winter for sure. Yah, I'm amazed this is progged to generate snow anywhere in this region. Nothing really cold at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Kevin Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Jomo, why is the pattern not supporting a cold outcome? What is the main problem? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Tulsa has expanded the winter storm watch further South. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 11 minutes ago, MoWeatherguy said: Yah, I'm amazed this is progged to generate snow anywhere in this region. Nothing really cold at all. That and even if we hit below freezing the ground is so stinking warm, I just dont know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Trend on the GFS is not good for those of us in SWMO along 44 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lokee Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 GFS continues to be the warmest of all models. Question is, should we ignore it or is it onto something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkRazer Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, The Waterboy said: GFS continues to be the warmest of all models. Question is, should we ignore it or is it onto something? Its getting warmer each run to many areas. Idk how much warmer it can get? If it keeps this up maybe it could be on to something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lokee Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Tuttle does not like using the Nam for the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 4 minutes ago, lokee said: Tuttle does not like using the Nam for the snow. Does anyone? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lokee Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Just now, MUWX said: Does anyone? lol Just saying lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 13 minutes ago, DarkRazer said: Its getting warmer each run to many areas. Idk how much warmer it can get? If it keeps this up maybe it could be on to something. Theme of the winter. The 1/2" showing up for us again lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Canadian is so borderline here. Dumping snow but temps are marginal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lokee Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 New Canadian. Alot of that in Central Oklahoma is the sleet factor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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