JoMo Posted December 16, 2019 Author Share Posted December 16, 2019 Mix of stuff here been happening for like the last hour. It's like 27 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 41 minutes ago, JoMo said: Mix of stuff here been happening for like the last hour. It's like 27 Crazy, 33 here been thundering and lightning bad all night. Couple times I got woken up from sleet pinging the windows. Not sure whats gonna today as the forecast is a nonstop changing mess as always lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 Smh! I give up and suddenly boom, ice lol. ive got family in St.Louis and am beyond jealous. Wrecks starting to pile up here in Tulsa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 It will be interesting to see if any of us get some flakes from the secondary wave early this afternoon. Looks like a sharp cutoff to the south so we’ll see. I’ll go on a limb and say JoMo gets a 1/2 inch or more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 I would legitimately pay a large sum of money to be having what STL is having today. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doramo Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 Freezing rain and sleet here . Forecast sez some snow showers this afternoon . Nice break from what it has been recently . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 Been popped into a WWA until 6 lol, temps have actually risen here to 34 so no clue. Tulsa saying it might have to be extended into the overnight hours and could see some flurries or freezing drizzle. Supposed to get really cold tonight so I would expect it to be extended if its going to get as cold as predicted(23) with drizzle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 SGF seems to be really concerned about the potential impacts from freezing drizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 Question for the vets out there. Is there a place that shows every model run of say the GFS or Euro that has ever come out? Or back 10-20 years, etc? Like, if I was wanting to find a particular prolific winter storm from my past and was curious what the models showed leading up to it at the time, is there anywhere I can access that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 Getting a decent hit here now. All the roads are covered. Decent rate of snow, probably won’t amount to a half inch, but it’s better than nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 1 hour ago, MUWX said: Getting a decent hit here now. All the roads are covered. Decent rate of snow, probably won’t amount to a half inch, but it’s better than nothing. Will gladly take it, enjoy. Its flurrying out here, gotta enjoy this before the crazy balmy temps hit this upcoming weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 17, 2019 Author Share Posted December 17, 2019 That was a nice little snowfall yesterday afternoon. Always nice to have snow before Christmas, especially since it's going to be so warm and boring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 Must be nice! haha...ha...*sobs*. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 17, 2019 Author Share Posted December 17, 2019 1 hour ago, StormChazer said: Must be nice! haha...ha...*sobs*. Yeah, sorry about that. Maybe it'll snow again next year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 I decided to go digging into the Tulsa NWS records for snowfall totals to see just how unprecedented our snow drought is. I took 5 year intervals of each season's(July of year X-June of year Y-which for us is really just Nov-March) total snowfall. Here are my findings. 1950/1951 - 1954/1955- 48.3 in 1955/1956 - 1959/1960- 64 in 1960/1961 - 1964/1965- 32.4 in 1965/1966 - 1969/1970- 60.6 in 1970/1971 - 1974/1975- 37.6 in 1975/1976 - 1979/1980- 48.2 in 1980/1981 - 1984/1985- 34 in 1985/1986 - 1989/1990- 57.6 in 1990/1991 - 1994/1995- 41.7 in 1995/1996 - 1999/2000- 37.2 in 2000/2001 - 2004/2005- 55.1 in 2005/2006 - 2009/2010- 61 in 2010/2011 - 2014/2015- 52.4 in 2015/2016 - 2019/2020- 8.8 in Before this most recent 5 year stretch we were averaging 48.47 inches of snow every 5 seasons. We are currently sitting at just 8.8 inches of total snow these past 5 seasons and would have to get 39.67 inches over the next 3 months to hit average. Our next closest 5 year low is back in the 1960's at 32.4 inches. Tulsa's average snowfall is 9.69 inches per season. Assuming we hit that, we will still blow the 1960-1965 seasons' low record stretch out of the water by a 13.91 inch deficit. Truly a Historic snow drought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 Jeez I knew it was bad but nothing that bad StormChazer, granted Im in fayetteville and probly not even at 8.8" over the last 5 years lol. Such sad pathetic snow times, I am already losing hope for this season again too. Lets all enjoy our warm boring christmas day coming up, hey I will probly get to wear shorts at least and even open windows for fresh air so that's a plus haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 21 hours ago, StormChazer said: I decided to go digging into the Tulsa NWS records for snowfall totals to see just how unprecedented our snow drought is. I took 5 year intervals of each season's(July of year X-June of year Y-which for us is really just Nov-March) total snowfall. Here are my findings. 1950/1951 - 1954/1955- 48.3 in 1955/1956 - 1959/1960- 64 in 1960/1961 - 1964/1965- 32.4 in 1965/1966 - 1969/1970- 60.6 in 1970/1971 - 1974/1975- 37.6 in 1975/1976 - 1979/1980- 48.2 in 1980/1981 - 1984/1985- 34 in 1985/1986 - 1989/1990- 57.6 in 1990/1991 - 1994/1995- 41.7 in 1995/1996 - 1999/2000- 37.2 in 2000/2001 - 2004/2005- 55.1 in 2005/2006 - 2009/2010- 61 in 2010/2011 - 2014/2015- 52.4 in 2015/2016 - 2019/2020- 8.8 in Before this most recent 5 year stretch we were averaging 48.47 inches of snow every 5 seasons. We are currently sitting at just 8.8 inches of total snow these past 5 seasons and would have to get 39.67 inches over the next 3 months to hit average. Our next closest 5 year low is back in the 1960's at 32.4 inches. Tulsa's average snowfall is 9.69 inches per season. Assuming we hit that, we will still blow the 1960-1965 seasons' low record stretch out of the water by a 13.91 inch deficit. Truly a Historic snow drought. I've been looking at similar records for here in NW AR and I don't see anything remotely close to this current snow drought. Been going here since the 14-15 winter, our last decent one. The last time we saw a snow greater than 2" was March 4, 2015, working toward 5 yrs now. So, yes, unbelievable and very frustrating as as snow lover. I'm not very hopeful for Jan and Feb at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 It's 10 days out, but we do have some long range consensus out of the GFS and Euro for the 28th-30th time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 2 hours ago, StormChazer said: It's 10 days out, but we do have some long range consensus out of the GFS and Euro for the 28th-30th time frame. At least something to watch. I was hoping this fall pattern would yield some good opportunities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 19, 2019 Author Share Posted December 19, 2019 19 hours ago, MoWeatherguy said: At least something to watch. I was hoping this fall pattern would yield some good opportunities. Never seems to happen. The atmosphere tends to 'flip' to the opposite look given time. If you have constant low pressure in one spot, the atmosphere will try to balance it out and there will be high pressure in that spot for a time, eventually it will flip again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted December 19, 2019 Share Posted December 19, 2019 7 hours ago, JoMo said: Never seems to happen. The atmosphere tends to 'flip' to the opposite look given time. If you have constant low pressure in one spot, the atmosphere will try to balance it out and there will be high pressure in that spot for a time, eventually it will flip again. Makes sense, we just need that November pattern back. JB used to say, "the weather in November the winter will remember". LOLOLOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 21, 2019 Author Share Posted December 21, 2019 Having a hard time deciding which pair of shorts and t-shirt I'm going to wear for Christmas.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted December 22, 2019 Share Posted December 22, 2019 18 hours ago, JoMo said: Having a hard time deciding which pair of shorts and t-shirt I'm going to wear for Christmas.... ya I know right, really insane supposed to be 67 xmas haha. Just stinky dumb warm for my liking, like I said before Im sure my windows are gonna be opened up lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westhope84 Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 I’m beginning to associate December warmth with the Christmas feels. It’s become a tradition. Here’s to hoping for a big storm soon, though. We’re due. Looking toward 2020, perhaps we could draft some legislation to turn Kansas into a giant lake so we can get some wicked lake effect action (no offense to any Kansas members; you’d be welcomed wholeheartedly). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 24, 2019 Author Share Posted December 24, 2019 11 hours ago, westhope84 said: I’m beginning to associate December warmth with the Christmas feels. It’s become a tradition. Here’s to hoping for a big storm soon, though. We’re due. Looking toward 2020, perhaps we could draft some legislation to turn Kansas into a giant lake so we can get some wicked lake effect action (no offense to any Kansas members; you’d be welcomed wholeheartedly). Well, Kansas is so flat that it turns into a giant lake when it rains heavily. It's so confusing driving across Kansas seeing "impassable during high water" signs on the side of the road and there's not even a creek or ditch on the side of the road. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doramo Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 "Here’s to hoping for a big storm soon, though. We’re due. " Hugely Way past due 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted December 25, 2019 Share Posted December 25, 2019 Just wanted to wish everyone a very Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays! I am so happy to have been part of this community for so long now!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 25, 2019 Author Share Posted December 25, 2019 11 hours ago, NwWhiteOut said: Just wanted to wish everyone a very Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays! I am so happy to have been part of this community for so long now!! Merry Christmas to you as well. Smelled people BBQ'ing outside last night instead of the smell of chimney smoke though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted December 25, 2019 Share Posted December 25, 2019 3 hours ago, JoMo said: Merry Christmas to you as well. Smelled people BBQ'ing outside last night instead of the smell of chimney smoke though. Dude thats so crazy, same here. My buddy came over last night for a few beers and we were sitting out front, smelled grills hahaha. I cannot believe how warm it is, my mom said its fairly warm even in Jersey. 49 there today and thats extremely warm for that area on xmas day too. Insane, but yea man enjoy the day with some shorts and t shirts lol. Merry Christmas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 Starting to look like we may see a few severe storms tomorrow. Welcome to winter in the Ozarks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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