Cerakoter1984 Posted September 30, 2019 Share Posted September 30, 2019 Hello. Hope everyone is doing well this autumn. It's hot. Can't wait for it to end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doramo Posted October 1, 2019 Share Posted October 1, 2019 I'm doing great . Hot one for the last day of Sept. with 90 degrees out today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted October 1, 2019 Share Posted October 1, 2019 Greenday, wake me up when September ends. Wait, it's October and still in the 90s! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted October 3, 2019 Author Share Posted October 3, 2019 Beautiful fall day today. Nice and cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doramo Posted October 4, 2019 Share Posted October 4, 2019 I'm loving it 21 hours ago, JoMo said: Beautiful fall day today. Nice and cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted October 5, 2019 Share Posted October 5, 2019 Ahhh so it looks like we may be done with the nasty humidity and heat now? Been loving the temps, hope everyone is doing great!!!? Here is to hoping we don't skunk out again this season with some winter weather lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cerakoter1984 Posted October 5, 2019 Share Posted October 5, 2019 Looking forward to the cool blast Thursday and Friday. Should wake us all up a smidge. Glad to see the heat going away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted October 6, 2019 Share Posted October 6, 2019 Welcome back from summer hibernation everyone!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doramo Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 Does anyone have an idea when there will be a winter 2019 - 2020 thread or is everybody still bummed out about 3rd (edit-3 yrs in a row) winter snow disparity ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted October 7, 2019 Author Share Posted October 7, 2019 2 hours ago, Doramo said: Does anyone have an idea when there will be a winter 2019 - 2020 thread or is everybody still bummed out about 3rd (edit-3 yrs in a row) winter snow disparity ? I updated the title a few days ago for this year, hoping the 3rd time is a charm. Looks like winter will get started in the Northern Plains by the end of the week as the first big winter storm hits. Not sure what to expect this winter as there are some conflicting signals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doramo Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 3 hours ago, JoMo said: I updated the title a few days ago for this year, hoping the 3rd time is a charm. Looks like winter will get started in the Northern Plains by the end of the week as the first big winter storm hits. Not sure what to expect this winter as there are some conflicting signals. Thanks jomo...I should of looked at the ttile first... It had been the same for so long I guess I tired of looking...anyway my bad . And yeah as you mentioned winter in the plains etc. How about that snow monsoon they received in the North-West . I would so love a 3 ft snow here it our area. Anyway here is to hoping that the snow drought is finally over this winter and that mama nature reimburses us for the lack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted October 8, 2019 Author Share Posted October 8, 2019 18 hours ago, Doramo said: Thanks jomo...I should of looked at the ttile first... It had been the same for so long I guess I tired of looking...anyway my bad . And yeah as you mentioned winter in the plains etc. How about that snow monsoon they received in the North-West . I would so love a 3 ft snow here it our area. Anyway here is to hoping that the snow drought is finally over this winter and that mama nature reimburses us for the lack Yeah, I was pretty jealous of Montana. That's a crazy amount of snow. I think we paid for the above normal snowfall we had in the mid 2010's with the lack of snowfall for the last few years. Looks like we may get a weak El-nino this year. Was hoping for a neutral. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Kevin Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 7 hours ago, JoMo said: Yeah, I was pretty jealous of Montana. That's a crazy amount of snow. I think we paid for the above normal snowfall we had in the mid 2010's with the lack of snowfall for the last few years. Looks like we may get a weak El-nino this year. Was hoping for a neutral. Jomo, what you think about this winter with IOD and other stuff? I feel that its still early to even guess what may happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted October 9, 2019 Author Share Posted October 9, 2019 1 hour ago, Mr. Kevin said: Jomo, what you think about this winter with IOD and other stuff? I feel that its still early to even guess what may happen. Well, it's looking like it could be a Modoki Nino, which is decent for our area I believe. The AO was mostly negative during the summer. So it's either going to spring back positive for an extended period or remain negative during the winter (persistence) which would be good. We'll have to see as things move forward though. The last couple years have looked like they would be good and in the end, things changed or didn't turn out as planned. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cerakoter1984 Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 IOD, descending QBO, Modoki atmosphere, in spite of what the surface looks like at this time and that HUGE HUGE storm due north all look fantastic for winter implications this year. As JoMo said, though, stuff could change. Seeing signs of a nice looking Bering Sea low developing in the future as well. I think the signs all point to a go for winter after week three of November down here. That's my honest opinion. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 Hi Everyone!!! The cooler weather has got me excited for winter! It better show up in a big way this year! Snow for everybody! .....and since I'm an alumni, guess what? It's 11:13am and Texas still sucks! #HornsDown #BoomerSooner 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raindancewx Posted October 12, 2019 Share Posted October 12, 2019 My analogs had parts of Oklahoma, Missouri and Kansas pretty snowy if you want to see. I included some slides at the end of my forecast about how well I did last year, so you can decide if it is worth paying attention to what I have or not. There is a slide that has snow totals for Oklahoma City, Tulsa, Little Rock and some other towns in the region if you are curious. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cerakoter1984 Posted October 12, 2019 Share Posted October 12, 2019 18 hours ago, ouamber said: Hi Everyone!!! The cooler weather has got me excited for winter! It better show up in a big way this year! Snow for everybody! .....and since I'm an alumni, guess what? It's 11:13am and Texas still sucks! #HornsDown #BoomerSooner Boomer!! We're gonna dominate the little pronghorns today. Sould be a great game. Heck of a way to return from hibernation, my friend! Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cerakoter1984 Posted October 12, 2019 Share Posted October 12, 2019 10 hours ago, raindancewx said: My analogs had parts of Oklahoma, Missouri and Kansas pretty snowy if you want to see. I included some slides at the end of my forecast about how well I did last year, so you can decide if it is worth paying attention to what I have or not. There is a slide that has snow totals for Oklahoma City, Tulsa, Little Rock and some other towns in the region if you are curious. I wrote a longer post but it disappeared. Anyway, great stuff raindancewx. I always enjoy the way you approach forecasting. Very thorough. Well done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted October 18, 2019 Author Share Posted October 18, 2019 We heading for a cold Halloween? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 Yikes, the little ones in the northern plains could be trick or treating in bitterly cold temps, if that verifies. Good stuff. Definitely some signs of cold air coming down on various models, for October standards. We will see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cerakoter1984 Posted October 19, 2019 Share Posted October 19, 2019 Our first fantasy snow map in October. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted October 19, 2019 Author Share Posted October 19, 2019 Too bad the fantasy maps never happen. 12z GFS might have a little rain/snow mix for KS/MO on Thurs night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cerakoter1984 Posted October 20, 2019 Share Posted October 20, 2019 11 hours ago, JoMo said: Too bad the fantasy maps never happen. 12z GFS might have a little rain/snow mix for KS/MO on Thurs night. I know, but it was fun to post. It wasn't really intended in seriousness. The upcoming pattern for the next few weeks is pretty nice though. Need it to repeat in winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted October 22, 2019 Author Share Posted October 22, 2019 I don't really like all the cold in Oct and Nov. Seems like if it's cold, then the atmosphere goes the other way for the winter months and it ends up warm and dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted October 23, 2019 Author Share Posted October 23, 2019 Keep seeing people mention 2014 and 2004 a lot. Disappointing years for snowfall here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted October 24, 2019 Author Share Posted October 24, 2019 00z Euro with the fantasy snowstorm on Halloween Eve/day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cerakoter1984 Posted October 25, 2019 Share Posted October 25, 2019 On 10/23/2019 at 9:24 AM, JoMo said: Keep seeing people mention 2014 and 2004 a lot. Disappointing years for snowfall here. I see absolutely nothing at all that brings reminiscences of either of the 2 years. My thoughts lean, in terms of actual weather to date, towards a blend of 2000, 2008, 2010 and 2013. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted October 25, 2019 Share Posted October 25, 2019 On 10/24/2019 at 3:38 AM, JoMo said: 00z Euro with the fantasy snowstorm on Halloween Eve/day. Gfs has this as well in the 18z. Not sure if it’s the same system or not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted October 26, 2019 Author Share Posted October 26, 2019 3 hours ago, MUWX said: Gfs has this as well in the 18z. Not sure if it’s the same system or not Yeah, it's been showing up off and on. Something to watch but not really get too excited over until about 24 hours before it actually happens.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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