Will (little rock) Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 Living in Central Arkansas, I love the 12z Euro Going to change though lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 Lol just 2 days ago, Kansas was getting buried, and now today Texas is getting buried. Do you want to be in the Euro and GFS sweet spot 10+ days out? I like spread the wealth storms though...hoping we all can cash in on this. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 49 minutes ago, ouamber said: Lol just 2 days ago, Kansas was getting buried, and now today Texas is getting buried. Do you want to be in the Euro and GFS sweet spot 10+ days out? I like spread the wealth storms though...hoping we all can cash in on this. Yeah, I'd like to think we are in the sweet spot right now. We've seen both sides of the spectrum and we are smack dab in the middle, so here's to hoping for some snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMZ8990 Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 2 hours ago, Will (little rock) said: Living in Central Arkansas, I love the 12z Euro Going to change though lol I live in West Tennessee, I liked the euro as well! Ha. It showed 8"+ in MBY. Fun to look at and think of the possibilities, Either way were due for an old school I-40 snow storm. Here's to hoping that comes to fruition!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 16, 2017 Author Share Posted December 16, 2017 Well, how about those models today? Good luck with forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 For anyone interested, the Little Rock AFD amazing tonight. Well worth the read. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Will (little rock) Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 Not much change with the 12z GFS, Still shows my area getting hammered and an ice storm in Texas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 16, 2017 Author Share Posted December 16, 2017 Sheesh, 12z GFS... Not all of this is 'snow', a lot of freezing rain/sleet combo in here but you can see the areas of expected frozen precip over the next 10 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weatherdemon Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 GEFS ensemble showing the potential for multiple rounds Christmas week. Still divided on the path of the Christmas Eve storm though but trended N this morning vs yesterday. It does look like somewhere beteeen S OK and C Texas t is going get hammered with an ice storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Will (little rock) Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 Shared from the Tennessee Forum but WOW, I know things WILL change but this is just crazy to look at especially in Southern Ark and West Tennessee Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 I hope it keeps trending north. I'm supposed to drive to S. OK on Christmas and would prefer snow than ice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 16, 2017 Author Share Posted December 16, 2017 6 minutes ago, ouamber said: I hope it keeps trending north. I'm supposed to drive to S. OK on Christmas and would prefer snow than ice! So you're saying you wouldn't like the 12z Canadian, eh? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 33 minutes ago, JoMo said: So you're saying you wouldn't like the 12z Canadian, eh? I'll take a Canadian/GFS blend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 I prefer the GFS being a little bit south of us this far out. If history repeats itself we will no doubt have the NW shift a few hundred miles. Normally when I'm in the bullseye this far out it shifts to an I-44 storm. Temps on the Canadian look meh but a better track. Lets see what the Euro shows shortly. Hopefully it's better then the 00z run. Still plenty of options on the table. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spot Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 58 minutes ago, ouamber said: I hope it keeps trending north. I'm supposed to drive to S. OK on Christmas and would prefer snow than ice! Hope it trends north also. 8 minutes ago, The Waterboy said: I prefer the GFS being a little bit south of us this far out. If history repeats itself we will no doubt have the NW shift a few hundred miles. Normally when I'm in the bullseye this far out it shifts to an I-44 storm. Temps on the Canadian look meh but a better track. Lets see what the Euro shows shortly. Hopefully it's better then the 00z run. Still plenty of options on the table. 53 minutes ago, JoMo said: So you're saying you wouldn't like the 12z Canadian, eh? Nasty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spot Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 1 hour ago, Will (little rock) said: Shared from the Tennessee Forum but WOW, I know things WILL change but this is just crazy to look at especially in Southern Ark and West Tennessee Thats alot of ice. Dang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 16, 2017 Author Share Posted December 16, 2017 12z Euro has some snow breaking out across KS/MO/OK/NW 1/2 of AR on Christmas Eve. The upper air pattern has changed pretty drastically from the 12z run yesterday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 16, 2017 Author Share Posted December 16, 2017 Christmas morning in the teens for many, Looks like 10-20 below normal for many. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 16, 2017 Author Share Posted December 16, 2017 6 hours ago, JoMo said: Sheesh, 12z GFS... Not all of this is 'snow', a lot of freezing rain/sleet combo in here but you can see the areas of expected frozen precip over the next 10 days. lol 18z GFS.. you can see how much change with one model run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 LOL let the crazy model madness begin. Im fine with just cold for once on xmas, anything else would be pure filthy luck at this point! Would be totally awesome to see snow on xmas day though! Last time I saw that was in 2009 I believe in MO when it snowed all day xmas and we got 8" then when I was 13(wayyyy back in the day lol) we got a dusting in jersey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 17, 2017 Author Share Posted December 17, 2017 Christmas morning sure is cold on the 00z GFS. Probably some flurries around during the day maybe. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 Cold, check? So now we go from a monster storm to flurries eh JoMo? lol....gonna depend on if this thing sits and spins, or just zips along it sounds and if it goes too far north or too far south by what I am reading? And BTW like someone else mentioned earlier, little rock did another forecast discussion...really really interesting and in depth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 17, 2017 Author Share Posted December 17, 2017 6 minutes ago, NwWhiteOut said: Cold, check? So now we go from a monster storm to flurries eh JoMo? lol....gonna depend on if this thing sits and spins, or just zips along it sounds and if it goes too far north or too far south by what I am reading? And BTW like someone else mentioned earlier, little rock did another forecast discussion...really really interesting and in depth! This run was pretty boring unless you like cold and dry. The "polar vortex" drops down into the N. Plains and into the Great Lakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weatherdemon Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 GFS went the way of the the Euro and killed the SW L. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 17, 2017 Author Share Posted December 17, 2017 00z Canadian and 00z GFS look drastically different after about 144 or so. GEM concentrates the energy over the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 26 minutes ago, JoMo said: This run was pretty boring unless you like cold and dry. The "polar vortex" drops down into the N. Plains and into the Great Lakes. Well I am ok with dry and cold, but we do have a long ways to go still. I think by thursday things should be more ironed out ya think? Would be nice but well, the luck we all have it could be 70 and dry lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 17, 2017 Author Share Posted December 17, 2017 00z Euro is going to look somewhat similar to the 00z GFS. Massive -EPO ridge leading to the downstream "PV" feature moving across southern Canada and the northern US. Flurries for some areas on the 23rd-25th, otherwise becoming very cold. Temps in the teens Christmas morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 17, 2017 Author Share Posted December 17, 2017 12z GFS had more changes. Temps aren't as cold for Christmas as the SE Ridge really flexes this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 17, 2017 Author Share Posted December 17, 2017 12z GEM has a couple rounds of snow with a couple different systems before Christmas for some and then crippling cold. This is just insane looking... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 How about those 60's this week predicted lol...I am gonna be shocked if anything happens really, maybe another boring warm winter in store meh! Man we just cant get lucky around these parts huh guys :(. Ok I am complaining again haha sorry all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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