ouamber Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 This is my last hope for this year... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 7 hours ago, ouamber said: This is my last hope for this year... I'm shocked you are still hanging on lol...I gave up long ago. I been seeing hints to this everywhere online and in writeups though, I wouldn't be tooting on about this so early again if I were a met though. IDK I guess we will see right 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
garfan Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 I see the 12Z Euro has moved the higher frozen precipitation amounts mainly along and north of Highway 54 in Missouri. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weatherdemon Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 1 hour ago, garfan said: I see the 12Z Euro has moved the higher frozen precipitation amounts mainly along and north of Highway 54 in Missouri. 00z control dumps on OK. Got some lightning and thunder in the meantime Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lokee Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 GFS is still showing something rolling through the Southern Plains early next week. 2-13 18z showing Tulsa to get some Freezing rain on Friday 2/15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weatherdemon Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 Friday morning looks interesting in N OK. NAM shows .34 in total liquid precip but has most of that as freezing rain or sleet. Tulsa NWS says NAM temps may be too warm as it warms above freezing after noon. 3K has .14 liquid equivalent and all of it freezing rain or sleet and keeps temps dropping all day. GFS at .11 with all of it freezing rain or sleet N of I244. It doesn’t have the cold air as far S. GFS showed this system I think on Monday as all snow then dropped it. V3 keeps measurable precip east of HWY 69 with trace amounts of freezing rain. It is further N with cold air than the GFS too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lokee Posted February 14, 2019 Share Posted February 14, 2019 Looks as much of the frozen precipitation will stay right along the Oklahoma/Kansas border according the the 2/14 12z HRRR. Both the GFS and Gfs 3k have light amounts of snow Tues Wed time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted February 14, 2019 Share Posted February 14, 2019 12K and 3K NAM giving Tulsa a pretty hazardous morning commute(especially if that sleet verifies). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weatherdemon Posted February 14, 2019 Share Posted February 14, 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 6 PM CST FRIDAY... Benton-Carroll-Osage-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee- Tulsa-Rogers-Mayes-Delaware-Creek- Including the cities of Rogers, Bentonville, Berryville, Eureka Springs, Pawhuska, Bartlesville, Nowata, Vinita, Miami, Pawnee, Tulsa, Claremore, Pryor, Grove, Jay, and Sapulpa 226 PM CST Thu Feb 14 2019 * WHAT...A mixture of freezing rain and sleet is expected beginning late tonight through the day Friday. Total sleet accumulations of a few tenths of an inch, and ice accumulations of a light glaze to near a tenth of an inch are expected. * WHERE...Portions of northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas generally along and north of a line from Tulsa Oklahoma to Bentonville Arkansas. * WHEN...From 5 AM to 6 PM CST Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions, including during the morning commute on Friday across northeast Oklahoma. Bridges and overpasses will be the first to be impacted by any slick surfaces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 That advisory will probly push further south, and bust number 6 will take place lol. Ground is just way too warm again, it will probly be another 33-34 degree cold a** rain like every other crappy storm has been this season haha. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weatherdemon Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 8 hours ago, NwWhiteOut said: That advisory will probly push further south, and bust number 6 will take place lol. Ground is just way too warm again, it will probly be another 33-34 degree cold a** rain like every other crappy storm has been this season haha. You were right! They expanded it south one county. Its 2-3 degrees colder than expected too. Bartlesville schools closed. Sleet mixed in as far S as Owasso. Sleet in Owasso is very light and very small though. Elevates surfaces glazed here too. At 29-30 degrees right now, we’re close to roads icing. 2-3 degree drop and it would be ugly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 SW MO and NW AR look pretty good for snow today. Good luck y'all! IMBY Tulsa is still getting screwed. *over it* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 Just now, ouamber said: SW MO and NW AR look pretty good for snow today. Good luck y'all! IMBY Tulsa is still getting screwed. *over it* I wouldn't say it looks good for snow, but it looks good for freezing rain and sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doramo Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 Light freezing rain occurring here so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 5 minutes ago, MUWX said: I wouldn't say it looks good for snow, but it looks good for freezing rain and sleet Oh ok, yah I was just looking at the radar. Well hopefully it will change over! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 That was predictable, I guess I called that one lol. Advisory until 6pm but its just another cold drizzle at 33!! Our KC friends said its snowing heavily up there, simply amazing how many times we have been screwed this winter. Such a sad sad shame with all the moisture that's been around, oh well. I am so so ready for spring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lokee Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 Latest Euro has Okc picking up near 4 inches of snow by 9pm Tues 2/19. Although, it also this system being a mess of a mix bag. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeroLand Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 Sorry to hear of your snow-free streak down south. Meanwhile in eastern Nebraska:Making room for more. Feb 15, 2019The local wx people say that we have exceeded our seasonal average of snowfall here. Sent from my XT1585 using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 Amber did Tulsa put you in an advisory? Total bust here so far, been 36 and raining good all day. One of these times we are going to get nailed and no one is going to take Tulsa NWS seriously because of all their boo boo's and busts. I know it sounds rude but I have never lived somewhere and seen so many bad forecasts in my life, it's been this way for the last 6 years living here...terrible terrible forecasting from them usually. And I thought Mt.Holly was bad in Jersey growing up there lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 28 minutes ago, NwWhiteOut said: Amber did Tulsa put you in an advisory? Total bust here so far, been 36 and raining good all day. One of these times we are going to get nailed and no one is going to take Tulsa NWS seriously because of all their boo boo's and busts. I know it sounds rude but I have never lived somewhere and seen so many bad forecasts in my life, it's been this way for the last 6 years living here...terrible terrible forecasting from them usually. And I thought Mt.Holly was bad in Jersey growing up there lol I think you vastly underestimate how difficult it is to forecast winter weather in this area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 11 minutes ago, MUWX said: I think you vastly underestimate how difficult it is to forecast winter weather in this area Oh believe me I totally get that, was just venting is all. I cant imagine how difficult of a job it must be but still is just my opinion that's all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 41 minutes ago, NwWhiteOut said: Amber did Tulsa put you in an advisory? Total bust here so far, been 36 and raining good all day. One of these times we are going to get nailed and no one is going to take Tulsa NWS seriously because of all their boo boo's and busts. I know it sounds rude but I have never lived somewhere and seen so many bad forecasts in my life, it's been this way for the last 6 years living here...terrible terrible forecasting from them usually. And I thought Mt.Holly was bad in Jersey growing up there lol Yea Tulsa was under an advisory, but it's just freezing drizzle right now. No biggie. *crossing my fingers* for Tuesday! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 8 minutes ago, ouamber said: Yea Tulsa was under an advisory, but it's just freezing drizzle right now. No biggie. *crossing my fingers* for Tuesday! Yeah, I must say this is the last storm of the season that I'm going to follow or feel any excitement leading up to it. If this churns out nothing for us, then unless something is a day out I'm going to need to recharge until next winter. That being said, here's the EURO. Interestingly enough, it keep Tulsa JUST BARELY above freezing for a few hours during moderate precip, so if that snow line inches over 30 miles, Tulsa looks to get 4-6 inches. I know amounts are trivial and useless to get focused on this far out, but just worth noting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 Latest GFS looking similar to Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lokee Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 Okc TV weather guys starting to start in about Tues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 Just now, lokee said: Okc TV weather guys starting to start in about Tues. Let me guess...Mike Morgan? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lokee Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 2 minutes ago, ouamber said: Let me guess...Mike Morgan? Yeap and Jonathan Conder from KOCO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weatherdemon Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 1 hour ago, lokee said: Yeap and Jonathan Conder from KOCO They have to. Especially the OKC guys with the higher potential in their area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
garfan Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 I'll have what the 12Z EURO 168 hour forecast is having for SE KS and SW MO. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 These models are making me really nervous. Every single one has Tulsa RIGHT on the line. I know models don’t handle shallow air well, so my hope is that they’re underdoing it right now but I swear if it’s 33-34 and raining on Tuesday while 30 miles west it’s snowing I’m going to officially admit that the snow gods hate NE OK. That being said, if they are underdoing the cold air, then that honestly sets Tulsa up for an ice storm, which to be honest, at this point, my winter weather starved self would welcome. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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