stanleyjenkins Posted November 5, 2017 Share Posted November 5, 2017 6 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: Love it, some great thunderstorms for the last 2 weeks. Looks like more coming too. It indeed has been, however; I have standing water in my backyard this morning. I really don't need any of tonight's rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 5, 2017 Share Posted November 5, 2017 1 hour ago, stanleyjenkins said: It indeed has been, however; I have standing water in my backyard this morning. I really don't need any of tonight's rain. Yeah with 5.1” of rain here in the last week we definitely don’t need what’s coming today and tomorrow. Tons of standing water everywhere and people’s basements flooding like crazy. With today and tomorrow’s rain the creeks are definitely going to be spilling over their banks causing more flooding problems... anyone know what the 00z Euro showed last night for the potential cold shot later this week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted November 5, 2017 Share Posted November 5, 2017 21 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: Yeah with 5.1” of rain here in the last week we definitely don’t need what’s coming today and tomorrow. Tons of standing water everywhere and people’s basements flooding like crazy. With today and tomorrow’s rain the creeks are definitely going to be spilling over their banks causing more flooding problems... anyone know what the 00z Euro showed last night for the potential cold shot later this week? Its pretty darn cold. 850s of -17c Friday evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted November 5, 2017 Share Posted November 5, 2017 Dry air or not instability through the roof friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted November 5, 2017 Share Posted November 5, 2017 0 degree at 5000 feet over 50 degree water. Goin to get something off the lakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted November 5, 2017 Share Posted November 5, 2017 I can’t believe we haven’t had a major LES event here in the city proper since the infamous October LES event! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted November 5, 2017 Share Posted November 5, 2017 If you go back on those LES events archive you’ll notice whenever we had the setup those winds never truly lined up on that 250 flow, they were either too westerly or too southerly lol and in the rare cases they lined up high winds came into play creating shear issues! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted November 5, 2017 Share Posted November 5, 2017 22 minutes ago, ayuud11 said: I can’t believe we haven’t had a how many major LERS events we've had here in the city proper since the infamous October LES event! Fixed... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted November 5, 2017 Share Posted November 5, 2017 It looks like a monsoon moving up the length of Lake Erie. Entire lake is lit up orange and red. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 5, 2017 Share Posted November 5, 2017 8 minutes ago, Buffalo Bumble said: It looks like a monsoon moving up the length of Lake Erie. Entire lake is lit up orange and red. Immense street water flooding going on in West Seneca right now, many roads including part of Seneca Street under at least 1 foot of water, Caz creek looks like it's just about to start over flowing it's bank any minute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 Up to 2.43” since midnight which puts me close to 7” of rain in the last week. My back yard is literally a total lake, can’t see any grass what so ever and for the first time since I moved here we have some water coming in the basement... spent the last hour bringing our most valuable things up from the basement and putting things up on wood blocks just in case the sump pump stops as it is running almost constantly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 7 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: Up to 2.43” since midnight which puts me close to 7” of rain in the last week. My back yard is literally a total lake, can’t see any grass what so ever and for the first time since I moved here we have some water coming in the basement... spent the last hour bringing our most valuable things up from the basement and putting things up on wood blocks just in case the sump pump stops as it is running almost constantly. Incredible amount of rain the past week and honestly a huge difference from last year when we were extremely dry...I like the fact that the whole area from here to the US border in Minnesota has seen ample moisture recently...with the low sun angle now and maximum short days the ground will have a hard time drying out which should in turn help any colder air sustain or even build when they happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 Gfs showing nasty artic front now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 6, 2017 Author Share Posted November 6, 2017 3 hours ago, WesterlyWx said: Up to 2.43” since midnight which puts me close to 7” of rain in the last week. My back yard is literally a total lake, can’t see any grass what so ever and for the first time since I moved here we have some water coming in the basement... spent the last hour bringing our most valuable things up from the basement and putting things up on wood blocks just in case the sump pump stops as it is running almost constantly. Perfect time to get a puppy. He was so scared of the thunder and rain earlier he wouldn't go outside to the bathroom and when he did the entire apartment is mud. Give me some cold and snow or give me 50 and sunny please! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 6, 2017 Author Share Posted November 6, 2017 27 minutes ago, tim123 said: Gfs showing nasty artic front now It's now on all model guidance. It's one of the coldest so early in the season that I can remember. That is some serious cold coming Friday. Highs won't make it above 35? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 6, 2017 Author Share Posted November 6, 2017 Lows in the single digits in the dacks on Nov 10th, that is crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 6, 2017 Author Share Posted November 6, 2017 The record low on Nov 10th for Buffalo is 19 deg. Going to be close call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 7 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: It's now on all model guidance. It's one of the coldest so early in the season that I can remember. That is some serious cold coming Friday. Highs won't make it above 35? Mike Cejka has a high of 30 for the metro area on Friday... that’s downright nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 24 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: Mike Cejka has a high of 30 for the metro area on Friday... that’s downright nuts. I wonder if we can get quick burst of snow with that arctic front as depicted on the GFS? we usually do good on those.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 I am sure there will be a squall line with the front. Lightning as well? Very strong front over warm low 50s water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 Water temp in roc is 56 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 I don't care care how much dry air gets involved after the front goes through, we will still see a lake response, as that type of airmass traveling over 60 degree Lake surface temps will make LO boil! Perhaps the interns may still be forecasting for KBGM, lol, Jk!This is gonna be abrupt awakening to many folks along the interior NE as well as the coastal plain but it's super transient as I believe the strong -EPO is Trumping all other signals attm, but it lasts a couple days at best, and it's outta here. That's just my opinion is all.Once this shot goes by, its back to the Pacific not behaving and we go back to AN temps for a time until things line up again.TySent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 Already up of Michigan Saying heavy lake snow likley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 Friday may be our first Snow Squall Warning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 Oh yeah forgot about those. It' a new product correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 Don' start till january Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 6, 2017 Author Share Posted November 6, 2017 Yeah not much lake effect with this due to lots of dry air. The low pressure system is nearly a thousand miles away so synoptic support is going to be next to nil. However, the arctic front will definitely create some moisture as it passes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 Dry air or not goin to be a good lake response. Extreme to record instability Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 Dry air or not goin to be a good lake response. Extreme to record instabilityNot gonna happen, without a moisture source with a N-NW flow, very tough to get anything going. Can tap into GB but the wind direction is not conducive. We'll see though. I hope your right brutha!Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 Winds look to be more nw than north. I think for a 12 hour period it' will be very squally Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.