dWave Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 2 hours ago, Drz1111 said: Big monarch migration this year. Seen more today than in like last 3 years together. Im no butterfly expert but I have been seeing butterflies around alot lately. Even in places I wouldn't expect to see a bunch of butterflies. I guess that explains it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 7, 2017 Author Share Posted October 7, 2017 The low 70's dewpoint forecast for Sunday looks close to record highs for October 8th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarrenCtyWx Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 October 2007 was an incredibly warm month if I recall correctly. I believe ABE hit 90 during the second week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fantom X Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 Sitting at a juicy 72/70 right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 3 minutes ago, WarrenCtyWx said: October 2007 was an incredibly warm month if I recall correctly. I believe ABE hit 90 during the second week. Yes incredibly warm... I have 40 years of records and it was 3 degrees warmer than 2nd warmest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 25 minutes ago, WarrenCtyWx said: October 2007 was an incredibly warm month if I recall correctly. I believe ABE hit 90 during the second week. And we are on track to beat it due to consistently well above normal temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 50 minutes ago, WarrenCtyWx said: October 2007 was an incredibly warm month if I recall correctly. I believe ABE hit 90 during the second week. We had NO winter the following winter in NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 Is there like a backdoor cold front passing through or a sea breeze front? Temps and dews have dropped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 8, 2017 Share Posted October 8, 2017 During another day of 80° warmth, migrating Monarch butterflies were in abundance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 8, 2017 Share Posted October 8, 2017 10/7: New Brunswick: 85 PHL: 84 TTN: 84 ACY: 83 EWR: 82 LGA: 82 TEB: 81 NYC: 81 JFK: 79 ISP: 77 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted October 8, 2017 Share Posted October 8, 2017 Normal low temp here for this date is 48 degrees...Current temp 72. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted October 8, 2017 Share Posted October 8, 2017 Next 8 days moving in right direction---averaging 69degs., or +9degs. At this rate we should be at +8degs. for the month by the morning of the 16th. Anything near +7degs. would make this the hottest October ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 8, 2017 Share Posted October 8, 2017 A muggy 74 this morning, some 7 degrees above the normal high. Can't believe average lows are dropping into the 40s now when lows are July like with 60s and 70s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 8, 2017 Share Posted October 8, 2017 1 hour ago, CIK62 said: Next 8 days moving in right direction---averaging 69degs., or +9degs. At this rate we should be at +8degs. for the month by the morning of the 16th. Anything near +7degs. would make this the hottest October ever. There is a long way to go to challenge both 2013 and 2007 . 2007 Oct MOnhtly LGA: 65.5 (+7.4) PHL: 64.5 (+7.0) NYC: 63.6 (+6.7) EWR: 63.5 (+6.9) JFK: 63.0 (+5.9) TTN: 62.4 (+7.8) ISP: 61.1 (+6.9) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 8, 2017 Share Posted October 8, 2017 0z ECM now with less than an inch of rain from Nate's remnants (0.75 by Tue) 1.29 over 10 days, Flatter flow towards d 9/10 but heights look poised to build towards Oct 19/20 along EC again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 8, 2017 Share Posted October 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, SACRUS said: There is a long way to go to challenge both 2013 and 2007 . 2007 Oct MOnhtly LGA: 65.5 (+7.4) PHL: 64.5 (+7.0) NYC: 63.6 (+6.7) EWR: 63.5 (+6.9) JFK: 63.0 (+5.9) TTN: 62.4 (+7.8) ISP: 61.1 (+6.9) Hot pattern locked in all month with even higher departures showing up beyond mid-month. I'm thinking we beat 07/13 pretty handily tbh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 8, 2017 Share Posted October 8, 2017 7AM Oct (Jul) 8 EWR: 75/70 NYC: 74/71 New Brunswick: 74/70 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 8, 2017 Share Posted October 8, 2017 12 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Hot pattern locked in all month with even higher departures showing up beyond mid-month. I'm thinking we beat 07/13 pretty handily tbh. 2013 much more possible LGA: 60.9(+2.8) PHL: 60.6 (+3.1) NYC; 60.2 (+3.3) JFK: 60.0 (+2.9) EWR: 59.6 (+2.9) ISP: 57.9 (+36.) TTN: 57.6 (+3.3_ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 8, 2017 Share Posted October 8, 2017 Subsequent Nov Subsequent mont - Nov Nov 2007 JFK: -2.5 TTN: -2.3 NYC: -2.3 ISP: -2/1 PHL: -1.9 EWR: -2.0 LGA: -1.1 Nov 2013: EWR: -2.5 NYC: -2.4 TTN: -2.3 LGA: -2.3 JFK: -2.2 PHL: -2.1 ISP: -1.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 8, 2017 Author Share Posted October 8, 2017 Very warm first week of October across the area. This recent warm pattern has remained in place since mid-September. NYC...+6.8 LGA...+6.6 JFK...+5.1 ISP...+5.9 BDR...+5.5 EWR...+6.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted October 8, 2017 Share Posted October 8, 2017 I’ve been sitting at 71 degrees for 12 hours straight, since 7:26 PM yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted October 8, 2017 Share Posted October 8, 2017 Oct morning at 74, dew 70. Glad I didnt take out my ac. Getting alot of use lately. Nights have been near July level discomfort indoors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted October 8, 2017 Share Posted October 8, 2017 8 minutes ago, dWave said: Oct morning at 74, dew 70. Glad I didnt take out my ac. Getting alot of use lately. Nights have been near July level discomfort indoors. I think I'll need the AC tonight. First time I can ever remember using it in October. 2015 was definitely AN, but we didn't have as many of these warm and muggy overnight lows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 8, 2017 Share Posted October 8, 2017 A line of Some light rain showers working through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 8, 2017 Share Posted October 8, 2017 1 minute ago, JerseyWx said: I think I'll need the AC tonight. First time I can ever remember using it in October. 2015 was definitely AN, but we didn't have as many of these warm and muggy overnight lows. Last oct 17,18,19 LGA: 2016 10/17: 83/66 10/18: 82/68 10/19: 86/69 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted October 8, 2017 Share Posted October 8, 2017 Since heat spell started 9/13, we have averaged +7.8degs. That is for 25 days. If CFSv2 is right about next 45 days, then we could actually wind up averaging +6degs. or better, over a 10-week period. Some event will probably shake things up, in this amount of time. Be glad this is not JJA we are referring to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted October 8, 2017 Share Posted October 8, 2017 1 minute ago, SACRUS said: Last oct 17,18,19 LGA: 2016 10/17: 83/66 10/18: 82/68 10/19: 86/69 I remember that last year, I already had the AC out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted October 8, 2017 Share Posted October 8, 2017 71/68 here. Ick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LurkerBoy Posted October 8, 2017 Share Posted October 8, 2017 How long until Fall arrives? Any guesses? This ridge is ridiculous. In july muggy nights are expected and enjoyed, this is just bothersome (I think all would agree). Looking at the models, it looks like summer keeps truckin' along, which makes me question if this has ever happened before? Feels off. Anyone think this is the new normal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted October 8, 2017 Share Posted October 8, 2017 12 minutes ago, CIK62 said: Since heat spell started 9/13, we have averaged +7.8degs. That is for 25 days. If CFSv2 is right about next 45 days, then we could actually wind up averaging +6degs. or better, over a 10-week period. Some event will probably shake things up, in this amount of time. Be glad this not JJA we are referring to. I’m more relieved it’s not DJF, although that remains to be seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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