MJO812 Posted October 2, 2017 Share Posted October 2, 2017 58 right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 2, 2017 Share Posted October 2, 2017 38° here for a low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted October 2, 2017 Share Posted October 2, 2017 Ended up at 41.4F for my low. Beautiful chilly morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 2, 2017 Share Posted October 2, 2017 43.6 this morning, coldest since May 21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted October 2, 2017 Share Posted October 2, 2017 50 minutes ago, Isotherm said: Ended up at 41.4F for my low. Beautiful chilly morning. 42° here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 2, 2017 Share Posted October 2, 2017 Thursday looks hot, maybe some areas in NENJ could approach 90. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 2, 2017 Share Posted October 2, 2017 Both GFS and to some extent the ECM (QPF 2 inches) - show a period of wetness Sun - Wed (10/8 - 10/11) with piece(s) of the system that may impact Florida. We'll see if this trends wetter or drier as we get closer. GFS so far most aggressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 2, 2017 Share Posted October 2, 2017 4 minutes ago, bluewave said: If the Euro is correct about Newark reaching near 85 on Thursday, then it would be the first two 85 or warmer Octobers in a row since 1959 and 1960. Newark reached 87 last October. Recent October's warmest at Newark 2016: 10/17: 83 10/18: 85 10/19: 87 2015: 10/9: 81 2014: 10/15: 79 2013: 10/1: 84 10/2: 86 10/3: 82 10/4: 89 10/7: 80 2012: 10/5: 81 10/6: 79 2011: 10/8: 81 10/9: 88 10/10: 85 2010: 10/11: 79 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted October 2, 2017 Share Posted October 2, 2017 43 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Recent October's warmest at Newark 2016: 10/17: 83 10/18: 85 10/19: 87 2015: 10/9: 81 2014: 10/15: 79 2013: 10/1: 84 10/2: 86 10/3: 82 10/4: 89 10/7: 80 2012: 10/5: 81 10/6: 79 2011: 10/8: 81 10/9: 88 10/10: 85 2010: 10/11: 79 All of those winters were different. Nothing really stands out from the following winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 2, 2017 Share Posted October 2, 2017 While the GFS has a stormier pattern developing towards the beginning of next week, the Euro held serve today with a mostly transient cool down between significant warm ups and continued dry conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 2, 2017 Share Posted October 2, 2017 It's a warm pattern but one thing im not seeing is the Alaskan vortex, normally a kiss of death in winter. And I'll take my chances with a +AO this October since the -AO of previous years usually translated towards positive the following winters. I have no clue what this will all mean for winter, you can't even count on the ENSO since expectations have gotten skewed nowadays. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted October 3, 2017 Share Posted October 3, 2017 Next 8 days averaging 70degs., or +8degs. This 70degs. is a full one month throwback. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted October 3, 2017 Share Posted October 3, 2017 Another chilly morning here; down to 41.5F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 3, 2017 Share Posted October 3, 2017 38° again for a low last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 3, 2017 Author Share Posted October 3, 2017 Near record high pressures at the surface today for early October along with heights at 500 mb. Station: KOKX Date: 12Z 3 OCT 2017 WMO ident: 72501 Latitude: 40.87 Longitude: -72.87 Elevation: 20.00 SFC 1034 500 5920 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted October 3, 2017 Share Posted October 3, 2017 2 hours ago, bluewave said: Near record high pressures at the surface today for early October along with heights at 500 mb. Station: KOKX Date: 12Z 3 OCT 2017 WMO ident: 72501 Latitude: 40.87 Longitude: -72.87 Elevation: 20.00 SFC 1034 500 5920 Yeah hadn't even noticed, my station topped out at 30.63". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 3, 2017 Author Share Posted October 3, 2017 13 minutes ago, doncat said: Yeah hadn't even noticed, my station topped out at 30.63". It would be nice if the Euro is correct about the tropical rains it has been showing for several runs early next week. Many areas haven't seen much rain since September 10th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted October 3, 2017 Share Posted October 3, 2017 10 minutes ago, bluewave said: It would be nice if the Euro is correct about the tropical rains it has been showing for several runs early next week. Many areas haven't seen much rain since September 10th. Let's hope...Only 0.20" here last 26 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 3, 2017 Share Posted October 3, 2017 2 hours ago, doncat said: Yeah hadn't even noticed, my station topped out at 30.63". 30.658" here. #winning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted October 3, 2017 Share Posted October 3, 2017 4 hours ago, doncat said: Yeah hadn't even noticed, my station topped out at 30.63". Wow, now I'm looking at my pressure..30.61 today here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 4, 2017 Share Posted October 4, 2017 GFS and ECM are at about 1.5" thru Day 8 @ NYC ECM 1.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted October 4, 2017 Share Posted October 4, 2017 Next 8 days soars to average 72degs. now, or +10degs. But stand-by for a possible complete reversal by the CFSv2 around mid-month---to a deep freeze---as a counterpoise to the outrage of the first halve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted October 4, 2017 Share Posted October 4, 2017 46 in Stony Brook. 59 when I left Nassau, and once again I’m wearing short sleeves. Fml. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 4, 2017 Author Share Posted October 4, 2017 16 hours ago, doncat said: Let's hope...Only 0.20" here last 26 days. The 595 dm ridge at OKX yesterday was right at the highest on record levels for the whole month of October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted October 4, 2017 Share Posted October 4, 2017 16 minutes ago, Cfa said: 46 in Stony Brook. 59 when I left Nassau, and once again I’m wearing short sleeves. Fml. Time to bring a sweater with you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted October 4, 2017 Share Posted October 4, 2017 1 hour ago, dmillz25 said: Time to bring a sweater with you Nah, we still wear short sleeves. Low was only 46 IMBY this morning, but I've been wearing short sleeves all week, even Monday morning when I got down to 35 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted October 4, 2017 Share Posted October 4, 2017 1 hour ago, Cfa said: 46 in Stony Brook. 59 when I left Nassau, and once again I’m wearing short sleeves. Fml. Happens to me all the time now. I been going to work earlier, and I really feel the difference now. From the Bx to a little north of White Plains, go from around 60 to upper 40s. After about 10 miles north I get tempted to turn the heat on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 4, 2017 Author Share Posted October 4, 2017 1 hour ago, dWave said: Happens to me all the time now. I been going to work earlier, and I really feel the difference now. From the Bx to a little north of White Plains, go from around 60 to upper 40s. After about 10 miles north I get tempted to turn the heat on. Temps are already off to the races with a nearly 10 degree rise at Newark in the last few hours. SW flow and dry conditions will let some of the warmest spots make a run on 80 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 4, 2017 Share Posted October 4, 2017 46 this morning, already 66 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted October 4, 2017 Share Posted October 4, 2017 1 hour ago, IrishRob17 said: Nah, we still wear short sleeves. Low was only 46 IMBY this morning, but I've been wearing short sleeves all week, even Monday morning when I got down to 35 If I go out before ~11am it's sweats over shorts maybe with a light jacket or something then strip the layers in the afternoon and put them back on as the sun drops. When it's this dry the air heats and cools quickly. Speaking of dry - It's getting desperate in the forests around here. Crunchy and dusty Surprisingly most of the reservoirs are bank full though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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