Hoosier Posted October 3, 2017 Author Share Posted October 3, 2017 Oh yeah, ILN had a 500 mb height of 594 dm and DTX had 593 dm on this mornings 12z soundings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osubrett2 Posted October 3, 2017 Share Posted October 3, 2017 CMH rose from 48 to 79 yesterday. Already 3 degrees of this time yesterday (with clouds) and there isn't a cloud in the sky today. HRRR tops out at 83, sadly well short of the 1953 record of 89F. Records don't drop back into the low-80s until 10/17 actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted October 3, 2017 Share Posted October 3, 2017 Toledo has hit 86 so far today. This is not a record, but it is average for the hottest days of the year, mid-July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted October 3, 2017 Share Posted October 3, 2017 Glad to see this warmup fizzle down the drain. Looks like I'm going to get my fall weather for fall camping. Yea! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 3, 2017 Share Posted October 3, 2017 83 today here and at MLI. Lots of clouds but had filtered sun most the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted October 5, 2017 Share Posted October 5, 2017 On 9/27/2017 at 5:37 PM, rainsucks said: Lol @ Jonger's wishcasting How'd that turn out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted October 5, 2017 Share Posted October 5, 2017 1 hour ago, Jonger said: How'd that turn out? I don't know how it's turning out for rainsucks, but at FWA it's turning out like this: 10/1-4: Avg temp 64° Departure +6.5° 10/5-10 forecast: Avg temp ~ 64° Departure ~ +6.8° It's going make for a pretty good positive departure for the first 10 days of October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted October 5, 2017 Share Posted October 5, 2017 2 hours ago, Jonger said: How'd that turn out? @ KRMY ~ 6 hrs @ 80-83 Tues afternoon vs 5 DAYS of 90+ with the real deal heatwave. A very slight difference I'd argue.. Admittedly, I've never followed real closely during the warm season stuff, but this was one of the more epic hot model run fails that I can recall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 5, 2017 Author Share Posted October 5, 2017 5 hours ago, IWXwx said: I don't know how it's turning out for rainsucks, but at FWA it's turning out like this: 10/1-4: Avg temp 64° Departure +6.5° 10/5-10 forecast: Avg temp ~ 64° Departure ~ +6.8° It's going make for a pretty good positive departure for the first 10 days of October. Even though the super warm stuff didn't have the sustainability, it does look like some decent warm spikes embedded in what should be an overall warmer than average pattern. I suspect both of us aren't done with 80 degree temps yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxMatt21 Posted October 5, 2017 Share Posted October 5, 2017 13 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Even though the super warm stuff didn't have the sustainability, it does look like some decent warm spikes embedded in what should be an overall warmer than average pattern. I suspect both of us aren't done with 80 degree temps yet. 80s look likely this weekend and perhaps next week. If the Euro is to believed, maybe even into next weekend. This pattern is truly incredible, even though I typically loathe warm autumns. At least in October 2007, temps plummeted to well below normal levels by mid month before warming back well above normal. I don't see any convincing signs temps will trend below normal for longer than a day or two until MAYBE late this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rainsucks Posted October 5, 2017 Share Posted October 5, 2017 8 hours ago, Jonger said: How'd that turn out? Pretty good actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted October 5, 2017 Share Posted October 5, 2017 It is unseasonably warm. Like many niña October's, this clearly will be a warm one. I assume jongers point is regarding "major heat". This is unseasonably warm. This is not major heat lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted October 5, 2017 Share Posted October 5, 2017 1 hour ago, WxMatt21 said: 80s look likely this weekend and perhaps next week. If the Euro is to believed, maybe even into next weekend. This pattern is truly incredible, even though I typically loathe warm autumns. At least in October 2007, temps plummeted to well below normal levels by mid month before warming back well above normal. I don't see any convincing signs temps will trend below normal for longer than a day or two until MAYBE late this month. Sounds good to me! Loving this weather! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted October 5, 2017 Share Posted October 5, 2017 55 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: It is unseasonably warm. Like many niña October's, this clearly will be a warm one. I assume jongers point is regarding "major heat". This is unseasonably warm. This is not major heat lol. It was 85 two days ago, that is major heat for October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 1 hour ago, Stebo said: It was 85 two days ago, that is major heat for October. Could potentially see more 80*F+ Saturday - Tuesday, depending on the extent of precipitation / cloud cover from the remnants of Nate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 Just now, Powerball said: Could potentially see more 80*F+ Saturday - Tuesday, depending on the extent of precipitation / cloud cover from the remnants of Nate. Yes and then potentially late next week too. Potential looks to be there as we have yet again another transient cool push. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rainsucks Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 8 minutes ago, Stebo said: Yes and then potentially late next week too. Potential looks to be there as we have yet again another transient cool push. and people were lashing out on me for saying that the models were severely overdoing the "cold shot".... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 Just now, rainsucks said: and people were lashing out on me for saying that the models were severely overdoing the "cold shot".... People were lashing out because you are a one trick pony and just to be fair the heat didn't live up to its potential either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rainsucks Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 6 minutes ago, Stebo said: People were lashing out because you are a one trick pony and just to be fair the heat didn't live up to its potential either. No it's because they don't like warm weather. I explained why I didn't think it would get cold mid month but I guess that's not good enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 1 hour ago, rainsucks said: No it's because they don't like warm weather. I explained why I didn't think it would get cold mid month but I guess that's not good enough. I don't mind warm weather. I keep my home at 70F all year. 70 to 80F is fine outside, anything beyond that is annoying no matter the situation. I can't achieve the same level of comfort with clothing at 85+ as I can with a coat at 25F. My body still follows the laws of physics and biology. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 8 hours ago, rainsucks said: No it's because they don't like warm weather. I explained why I didn't think it would get cold mid month but I guess that's not good enough. No, it is because as stebo said you are a one trick pony. Has nothing to do with people not liking warm weather. Even people who dislike warmth...if anytime of year is good for them to see unseasonable warmth, it's oct. It's too late for it to be uncomfortably hot and too early to be interfering with snow time. My first memory of your posts was in August when I said looks like August would end up cooler than normal to which you "lashed out" witt nah it would torch. No explanation. And it did end up cooler than normal. So I must have missed it, what was your explanation for why it wouldn't get cold mid month? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rainsucks Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 On 10/6/2017 at 4:39 AM, michsnowfreak said: No, it is because as stebo said you are a one trick pony. Has nothing to do with people not liking warm weather. Even people who dislike warmth...if anytime of year is good for them to see unseasonable warmth, it's oct. It's too late for it to be uncomfortably hot and too early to be interfering with snow time. My first memory of your posts was in August when I said looks like August would end up cooler than normal to which you "lashed out" witt nah it would torch. No explanation. And it did end up cooler than normal. So I must have missed it, what was your explanation for why it wouldn't get cold mid month? You said Sept would be cooler than normal, and we all know it obviously wasn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted October 8, 2017 Share Posted October 8, 2017 21 hours ago, rainsucks said: You said Sept would be cooler than normal, and we all know it obviously wasn't. By the 23rd or so I changed my tune. I said since it was the 5th coldest Sept 1-10 on record Here, chances are the coming warmth wouldn't be enough to totally erase that departure. Once it was apparent that it would be a solid week of temps 15-20° I changed my tune. I gave a reason and once it became apparent I was wrong I said as much. You will say warmer than normal every month regardless lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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