RogueWaves Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 58 minutes ago, josh_4184 said: I knew Jan was a bad month but surprising to see that Gaylord is on pace to for a record low for snowfall for Jan. It's always a bad sign when mby's beating the LES King's backyard. Sad winter for many regions in many ways Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 Another ORD stat... there has not been a 3" calendar day snowfall yet, and this will be only the 3rd time in the past 30 years that it takes until February or later to get it (1988-89 and 2012-13 are the other 2 seasons). In case anyone is wondering, the last time there was not a 3" calendar day snow at any point in the season was 1967-68, which, interestingly, was being mentioned as an analog by some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 Including this one, my last three Januarys, combined, have accumulated only 7.9" of snow. It has been the same for places like Waterloo and Des Moines. January has become a dead month. Des Moines has still not had a 3" snowfall since December 2015. This really is a pretty ridiculous stat. Over the last eleven years, even my four lousy winters, combined, have had nine 3+" snowfalls, seven 4+" snowfalls, and three 5+" snowfalls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 4 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: Including this one, my last three Januarys, combined, have accumulated only 7.9" of snow. It has been the same for places like Waterloo and Des Moines. January has become a dead month. Des Moines has still not had a 3" snowfall since December 2015. Toronto has been in the same boat when it comes to January snowfall in recent years. Even December, however, the last two have been fairly decent. I'm starting to wonder if this is some new climate regime were entering into or is it just something temporary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 33 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: Including this one, my last three Januarys, combined, have accumulated only 7.9" of snow. It has been the same for places like Waterloo and Des Moines. January has become a dead month. Des Moines has still not had a 3" snowfall since December 2015. This really is a pretty ridiculous stat. Over the last eleven years, even my four lousy winters have had nine 3+" snowfalls, combined. I think this is in part because winters further west seem to have more variability as most of their snow comes from SW flow events. Even 100 miles further east, which isn't very far, it seems we can count on a clipper or two to drop 3" of snowfall. It seems Waterloo and Cedar Rapids are close to the furthest SW periphery that can regularly expect clippers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GreenBo Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 We’ve been killing it here this winter. Only complaint to date is the pesky thaw we just wrapped up. Thaws happen but I’d rather I wait until March or April when it’s expected and appreciated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 2 hours ago, hawkeye_wx said: Including this one, my last three Januarys, combined, have accumulated only 7.9" of snow. It has been the same for places like Waterloo and Des Moines. January has become a dead month. Des Moines has still not had a 3" snowfall since December 2015. This really is a pretty ridiculous stat. Over the last eleven years, even my four lousy winters, combined, have had nine 3+" snowfalls, seven 4+" snowfalls, and three 5+" snowfalls. I don't know about you, but I'm pretty jacked up over the 1/3-3/4" of fluff coming behind the cold front on Saturday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 4 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: I don't know about you, but I'm pretty jacked up over the 1/3-3/4" of fluff coming behind the cold front on Saturday! Ok Pensacola. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 5 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Ok Pensacola. lol pretty much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justin Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 Sun angle getting higher every day, days lengthening, nothing big in site.... I'm over this Winter. I was hopeful but knew deep down the dry Fall pattern going into Winter was concerning. I'm now by Prairie Du Chien, WI. (Long story), and despite the frequent clippers I've yet to crack double digit seasonal snowfall yet. The upcoming pattern, in my opinion, will favor the Kansas-Ohio corridor and points South for bigger storms, perhaps East coast too. I'll bet when this next cold air shot (which looks a bit less impressive) lifts out and adjust back over the Northern plains around 2/14'ish we get another lakes cutter. Probably a Minnesota special if that happens, just a gut feeling looking at how the long range data is trying to play out. In the Southern Wi, IL, IA, MO, IN region perhaps we get a surprise in March or April but I'm not holding my breath. Biggest snow last Winter in Muscatine, Ia where I stayed was a week after our tornado and that was only around 5-6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 57 minutes ago, Justin said: Sun angle getting higher every day, days lengthening, nothing big in site.... I'm over this Winter. I was hopeful but knew deep down the dry Fall pattern going into Winter was concerning. I'm now by Prairie Du Chien, WI. (Long story), and despite the frequent clippers I've yet to crack double digit seasonal snowfall yet. The upcoming pattern, in my opinion, will favor the Kansas-Ohio corridor and points South for bigger storms, perhaps East coast too. I'll bet when this next cold air shot (which looks a bit less impressive) lifts out and adjust back over the Northern plains around 2/14'ish we get another lakes cutter. Probably a Minnesota special if that happens, just a gut feeling looking at how the long range data is trying to play out. In the Southern Wi, IL, IA, MO, IN region perhaps we get a surprise in March or April but I'm not holding my breath. Biggest snow last Winter in Muscatine, Ia where I stayed was a week after our tornado and that was only around 5-6". Nice to hear from ya man! Sorry to see you leave the area. AFA snowfall, things can only get better right? lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 1 hour ago, Justin said: Biggest snow last Winter in Muscatine, Ia where I stayed was a week after our tornado and that was only around 5-6". I know there was some pretty significant damage and injuries with that tornado and nobody likes to see that but you have to admit, F-2 to 6 inches of snow in a week, that's some true Midwest weather right there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 On 1/28/2018 at 10:03 PM, Hoosier said: Hey beavis, here's a gear grinder for you. Paducah is currently running ahead of ORD with snow, 12.4" to 10.0". Checking Paducah's records, there has never been a year that they have outsnowed Chicago... although the Paducah records don't go back as far as what's available for Chicago. It would be pretty amazing if Paducah actually finishes ahead, but there's a ton of time to go. My money's on Chicago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 8 hours ago, snowstormcanuck said: My money's on Chicago. Same. Chicago probably ends up with 10-15" more than Paducah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justin Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 15 hours ago, Jackstraw said: I know there was some pretty significant damage and injuries with that tornado and nobody likes to see that but you have to admit, F-2 to 6 inches of snow in a week, that's some true Midwest weather right there. Gotta love the Midwest. I was surprised there were not more serious injuries considering it was around 1030pm on the last day of February. Missed my location by just over half a mile, I thought I was in trouble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justin Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 16 hours ago, cyclone77 said: Nice to hear from ya man! Sorry to see you leave the area. AFA snowfall, things can only get better right? lol. I am only a couple hours away. I'll be visiting come Spring. Luckily I got a couple places up here I do consulting work for. Been thinking about starting some sort of business providing personalized weather information. Family issues have pulled me all over the place the last year and I'm where I need to be finally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 11 hours ago, snowstormcanuck said: My money's on Chicago. Odds strongly favor it, but Paducah may hang tough as this upcoming pattern could produce snow in both places. I didn't look to see if Paducah has ever been ahead at the start of February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 Money should easily be on ORD, but if the upcoming suppression comes to fruition, combined with a clipper train, the underdog may increase it's lead and it would take a late game rally for the overwhelming favorite to come back. It may take a March hail Mary of a late season cement dump as the season comes down to the wire. Chicago may win by a nose as climo puts ORD in its' wheelhouse in March, because as you know, winter is a marathon, not a sprint and it ain't over 'til the fat lady sings. Therefore, ORD may be down, but not out. Did I cover all of the bases with the sports metaphors? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 So hyped about this upcoming pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 ALEK is optimistic about the upcoming pattern for northern IL/Chicago metro ("bullish" in his words). Aside from when it briefly appeared like late December into early January could produce a big synoptic system, this is the only other time he's been optimistic about the medium-long range pattern all season. He's been pretty spot on (including calling under 1" at ORD for December 29th clipper), so let's see how it goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 6 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said: ALEK is optimistic about the upcoming pattern for northern IL/Chicago metro ("bullish" in his words). Aside from when it briefly appeared like late December into early January could produce a big synoptic system, this is the only other time he's been optimistic about the medium-long range pattern all season. He's been pretty spot on (including calling under 1" at ORD for December 29th clipper), so let's see how it goes. Tell him to get his ass back over here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 16 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said: ALEK is optimistic about the upcoming pattern for northern IL/Chicago metro ("bullish" in his words). Aside from when it briefly appeared like late December into early January could produce a big synoptic system, this is the only other time he's been optimistic about the medium-long range pattern all season. He's been pretty spot on (including calling under 1" at ORD for December 29th clipper), so let's see how it goes. 10 minutes ago, Jonger said: Tell him to get his ass back over here. An extremely rare occurrence that I agree with Jonger. Also I do agree with Alek. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 36 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said: ALEK is optimistic about the upcoming pattern for northern IL/Chicago metro ("bullish" in his words). Aside from when it briefly appeared like late December into early January could produce a big synoptic system, this is the only other time he's been optimistic about the medium-long range pattern all season. He's been pretty spot on (including calling under 1" at ORD for December 29th clipper), so let's see how it goes. Bullish about multiple snow chances that add up or the potential for a big event? If it's the latter, I don't know... not a great look for appreciable chances for big storms in northern IL imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 Bullish about multiple snow chances that add up or the potential for a big event? If it's the latter, I don't know... not a great look for appreciable chances for big storms in northern IL imo.Multiple chances that add up. Agree on it not being a great look for big storms. Sent from my SM-G935V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 4 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said: Multiple chances that add up. Agree on it not being a great look for big storms. Sent from my SM-G935V using Tapatalk Seems reasonable. There are a number of disturbances progged in/near the area in coming days. I'd call it the "throw **** at the wall" pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 Seems reasonable. There are a number of disturbances progged in/near the area in coming days. I'd call it the "throw **** at the wall" pattern. That's a good way to put it, 00z runs so far keep that theme going. Sent from my SM-G935V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 This is a great blog if you're interested in interior Alaska climate: http://ak-wx.blogspot.com/ Here is the link to an article on a place in Siberia that had a low temp of 33F yesterday...which is 69 degrees above normal http://ak-wx.blogspot.com/2018/01/chukotka-warmth.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 Looks like even Morocco has beat out places in the Midwest in terms of snowfall this year. Check out the snow on their palm trees! https://www.moroccoworldnews.com/2018/01/239497/zagoura-ouarzazate-taroudant-snow/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 Would've rather had the upcoming stretch happen in December. My standards get raised as winter goes on and thus I enjoy the smaller snows less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 ^^^ I'm almost always game for snow-on-snow tho, so I'll take 1-3 at a time. Maybe we get lucky and the 4-6th wave becomes more juiced like the Dec 13th storm did for some. Twice I penny, nickel, dimed my way to approx 6" depth. Be nice to raise the bar during Feb. Certainly looks likely I beat last Feb's paltry 2.9" total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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