OHweather Posted October 5, 2017 Share Posted October 5, 2017 1 hour ago, OHweather said: Already 81. They added 3F from this time yesterday with fewer clouds but more of an onshore flow. It'll be close for my 84. Ouch. Sea breeze wasn't supposed to get there that early. 81 looks like the high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 5, 2017 Share Posted October 5, 2017 1 hour ago, OHweather said: Ouch. Sea breeze wasn't supposed to get there that early. 81 looks like the high. Winds relaxed long enough for temperature to spike back up. I'm seeing 82 in 5-minute observations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 5, 2017 Share Posted October 5, 2017 1 hour ago, WxBlue said: Winds relaxed long enough for temperature to spike back up. I'm seeing 82 in 5-minute observations. Climo says 84. I can't believe they bounced back up after that. Puts me in first overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 2 hours ago, OHweather said: Climo says 84. I can't believe they bounced back up after that. Puts me in first overall. Nice forecast didnt see that bump happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 79/63/13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 1 hour ago, so_whats_happening said: Nice forecast didnt see that bump happening. Thanks. I honestly didn't expect the sea breeze to get there at all, so I thought I was toast when it did. Luckily the west winds were strong enough to push the sea breeze back SE of PVD. Went 80/60/13 for day 8. Honestly no clue on the low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted October 6, 2017 Author Share Posted October 6, 2017 77/60/11 Hoping for more clouds to keep the temperature from getting to 80F. Definitely uncertainty about the low but the USL has been so good here hard to go against it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 80/60/11 The low was 58 this morning :\ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 After the low getting chilly this morning...I need a high of 80 to finish in first. If the high doesn't hit 80 I need the winds to hit 13+ knots. At this point they're running pretty warm, but the sea breeze will get there at some point early to mid-afternoon. It'll be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 Finished the city 58th assuming everything stay the same. Solid score to kick off the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 Congrats to Jim for his 1st place finish! I ended up not too far behind in 5th and took come the 2nd place cat 3 trophy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 On 10/6/2017 at 6:54 AM, OHweather said: After the low getting chilly this morning...I need a high of 80 to finish in first. If the high doesn't hit 80 I need the winds to hit 13+ knots. At this point they're running pretty warm, but the sea breeze will get there at some point early to mid-afternoon. It'll be interesting. Way to crush it!!! Great start for the UW team--sweeping the cat 2 trophies and 5th overall in the standings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted October 10, 2017 Author Share Posted October 10, 2017 80/70/12/0.33 I don't know why I bought what the NAM was selling but I sure am regretting it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted October 10, 2017 Share Posted October 10, 2017 85/71/10/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 10, 2017 Share Posted October 10, 2017 85/70/9/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted October 10, 2017 Share Posted October 10, 2017 not sure whats going on at KDCA but the 5 min obs appear to be off between 11:20 - 11:45 am .. weird temp and wind spike Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 10, 2017 Share Posted October 10, 2017 27 minutes ago, ma blizzard said: not sure whats going on at KDCA but the 5 min obs appear to be off between 11:20 - 11:45 am .. weird temp and wind spike NWS will probably discard that set of observations in their climo report. Still up to 82 by 12:30 pm, however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 10, 2017 Share Posted October 10, 2017 Thanks guys! Went 83/71/11 for day 1. The METAR has 88 as the max so far so that'll probably be used. I have no idea how it got that warm, oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 11, 2017 Share Posted October 11, 2017 Tough forecast. 73/66/17/0.30" Not really confident in anything. Struggled to see the warmer highs with clouds all day and a fairly brisk E wind north of the warm front, so as long as they get to 73 by 6z I'm not sure they get back above it. Low I just sort of averaged guidance at 6z tomorrow night. Wasn't impressed with the rain potential as the better lift is farther north, but it'll be convective in a high PWAT environment so if a cell does hit the airport they'll quickly get a good amount. Tried to hedge so I don't get completely burned either way if they end up on the low end or if they get a good amount. Wind sort of just guessed but the low level flow looks strong enough...just not sure if there will be any mixing of that down to the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted October 11, 2017 Share Posted October 11, 2017 77/68/16/0.45 I didn't think it would take much sun to get upper-70s and the precip looked quite scattered. Seemed similar to Sunday where the precip failed to knock the temperature down much. Too humid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 11, 2017 Share Posted October 11, 2017 75/67/14/0.45 I'm glad I started well on Day 1 because not having rain burned me pretty good today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted October 11, 2017 Share Posted October 11, 2017 It will be interesting to see HRRR shows a nice blob of rain coming in at 02z-06z and continuing into the next day radar rather unimpressive as of yet. Gonna be a close one for those who called for rain. Nice forcing aloft strongest in PA but with Cape to the west and a nice dynamic front trying to set up and even the possibility of them getting close to triple point region. Oh so close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoveSN+ Posted October 11, 2017 Share Posted October 11, 2017 It doesn't help that the DC radar is down. Rather annoying to be honest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted October 12, 2017 Author Share Posted October 12, 2017 68/60/14/0.03 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted October 12, 2017 Share Posted October 12, 2017 67/59/17/0.03 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted October 12, 2017 Share Posted October 12, 2017 Im glad im not in this year because this would more than annoy me KDCA 121552Z 09013G20KT 4SM -DZ OVC012 18/14 A3026 RMK AO2 DZB35 SLP245 T01780144 PNO $ Been happening since early morning about from when that rain started which I have doubts on those totals of .11" because many around have at least a quarter inch but hey that will be for them to decide when they figure it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted October 13, 2017 Author Share Posted October 13, 2017 69/58/16/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted October 17, 2017 Author Share Posted October 17, 2017 65/45/12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 17, 2017 Share Posted October 17, 2017 64/44/12 figured that maybe with a NNW wind all night advecting in colder air that the UHI wouldn't be as bad, but that was obviously wrong as MOS wins and the raw models lose again for this place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 17, 2017 Share Posted October 17, 2017 63/45/12 Things were ideal for a nice cooling below 45, but MOS/USL combo is doing pretty decent with DCA and it was showing between 45 to 48 so I went on the low side of that. Also noticed models are running a tad too warm for DCA recently so I played it safe with 63 instead of going warmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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