UMB WX Posted October 27, 2017 Share Posted October 27, 2017 I was surprised to not read about some big totals up there by, Bo in the UP. Are they getting warmed tongued or something New AFD is ramping up totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted October 27, 2017 Share Posted October 27, 2017 12z Euro agrees with the NAM on this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osubrett2 Posted October 27, 2017 Share Posted October 27, 2017 Another strong cold front moving through. It's a beautiful day here, tagged 70 at CMH. Looking west, it's in the upper 30s near Indianapolis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 27, 2017 Author Share Posted October 27, 2017 47 minutes ago, snowlover2 said: 12z Euro agrees with the NAM on this. Not sure how much will stick with temps looking to be above freezing while precipitating, and a lot of residual warmth this early in the season. Would certainly undercut what the maps are suggesting, but maybe enough for a coating, especially colder surfaces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted October 27, 2017 Share Posted October 27, 2017 ILN's latest thoughts. Quote Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington OH 327 PM EDT Fri Oct 27 2017 .SYNOPSIS... A cold front will move through the region today, with rain and cooling temperatures coming in behind it. After the precipitation ends on Saturday morning, much cooler conditions will be in place over the weekend and into early next week. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/... 3PM surface observations indicate that the cold front has entered the ILN CWA and is slowly making its way east. The forward motion of this front is not especially fast, and as has been expected, the precipitation has almost exclusively developed behind it. This seems to be more aligned to thetheta-e gradient in the 850mb-700mb layer, along with aligning more favorably with upper-level support. The basics of the forecast are straightforward -- a gradual spreading of PoPs from west to east, with 100-percent chances of precipitation for every grid point in the forecast area. Winds shift to the WNW (and may remain slightly gusty for a while) along with a steep drop in temperatures that will continue into the overnight hours. Though precipitation amounts of several tenths of an inch (over a half inch in the SW ILN CWA) are possible, heavy rain is not expected. One thing that is notable is that the front is forecast to slow and lose some definition as the night progresses, which is likely one reason why precipitation amounts should be heavier further to the west. Two wrinkles to the forecast involve the potential for wintry precipitation. There have been several spots with enhancedradar echoes over Indiana today, along with a few reports of sleet mixing in with the rain. Looking at HRRR soundings, there does appear to be a narrow cool layer at around 925mb that will slowly advect west along with the greatest ascent. Though said ascent may be gradually weakening with time, and thus this part of the forecast is not of the highest confidence, there does appear to be a chance for some sleet to mix in during the late evening / early overnight hours, primarily in the western half of the forecast area. Nothing beyond a nuisance accumulation is expected. The second concern is the possibility of a change to snow on the back side of the band of precipitation. PoPs were adjusted carefully based on 12Z WRF-ARW/WRF-NMM projections, in order to keep the cut-off timing as sharp as possible. Nonetheless, temperatures should be dropping into the 30s before this occurs, at least where temperatures will be coldest in the western half of the ILN CWA. This has forced the inclusion of a rain/snow mix in the final hour or two in which precipitation will be possible. The most likely scenario will be for most locations to not receive any accumulations from this mix. However, even along the back edge of the precipitation, there may be some slightly heavier waves -- recent HRRR and RAP runs have indicated this. Thus, it appears possible that there could be some isolated tenth-or-two accumulations (if the warm antecedent conditions do not melt everything that falls). Another cause for uncertainty, though, is that sounding profiles may be somewhat isothermal -- which could keep hydrometeors just on the warm side of the freezing mark as they fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted October 27, 2017 Share Posted October 27, 2017 Northwest Minnesota saw snow yesterday, and so did I. This is worse, though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted October 27, 2017 Share Posted October 27, 2017 Many reports of sleet across Central and Eastern IN and NW OH. Just a raw autumn evening here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted October 27, 2017 Share Posted October 27, 2017 A record's a record, but lol. RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN 750 PM EDT FRI OCT 27 2017 ...RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM SNOWFALL SET AT INDIANAPOLIS INDIANA... TODAY/S TRACE OF SLEET AT THE INDIANAPOLIS INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT TIES THE OLD RECORD OF A TRACE OF FROZEN PRECIPITATION...AKA SNOWFALL...SET IN 2008 AND PREVIOUS YEARS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rainsucks Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 really didn't feel that bad outside today, not as cold as I thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 53 minutes ago, rainsucks said: really didn't feel that bad outside today, not as cold as I thought. Yeah it felt like July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 28, 2017 Author Share Posted October 28, 2017 14 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: Yeah it felt like July. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 Enjoying watching the snowflakes fall in the lights up at Michigan Tech...these webcams are a great opportunity to track the winter weather in the UP. Looking forward to some pictures, Bo! https://www.mtu.edu/webcams/mid-campus/motion.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 8 hours ago, UMB WX said: I was surprised to not read about some big totals up there by, Bo in the UP. Are they getting warmed tongued or something New AFD is ramping up totals 19 minutes ago, blackrock said: Enjoying watching the snowflakes fall in the lights up at Michigan Tech...these webcams are a great opportunity to track the winter weather in the UP. Looking forward to some pictures, Bo! https://www.mtu.edu/webcams/mid-campus/motion.html 1.61" of rain today (7.85" for the month)...dry slotted now and 34. Should see some flakes later tonight and in the morning, with a few inches possible. Wow @ some of the snow falling west of here! Early start on the snowpack for some locations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 Some flurries across the area this morning and early afternoon.Still looks like a decent show at -RA/SN in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 28, 2017 Author Share Posted October 28, 2017 46 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Some flurries across the area this morning and early afternoon. Still looks like a decent show at -RA/SN in the morning. October 2014 was the last time ORD had a T or greater in October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 We had very light flurries initially today, then had some showery bursts of small sleet/snow grains later in the afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 No flakes yet here that I've seen. Just stepped outside and it's drizzling. Good chance we've had a few flakes here but I haven't seen any yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 Had a touch of ice pellets before I left work. About 10 minutes worth as the rain was ending, had some driving home as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XfireLOW Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 10 hours ago, Chinook said: Northwest Minnesota saw snow yesterday, and so did I. This is worse, though At one point my nws point forecast was to get 6-12 inches with this storm. I got 2 inches! The wind was real though. If this had been a winter storm with frozen snow covered ground it would have been a region wide blizzard shutting things down for a day or more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 Picked up another 1 inch of rain with the front. What snow that did develop was east of me this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 A dusting in centerville Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 Still no freeze, here. We held steady at 34/35 all night. Tonight we should finally drop into the 20s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osubrett2 Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 19 hours ago, osubrett2 said: Another strong cold front moving through. It's a beautiful day here, tagged 70 at CMH. Looking west, it's in the upper 30s near Indianapolis. 71 yesterday, snow today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 We had O.26" of rain last night but between midnight and 3:00 a.m. there were a few sleet pellets and snowflakes mixed in. Nothing at all to write home about but clearly the 1st frozen precip of the 2017-18 season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 Just had 10-15 minutes of sleet on the back edge of the precip. Forecast soundings had enough of a cold layer between 1-4k feet, was a question of if the 36-38F surface temps would melt it. For a few minutes, the answer was no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 Occasional rain/sleet/snow showers here along the coast of Lake Michigan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 Left for work this morning a little after 7am and walked out to snow falling and both front and back windshields with a light coating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 Had some sprinkles this morning, felt like melting snowflakes on my head, but not ready to write it down as the first official flakes of the season yet.... although the lake effect belts looked good on radar for first real flakes early this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 In the Buffalo news. 28.8 foot wave on Lake Superior shatters Great Lakes records. Incredible stuff. http://buffalonews.com/2017/10/27/great-lakes-largest-wave-logged-this-week-in-michigan-storm/?utm_campaign=puma&utm_medium=social&utm_source=Facebook#link_time=1509122322 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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