Tyler Penland Posted March 17, 2018 Author Share Posted March 17, 2018 Oh, and speaking of snow photos. My roommate and I trudged up part of Grandfather after the first event. It was gorgeous, albeit windy. Sent from my SM-G930R7 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 Some big boomers inbound from TN. Eight inches of snow and thunderstorms in the same week then back to snow the next. March can be a trip sometimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 1 minute ago, SnoJoe said: Some big boomers inbound from TN. Eight inches of snow and thunderstorms in the same week then back to snow the next. March can be a trip sometimes. But I love it...at least the weather isn't boring! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHawk Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 56 minutes ago, Buckethead said: But I love it...at least the weather isn't boring! Agreed...well, I thought I was off of here for a while...but looks like we have an interesting mid-week event...keen lightning and rain here in Todd...something knocked off the ball games for a few minutes...probably the weather....anyway we are currently under a STSW until 9:45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted March 18, 2018 Author Share Posted March 18, 2018 Had enough pea sized hail to look like a good dusting of snow. What a March so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 We had 5 minutes of rain and 10 minutes of thunder. Looks like the storms are going to miss us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 Thunder, lightning and some pretty good downpours over the last 2.5 hours in Boone. What a week!. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 Watches, warnings, or advisories incoming tomorrow at this time. Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Graham- Northern Jackson- 543 PM EDT Sun Mar 18 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. ..Monday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. ..Tuesday...Winter weather likely. Snow will mix with rain, changing to all snow by Tuesday evening and continue across the higher elevations of the North Carolina mountains through Tuesday night. Travel difficulties are probable. ..Wednesday...Winter weather likely. Snowfall will continue across the higher elevations of the North Carolina mountains into the evening Wednesday. Travel difficulties are likely. ..Thursday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. ..Friday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. ..Saturday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Higher elevations are going to get hammered again tomorrow night and through mid day Thursday. Looks like we could have a little bit of dry slotting occurring over the valleys, but the flow looks so strong, that eventually it leverages the dry air out of the way. Should be another interesting event with 6”+ possible again for some of you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 1 hour ago, Hvward said: Higher elevations are going to get hammered again tomorrow night and through mid day Thursday. Looks like we could have a little bit of dry slotting occurring over the valleys, but the flow looks so strong, that eventually it leverages the dry air out of the way. Should be another interesting event with 6”+ possible again for some of you! March is quickly becoming my favorite month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 GSP showing on the snow map 1.3 inches tomorrow night for Asheville, 1.7 Waynesville, .1 Brevard. around 2 inches Burnsville area and 3 inches north of there with locally higher amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 2 hours ago, Tacoma said: GSP showing on the snow map 1.3 inches tomorrow night for Asheville, 1.7 Waynesville, .1 Brevard. around 2 inches Burnsville area and 3 inches north of there with locally higher amounts. You're right. You can double, triple, or even sometimes quadruple those amounts on the boarder and peaks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Ward is really optimistic, to say the least. Someone along the border could get double digits this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 I don't see this one being as good as the last one but time will tell. The last one had a solid shortwave dropping into the trough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 1 hour ago, Buckethead said: Ward is really optimistic, to say the least. Someone along the border could get double digits this time. Yes this snow event looks a little more potent than the last snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 So looking at the 12z GFS. we might have some more action around the 29th. Several close calls to. Gonna have to postpone spring til april. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 355 PM EDT Mon Mar 19 2018 ...RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW OVER THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS TUESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING PERIODICALLY INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING... .An upper level area of low pressure will wobble into the area Tuesday night, while surface low pressure develops along the eastern seaboard. This should instigate a band of precipitation over the region, with rain changing to snow in the North Carolina mountains. NCZ033-048>052-058-059-201200- /O.NEW.KGSP.WS.A.0002.180321T0400Z-180322T0400Z/ Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Graham- Northern Jackson- Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Faust, Mars Hill, Marshall, Walnut, Allenstand, Hot Springs, Luck, Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, Poplar, Alarka, Almond, Bryson City, Luada, Wesser, Waynesville, Waterville, Canton, Cruso, Cove Creek, Robbinsville, Stecoah, Cullowhee, Tuckasegee, and Sylva 355 PM EDT Mon Mar 19 2018 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches, although some valley spots could range from 2 to 4 inches. * WHERE...Portions of western North Carolina. * WHEN...From late Tuesday night through Wednesday evening. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions, including during the morning commute on Wednesday. Tree branches could fall, especially with wind gusts increasing to 35 to 45 mph, along with any wet snow. Significant reductions in visibility are possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted March 19, 2018 Author Share Posted March 19, 2018 12z Euro has an extremely weird looking ice storm on the 27th. Weird, weird look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 GSP sounds like wwa may go out for the rest of wnc mtns., at some point. Hunter Ward thinks there is potential for Asheville City to see 2 to 4 inches and around the airport 1 to 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 2 hours ago, Tyler Penland said: 12z Euro has an extremely weird looking ice storm on the 27th. Weird, weird look. February was such a tease. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted March 20, 2018 Author Share Posted March 20, 2018 Just now, BooneWX said: February was such a tease. Absolutely. And the 18z GFS has a decent ice event this Saturday. I get the feeling this is gonna be the "winter that wouldn't end" before all is said and done. Fine by me, I moved here for the cold. I'll take snow over 75 any day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Upping the totals some,. ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM EDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches, with 4 to 6 inches along the immediate Tennessee border, and localized 8 inches or better along the highest ridge tops. In addition, northwest winds will increase to 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 50 mph along the higher ridges. * WHERE...Western North Carolina mountain locations near the Tennessee border. * WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to 8 AM EDT Thursday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions. Tree branches could fall. Expect significant reductions in visibility at times. Scattered power outages will be possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 3 minutes ago, SnoJoe said: Upping the totals some,. ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM EDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches, with 4 to 6 inches along the immediate Tennessee border, and localized 8 inches or better along the highest ridge tops. In addition, northwest winds will increase to 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 50 mph along the higher ridges. * WHERE...Western North Carolina mountain locations near the Tennessee border. * WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to 8 AM EDT Thursday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions. Tree branches could fall. Expect significant reductions in visibility at times. Scattered power outages will be possible. Was just looking at the 6z GFS, that pocket of really heavy snow is really close to the northern counties, could get a surprise from this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 And don't look now but!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted March 20, 2018 Author Share Posted March 20, 2018 And don't look now but!!!!!!!!That system looks like a lot of ice to me rather than snow. Sent from my SM-G930R7 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moonhowl Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 10 hours ago, Tyler Penland said: Absolutely. And the 18z GFS has a decent ice event this Saturday. I get the feeling this is gonna be the "winter that wouldn't end" before all is said and done. Fine by me, I moved here for the cold. I'll take snow over 75 any day. Back when the January cold was locked in I have been suspecting this would be the type of winter that would extend into April with at least NWFS. I still think it will be mid April before we see February type temperatures again No doubt you will enjoy the Spring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 This frame right here is the surprise factor. Looks like 40's for us, but 30's are right above the line and any wiggle south could go Boom for someone. Looing at the HRRR, it shows potential for this to happen on a couple of past runs, especially for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 HRDPS showing this as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHawk Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 1 hour ago, AsheCounty48 said: HRDPS showing this as well. NW NC counties (Ashe, Avery, Watauga) will pick up some decent totals...just not sure yet about a good prediction as models putting out anywhere from 3" to over a foot for here on Rittle Knob. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Feel free to disagree, but I'll be shocked if roads are bad from this system for any sustained period of time. We've had a very warm stretch of days and it's pretty warm and sunny this afternoon as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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