Phelps Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 GSP and Blacksburg pulled back big time due to warm layer and mixing issues. I thought I could escape that problem on top of a mountain. I guess it's March though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K4CF Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 Yep...Miller-B's are never good for us...could be all rain until the nwf tease Monday night...hoping for a change late in the game lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 1 hour ago, Phelps said: GSP and Blacksburg pulled back big time due to warm layer and mixing issues. I thought I could escape that problem on top of a mountain. I guess it's March though. Yeah, GSP's Winter Storm Watch went from 3 to 5 widespread to "up to 3". Lollipops went from 10 to 5. By this time tomorrow, we'll probably be under just an advisory at most. But that's how mid-March storms go. Anything this time of year nowadays is a bonus I guess. It's still frustrating to end yet another winter with only half of my total snowfall average. After this upcoming week, I wouldn't care if temps were in the 70's from then on. Bring on the beach and golf weather! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Guess I'm pulling for the 12k Nam. Nothing else is worth the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 1 hour ago, AsheCounty48 said: Guess I'm pulling for the 12k Nam. Nothing else is worth the time. I really thought this was our storm but looks like another let down. Eric Webber just put out his map and he has us at 2-5. I'll take it but a day ago I was thinking this one might be the biggest of the year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted March 11, 2018 Author Share Posted March 11, 2018 Idk if this is worth noting (I think so) but the euro is running several degree high on DPs for Boone. Currently 38/31. If we stay south of 40 on temps that could have a big effect later. Maybe some IP/zr in spots depending on how thick the warm nose is. Sent from my SM-G930R7 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 I’m not going to get bogged down by amounts. I still think this has potential to be a big storm. Two weeks ago it was in the 70s and we had no hope, so I’ll take any appreciable snow and call it a winter. If it’s any consolation, I remember our last decent storm here in Boone and the NWS had 3 inches as the low percentage “worst case scenario for boone,” and called for maybe an inch. I got 6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 48 minutes ago, SnoJoe said: LOL. Well, at least if it doesn't snow in Asheville, I can go to Burnsville and see 4 flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Nws Boone. 3 to 5 with localized up to 8. I still say the ridge tops break 12 inch Mark by midnight Monday. Sugar,beech, Grandfather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 25 minutes ago, NCSNOW said: Nws Boone. 3 to 5 with localized up to 8. I still say the ridge tops break 12 inch Mark by midnight Monday. Sugar,beech, Grandfather. I certainly hope so - at sugar for a last hurrah ski trip. It’s cold and wet now hoping to see a couple of inches of snow to end the season. 37 with light rain on and off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 EURO is a good hit for blue ridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 23 minutes ago, wncsnow said: EURO is a good hit for blue ridge Looks big for anyone west of 77 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 How does it look for the higher elevations of the southern mtns? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 38 minutes ago, wncsnow said: EURO is a good hit for blue ridge Ray mentioned this morning that areas east would see more than west. Don't know the reasoning behind it though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted March 11, 2018 Author Share Posted March 11, 2018 HRRR has a nice band setting up over Watauga/Ashe by 8AM tomorrow. Also changes us to snow before the inital precip ends as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 39 minutes ago, Rainforrest said: How does it look for the higher elevations of the southern mtns? Not great for you. Worse for me. Does not seem good for us at all. Actually, eastern Buncombe looks okay. I am tired of this winter and ready for spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 24 minutes ago, SnoJoe said: Ray mentioned this morning that areas east would see more than west. Don't know the reasoning behind it though. I'm not feeling good about this one. I just want 3"... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 15 minutes ago, Buckethead said: I'm not feeling good about this one. I just want 3"... I would take 1. Just 1 inch of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 4 minutes ago, ncjoaquin said: I would take 1. Just 1 inch of snow. Yep this is frustrating, thought maybe most of us would see at least a couple of inches. why is it that mostly its a bust instead of being stronger. Come on Spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 And where was the rain today? NWS had me at 80% today and I haven't seen a drop. Any rain showing up on radar is still several hours away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 If I'm reading GSP's AFD right, they pretty much have given up on the frontend snow because snow levels won't drop until tomorrow morning or even as late as noon. Maybe 1 to 3 at the highest elevations. Said they aren't going to make changes to the warning or advisories because of the 1 inch of flow snow both Monday night and Tuesday night. I'm sure it has but it doesn't seem like forecasting is a whole better than it was when I was a kid. The exception may being hurricane tracks. How many wholesale changes have we seen this winter alone within 24, 18, and even 12 hours before the event. I guess that unpredictability is what makes this hobby so fun, and frustrating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Some of the models have foot amounts at spots in Ashe...Even the GFS is a lot better. this doesn't happen often, but i may outscore the entire sub forum on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted March 11, 2018 Author Share Posted March 11, 2018 7 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said: Some of the models have foot amounts at spots in Ashe...Even the GFS is a lot better. this doesn't happen often, but i may outscore the entire sub forum on this one. HRRR looks great for both Watauga and Ashe and really pastes you for sure. Best of luck! Either way looks like spring break is gonna last just a little bit longer for App. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHawk Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 11 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said: Some of the models have foot amounts at spots in Ashe...Even the GFS is a lot better. this doesn't happen often, but i may outscore the entire sub forum on this one. Any images of the GFS/HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 7 minutes ago, Tyler Penland said: HRRR looks great for both Watauga and Ashe and really pastes you for sure. Best of luck! Either way looks like spring break is gonna last just a little bit longer for App. Really hoping you guys score big time just hoping for 1/2” to get to 20” for the season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 2 hours ago, SnoJoe said: And where was the rain today? NWS had me at 80% today and I haven't seen a drop. Any rain showing up on radar is still several hours away. Came up east. Been raining almost all day across the triad. Much more than I expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 Down to 34°/33 up here in the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 Mostly snow in Boone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted March 12, 2018 Author Share Posted March 12, 2018 Still a rain/snow mix here in foscoe. The difference a couple hundred feet makes. Sent from my SM-G930R7 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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