nchighcountrywx Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 KGSP 10am Update NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/ AS OF 1000 AM EST SUNDAY: STRATUS CONTINUES TO EXPAND ACROSS THE CWFA IN RESPONSE TO IMPROVING UPGLIDE ON THE 280 K SFC THIS MORNING. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AREA METARS SUGGEST THE CLOUD DECK IS RATHER SHALLOW ATTM, WITH DEEPER MOISTURE AND SOME SPOTTY PRECIP SOUTH OF I-20 ACROSS THE GULF STATES. THE 12Z NAM PERHAPS HAS BACKED OFF ITS QPF RESPONSE A TAD FROM PREVIOUS RUN, BUT STILL SHOWS SPOTTY LIGHT PRECIP BREAKING OUT BETWEEN NOW AND 21Z, MOSTLY IN THE MOUNTAINS. SFC TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO BE SUB-FREEZING ACROSS THESE AREAS, SO ANYTHING THAT DEVELOPS SHOULD BE OF THE WINTRY VARIETY. THE QUESTION IS STILL WHETHER IT WILL BE FREEZING DRIZZLE OR FLURRIES/LIGHT SNOW, DUE TO LACK OF ICE NUCLEI ACTIVATION. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST SOUNDINGS, WHICH LOOK A LITTLE DEEPER IN THE SATURATED LAYER THAN THE 12Z RAOBS AND CURRENT SATELLITE TRENDS, I THINK IT SHOULD START OUT AS FREEZING DRIZZLE. THEN CAA WILL RAMP UP JUST AS FLOW VEERS MORE WESTERLY AND CUTS OFF THE UPGLIDE EARLY THIS EVENING. THIS IS ALL WELL HANDLED IN THE GRIDS, SO NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WERE MADE. IF PRECIP DOES START DEVELOPING, MAY NEED AN SPS OR EVEN A SHORT-FUSED WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY, IF FREEZING DRIZZLE BECOMES WIDESPREAD. THIS IS STILL A LOW CONFIDENCE FORECAST. OTHERWISE, TEMPS AND SKY COVER LOOK ON TRACK. IT WILL BE COLD, WITH TEMPS ABOUT 15-20 DEG BELOW NORMAL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Nice little surprise ongoing in Boone right now. Adding up quickly . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phelps Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Came up to Beech ready for cold and dry. Snow certainly isn't accumulating but with the dusting and the rime ice everything is white. Thoroughly enjoying it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 You guys up north have made out pretty well the last couple of days. Nothing more than some frozen smoke here. Temp is down to 12.6 though. It'll be quite chilly in the morning I suspect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 http://www.resortcams.com/webcams/king-street-boone/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Quite surprised by this event. Quickly accumulating here in Boone. Tried to upload a video but file size exceeds 1.95mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Shiit has gone downhill in a hurry in Haywood and Buncombe county. The roads are iced up very bad. Wrecks everywhere! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cold air aloft Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 11 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Shiit has gone downhill in a hurry in Haywood and Buncombe county. The roads are iced up very bad. Wrecks everywhere! You got that right, this one caught everybody off guard. We haven't seen a region wide ice event here in WNC in a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 5 minutes ago, cold air aloft said: You got that right, this one caught everybody off guard. We haven't seen a region wide ice event here in WNC in a while. Nope and it is bad. Very bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Wow great surprise here in boone. I'm guessing to have 2-3 inches and still coming down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Wow great surprise here in boone. I'm guessing to have 2-3 inches and still coming down Awesome man!! . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Talk about an overpeformer!!!! Solid 3 inches in jefferson, making the drive to Boone in about an hour, gonna see what that's like, not often we get one like this!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cold air aloft Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 More snow starting to mix in with graupel/freezing fog/sleet/whatever. Good thing tomorrow is a holiday. Hopefully most people will stay off the roads for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 It just keeps on coming down! Have to be over 3 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted January 1, 2018 Author Share Posted January 1, 2018 Right at 2" here in Foscoe and it's still snowing. Awesome surprise to end 2017! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Took this on my back porch about 10 minutes ago with my phone. It is pretty bright outside tonight! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cold air aloft Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 47 minutes ago, Buckethead said: Took this on my back porch about 10 minutes ago with my phone. It is pretty bright outside tonight! Awesome picture. Congrats! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Headed to Disney world leaving the ice and snow. Glad I'm not gonna miss anything but cold and dry. Gfs has a nice snow to ice event next monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Fun day in terms of “surprise” snow. Called for flurries and ended up with a few inches. Couple those inches with sub zero weather and man it feels like winter. Enjoy fellas! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Waking up to -2° here with about 2" of snow on the ground. And the snow is really dry...extremely reflective. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Another NW trend like what just happened on the 12z NAM and WNC will be in business. If we get a phase just 6-12hrs sooner, most here would see at least a couple of inches.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Just now, Hvward said: Another NW trend like what just happened on the 12z NAM and WNC will be in business. If we get a phase just 6-12hrs sooner, most here would see at least a couple of inches. . I guess the Nam is everyone's new years gift. Talk about sudde massive changes. Anything is possible right now especially after what it did yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Could we get in on some good wrap around if this low bombs off the coast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 In the scheme of things in the world, this doesn't matter. But, the airport is reporting 21. Looking at Rays, other Buncombe temps range between 14 to 17. That is a pretty big difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 really need that piece of energy in Kentucky to do a poof job real quick. That LP on Wednesday if modeled correctly by the NAM is a perfect spot for at least a small amount of snow, but if that piece of energy is there, no bueno. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 1 hour ago, ncjoaquin said: In the scheme of things in the world, this doesn't matter. But, the airport is reporting 21. Looking at Rays, other Buncombe temps range between 14 to 17. That is a pretty big difference. The airport temp is in a bad spot to really get a good reading for Buncombe county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 15 minutes ago, Met1985 said: The airport temp is in a bad spot to really get a good reading for Buncombe county. Agreed. It is in the southern most part of the county. Not very representative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Congratulations on all those who saw snow. We had a skiff this morning with a low of 4 degrees. It was pretty windy and dang cold. Yesterday was an absolute cluster. I have never driven on anything more dangerous and so slick in my entire life. Pretty much most of Buncombe county was a skating rink. The weather turned to crap in a matter of minutes and that's all it took. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 1 minute ago, ncjoaquin said: Agreed. It is in the southern most part of the county. Not very representative. Yeah I agree. Somewhere downtown would be better. The airport is in a flat low lying plan that is not well represented by the county weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 31 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Congratulations on all those who saw snow. We had a skiff this morning with a low of 4 degrees. It was pretty windy and dang cold. Yesterday was an absolute cluster. I have never driven on anything more dangerous and so slick in my entire life. Pretty much most of Buncombe county was a skating rink. The weather turned to crap in a matter of minutes and that's all it took. Thankfully, my kids got where they were going. My son was stuck on 26 for 2 hours. I would imagine you are going below 0 tonight unless cloud cover keeps it from happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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