FlatLander48 Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 On 12/20/2017 at 1:28 PM, Met1985 said: For me I did not see much that impressed me... At least from the GFS itself. Expand It wasn't so much of what the GFS showed, more of the general idea that was on it, ice storm (then rain, but that's not important), round 1 of snow, then round 2. Yea, the amounts weren't impressive at all, but would be a fun few days for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 On 12/20/2017 at 2:06 PM, AsheCounty48 said: It wasn't so much of what the GFS showed, more of the general idea that was on it, ice storm (then rain, but that's not important), round 1 of snow, then round 2. Yea, the amounts weren't impressive at all, but would be a fun few days for sure. Expand Yeah I agree. We have threats but I'm just watching the overall pattern take shape. We will see. Again we are in prime position for climo still. Heck I'm still excited about the snow 2 weeks ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted December 20, 2017 Author Share Posted December 20, 2017 I like the look. Obviously doesn't separate precip types but good agreement on a Winter storm on the 28-31. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moonhowl Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 On 12/20/2017 at 2:40 PM, Met1985 said: Yeah I agree. We have threats but I'm just watching the overall pattern take shape. We will see. Again we are in prime position for climo still. Heck I'm still excited about the snow 2 weeks ago. Expand In this neck of the woods I all want is at least one good snow per winter. In my book 5" or more is a good snow; so two weeks ago made this meteorological winter a success in my book. Pressure is off and will enjoy any additional snow gravy if it comes. We went many years without a good snow around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 Kinda ready for this pattern to materialize, kinda hope it completely de-materializes so we can go on with on with the La nina program. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Talk about optimal setup for NWFS once the LP moves away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Although it was showing up as a major ice storm, it plus the NWFS did an ok 1-2 punch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 One word coming to mind from the 12z GFS on storm #1...Boring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 One thing I am liking is the Christmas eve and Christmas early morning hour snow shower activity. It is looking more and more impressive each run of the GFS lately. Something to look forward too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 On 12/22/2017 at 9:52 PM, Met1985 said: One thing I am liking is the Christmas eve and Christmas early morning hour snow shower activity. It is looking more and more impressive each run of the GFS lately. Something to look forward too. Expand All I wanted was an inch this winter. I have 16 so far. Snow on our first Christmas Eve/morning here would be the gravy on top. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 On 12/22/2017 at 11:28 PM, Buckethead said: All I wanted was an inch this winter. I have 16 so far. Snow on our first Christmas Eve/morning here would be the gravy on top. Expand Yeah I agree! Just having snow in the air on Christmas is so rare anyway I would be tickled just too get some early snow showers. Its going to be cold for sure and a lot different than our past 3 Christmases so I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted December 23, 2017 Author Share Posted December 23, 2017 I'm surprised at the lack of talk here about next Fri-Sun. Definitely some potential for a decent storm. 12z Euro had 11" IMBY, and that's not the first run with a good storm. EPS seems to be in good agreement on a storm, just very spread out on timing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 On 12/23/2017 at 5:09 AM, Tyler Penland said: I'm surprised at the lack of talk here about next Fri-Sun. Definitely some potential for a decent storm. 12z Euro had 11" IMBY, and that's not the first run with a good storm. EPS seems to be in good agreement on a storm, just very spread out on timing. Expand It's a week out and the models are jumping like crazy. It's too much fun watching the weenies in the main thread. It is interesting but we need to get a lot closer before we go beast mode. A lot can go wrong from now to then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 I agree. It’s too far away for me to get overly excited. I like the potential, but I’m also hoping that we are talking about snow and strictly snow. I’d rather have 2 inches of rain at 33 degrees than ice. I like my power being on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moonhowl Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 On 12/23/2017 at 12:29 PM, Met1985 said: It's a week out and the models are jumping like crazy. It's too much fun watching the weenies in the main thread. It is interesting but we need to get a lot closer before we go beast mode. A lot can go wrong from now to then. Expand Ha, not being that much of a model watcher, I have learned to look for activity on the mountain thread to see if I should take a threat seriously then start looking at the models. The main thread is for entertainment purposes. Thanks guys for keeping it real here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 On 12/23/2017 at 3:21 PM, Moonhowl said: Ha, not being that much of a model watcher, I have learned to look for activity on the mountain thread to see if I should take a threat seriously then start looking at the models. The main thread is for entertainment purposes. Thanks guys for keeping it real here Expand Lol yeah we are very even kill in this thread I like to think. Shoot if I lived outside the mountains I would be the same way they are looking for any opportunity to see some wintery weather. But we live in the mountains. Several of us have already see a foot of snow already and for this time of the year that is a huge bonus. We watch, we wait, we see what happens before putting on our birthday suit! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 The 12z GFS continues to advertise a great opportunity to see some flakes fly Christmas morning especially along the boarder counties. That would make Christmas that much special. I like where we are for this too happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Lol there is no storm on the 12z GFS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cold air aloft Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 My goodness is the wind howling in Maggie Valley this morning. Limbs, small trees down everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 On 12/23/2017 at 4:52 PM, cold air aloft said: My goodness is the wind howling in Maggie Valley this morning. Limbs, small trees down everywhere. Expand Yeah it has been howling in Clyde also. I went into town and got blown all over the road. Pretty good wind. Warm as heck also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cold air aloft Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 On 12/23/2017 at 4:55 PM, Met1985 said: Yeah it has been howling in Clyde also. I went into town and got blown all over the road. Pretty good wind. Warm as heck also. Expand Yeah, I ready for this frontal system to come through in the next few hours and get temps back to half-way seasonal and then see what the next week or so has in store for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Wind has been blowing hard in franklin too. Need a few days of dry weather. My driveway is a muddy mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Got back from our trip last night and stepped off the plane and was surprised how warm it was. Wind is blowing here too but not bad. Just wish it was colder. Doesn't seem too much like Christmas right now. Btw, New Zealand is spectacular in Dec. Mid 70's for highs, low 50's for lows. This was our third trip this time of year and again the weather was perfect. Highly recommend it if you have a desire to go. The flight and lag is a killer though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 On 12/23/2017 at 5:03 PM, cold air aloft said: Yeah, I ready for this frontal system to come through in the next few hours and get temps back to half-way seasonal and then see what the next week or so has in store for us. Expand Yeah tomorrow will be a huge transition for us. From 60 to 30 degrees in like 36 hours. I am excited about seeing some snow Christmas morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 On 12/23/2017 at 5:13 PM, franklin NCwx said: Wind has been blowing hard in franklin too. Need a few days of dry weather. My driveway is a muddy mess. Expand Yeah someone said the models where reverting back to being dry again in the main thread... I'm like where have you been? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 On 12/23/2017 at 5:47 PM, SnoJoe said: Got back from our trip last night and stepped off the plane and was surprised how warm it was. Wind is blowing here too but not bad. Just wish it was colder. Doesn't seem too much like Christmas right now. Btw, New Zealand is spectacular in Dec. Mid 70's for highs, low 50's for lows. This was our third trip this time of year and again the weather was perfect. Highly recommend it if you have a desire to go. The flight and lag is a killer though. Expand Nice Joe you traveling mofo! I have never been to New Zealand but my papaw has and he said he really enjoyed it. Don't worry Joe colder weather is right around the corner. You should see some snow Christmas morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Alright, getting ready to start my Christmas travelling so I won't be on often, if at all, until Monday night. Having said that, Merry Christmas to all of you guys And I hope the models work in our favor coming up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.C. Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Has anybody hit up Cataloochee yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 On 12/23/2017 at 6:28 PM, J.C. said: Has anybody hit up Cataloochee yet? Expand They are doing well. With the early season snow we have had and the cold temps they have really taken off this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.C. Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 On 12/23/2017 at 6:45 PM, Met1985 said: They are doing well. With the early season snow we have had and the cold temps they have really taken off this season. Expand I'm really a fan of that place, they invested a lot in their snowmaking a couple years ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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