franklin NCwx Posted September 12, 2017 Share Posted September 12, 2017 35 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Lol yeah it's been very cool. Did we average below normal for August? I mean our average high is in the mid to upper 70s still. We have been stuck in the 50s and 60s for several days. Seems like we skipped august. August felt more like sept and sept so far as been more like oct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 12, 2017 Share Posted September 12, 2017 3 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: Seems like we skipped august. August felt more like sept and sept so far as been more like oct. Yeah I agree. We just need a good frost lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted September 12, 2017 Share Posted September 12, 2017 Models show a warm next few weeks, could even get some 90s in the foothills and Western Piedmont.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 12, 2017 Share Posted September 12, 2017 51 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Models show a warm next few weeks, could even get some 90s in the foothills and Western Piedmont.. Yeah both the GFS and Euro show a very strong high pressure building in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted September 15, 2017 Author Share Posted September 15, 2017 Not looking super-warm over the next 10 days but definitely not the cold we saw last week. Euro/EPS are low/mid-70s for highs and mid/upper-50's for lows. Not bad at all for September. I'll definitely take it ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 13 hours ago, Tyler Penland said: Not looking super-warm over the next 10 days but definitely not the cold we saw last week. Euro/EPS are low/mid-70s for highs and mid/upper-50's for lows. Not bad at all for September. I'll definitely take it ha. I agree. Looking at the 850s even with the huge ridge over use I think we look to average about normal and pretty boring weather which in September is the norm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eric Posted September 19, 2017 Share Posted September 19, 2017 Fall color is progressing nicely at Purchase Knob. Archived webcam images around this time period from past years show the color change this year is much ahead of schedule. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 19, 2017 Share Posted September 19, 2017 4 hours ago, Eric said: Fall color is progressing nicely at Purchase Knob. Archived webcam images around this time period from past years show the color change this year is much ahead of schedule. Yep we are coming along here in Haywood. More and more color each day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted September 20, 2017 Author Share Posted September 20, 2017 This was some early color showing in the Gorge on Tuesday. Grandfather looking very nice as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 Euro and the GFS are pretty far off on the 7-10 day range. Euro has a big deep trough that comes into the East but the GFS is not so gun ho. The Euro has not been good at this long lead time for troughs for us. I expect this trough to relax a lot and look like the GFS soon. I hope I am wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted September 21, 2017 Author Share Posted September 21, 2017 8 hours ago, Met1985 said: Euro and the GFS are pretty far off on the 7-10 day range. Euro has a big deep trough that comes into the East but the GFS is not so gun ho. The Euro has not been good at this long lead time for troughs for us. I expect this trough to relax a lot and look like the GFS soon. I hope I am wrong. EPS has been fairly rock-solid and it's cooling us off quite a bit starting next Thursday. Been showing that since it came within range. Fantasy land 18z GFS is a thing of beauty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 21, 2017 Share Posted September 21, 2017 11 hours ago, Tyler Penland said: EPS has been fairly rock-solid and it's cooling us off quite a bit starting next Thursday. Been showing that since it came within range. Fantasy land 18z GFS is a thing of beauty. We cool down but as you see the euro has gone the way of the gods. The euro really has been over amplifying storms and troughs in the 6 to 10 day period over the last year. It may have nailed the track of Irma in long range but it struggles here in the states at that range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 21, 2017 Share Posted September 21, 2017 Lol Tyler as I wrote that this morning the GFS has been really digging that trough deeper and deeper into the east for October 1st. I should have waited... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted September 22, 2017 Share Posted September 22, 2017 13 hours ago, Met1985 said: Lol Tyler as I wrote that this morning the GFS has been really digging that trough deeper and deeper into the east for October 1st. I should have waited... Considering it's good news, we won't hold it against you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 22, 2017 Share Posted September 22, 2017 3 minutes ago, BlueRidgeFolklore said: Considering it's good news, we won't hold it against you. I still don't like the guidance overnight on the trough though. The Euro has basically went away from a deep trough at all. This is a huge problem with the euro. It keeps doing this with so called big troughs and storms. Over amplification is a big issue in that 6 to 10 day frame. Shoot iv even seen it lift a trough out 4 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted September 22, 2017 Share Posted September 22, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted September 22, 2017 Share Posted September 22, 2017 I just noticed that the house I rented for a year when I was doing my grad work at ASU is for sale. It sits right at 4000 feet with 360 views. At the time I rented it, 79-80, it was the only house on the mountain. I could have bought it back then for 99K. https://www.zillow.com/homes/for_sale/pmf,pf_pt/102359905_zpid/globalrelevanceex_sort/36.174673,-81.636783,36.173246,-81.63909_rect/18_zm/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 23, 2017 Share Posted September 23, 2017 20 hours ago, jburns said: I just noticed that the house I rented for a year when I was doing my grad work at ASU is for sale. It sits right at 4000 feet with 360 views. At the time I rented it, 79-80, it was the only house on the mountain. I could have bought it back then for 99K. https://www.zillow.com/homes/for_sale/pmf,pf_pt/102359905_zpid/globalrelevanceex_sort/36.174673,-81.636783,36.173246,-81.63909_rect/18_zm/ Damn. That's how it is up here. Freaking ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted September 24, 2017 Share Posted September 24, 2017 ASU Fall Color Report Howard thinks peak 2 weeks early this year https://biology.appstate.edu/fall-colors Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted September 25, 2017 Share Posted September 25, 2017 Courtesy raysweather.com Photo for September 24, 2017 Donnie Williams sends this photo of Peak Mountain, outside Banner Elk, taken 9-17-2017. The cool air early this month have the leaves thinking "Fall". Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 26, 2017 Share Posted September 26, 2017 High pressure for days. A huge dip in the PNA. This looks to continue for a good bit through early fall at least. So much for the cool down which will be very brief. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted September 26, 2017 Share Posted September 26, 2017 Color really starting to pop ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted September 27, 2017 Share Posted September 27, 2017 Looks about a week ahead of schedule. Experts say it usually does not vary more than a week, despite our feel. Definitely ahead though. The recent warm weather has little effect. Trees actually start shutting down well before color shows. Once the ball is rolling... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted September 27, 2017 Author Share Posted September 27, 2017 High pressure for days. A huge dip in the PNA. This looks to continue for a good bit through early fall at least. So much for the cool down which will be very brief. I'll take a negative PNA all fall if it pops during the winter. Not getting my hopes up, though.This cool snap should get the rest of the leaves going at least. Was very disappointed in how things looked around Mitchell/graveyard the last couple days. Sent from my SM-G930R7 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted September 29, 2017 Share Posted September 29, 2017 Thought I'd share the view fro my back deck earlier. The sun didn't come over the mountain until 7:41 this morning, and the sky was pretty incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 29, 2017 Share Posted September 29, 2017 On 9/27/2017 at 11:44 AM, Tyler Penland said: I'll take a negative PNA all fall if it pops during the winter. Not getting my hopes up, though. This cool snap should get the rest of the leaves going at least. Was very disappointed in how things looked around Mitchell/graveyard the last couple days. Sent from my SM-G930R7 using Tapatalk Yeah better to have this setup currently when it does not really matter. I'll enjoy the cool down and go from there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted October 1, 2017 Share Posted October 1, 2017 First low of the 30s for the season. 39 degrees. Really not bad for October 1st standards. The next few days look very pleasant. The extended range is just one big high pressure in the SE. Just relentless. Really I do not think this will change through the first half of the month. The West coast will be slammed with storms on a regular basis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted October 1, 2017 Share Posted October 1, 2017 It'll be a warm first week of Oct but low humidity. I also recall an old correlation between a warm early October in a weak/mod La Nina and a cold/snowy winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted October 1, 2017 Share Posted October 1, 2017 Right on the nose at 40 degrees this morning. Surprised we got as low in the foothills as many mountain locales. It's amazing what a clear sky and being in a rural area will do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted October 1, 2017 Author Share Posted October 1, 2017 Fell down to 35 in the Foscoe area. Absolutely beautiful day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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