Rainforrest Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 A few more model runs and time will tell. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted December 6, 2017 Author Share Posted December 6, 2017 I’m confused as to why Mountain folks were getting so drawn into this system. Only the less reliable models were showing accumulating snow here. The GFS/EURO have been pretty steady in showing little to no snow in the mountains. 1) it's December2) systems generally trend NW. Our biggest system last year was an RDU special 3 days out on the globals.I, for one, still haven't tossed this system at all. Sent from my SM-G930R7 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 I may be very wrong but Idk guys I dont think this is the system for yall (or anyone for that matter) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Meh. We will wait and see. No big deal either way really. It's early so we will take what we get. At least it will be cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 20 minutes ago, Tyler Penland said: 1) it's December 2) systems generally trend NW. Our biggest system last year was an RDU special 3 days out on the globals. I, for one, still haven't tossed this system at all. Sent from my SM-G930R7 using Tapatalk Yep very true. We kept saying it and I think I few posters got pissed lol. We wait and watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bango Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 I didnt hear anybody going "all in" for this event. To be honest, since weve always been on the far edge of geographical probability its made it easier to miss out on. Nothing like being modeled in the bullseye for days and having models trend away in the last 24 hrs. I am still watching, hoping for the miracle northwest shift even as it fizzles, and remembering its early decemeber. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 I’m confused as to why Mountain folks were getting so drawn into this system. Only the less reliable models were showing accumulating snow here. The GFS/EURO have been pretty steady in showing little to no snow in the mountains. ThisEPS mean up to 3" for KAVL. This event has some sucked in because of the unknowns associated. I for one love tracking these type system, I mean what if it drops 6"? Don't mistake optimism as certainty in this thread. We are all snow lovers here and want to see it fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted December 6, 2017 Author Share Posted December 6, 2017 ThisEPS mean up to 3" for KAVL. This event has some sucked in because of the unknowns associated. I for one love tracking these type system, I mean what if it drops 6"? Don't mistake optimism as certainty in this thread. We are all snow lovers here and want to see it fall.Any idea what the mean is for Boone? My phone refuses to load the meteograms on wxbell. Sent from my SM-G930R7 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Any idea what the mean is for Boone? My phone refuses to load the meteograms on wxbell. Sent from my SM-G930R7 using TapatalkHere you go man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 I’m still optimistic. For some reason, my gut says that this storm will drop at least a few inches for us. This is a normal cycle (or seems to be) with everything the last couple of years. A couple of days out, the models are still trying to get a grasp...they flop in a good direction.... flop in a bad direction....and then we get a day or two out and the NW shift happens and everything is great again. Just gonna wait it out. If I remember correctly, I thought we were out of the game a day or two before the Christmas 2010 storm and thennnnn boom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Clarke, she's a beaut..Hate to put any stock in the NAVGEM, but it is interesting that it continues to be so amped. Cuts this off at 5h. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Brad Panovich seems to think we score the coup on this one. Historically we sit in a good spot given its current modeled track. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC2Winston Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 New to area, is Winston considered in foothills? And I yes I know we have brewery in town same name :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 13 minutes ago, CARDC79 said: New to area, is Winston considered in foothills? And I yes I know we have brewery in town same name :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Nobody's talking about the cold. Already to 26.8. It was cold all day. Had a daylight high of 33.4 and that was around 10:00 am this morning. Finally feels like winter a little. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 56 minutes ago, SnoJoe said: Nobody's talking about the cold. Already to 26.8. It was cold all day. Had a daylight high of 33.4 and that was around 10:00 am this morning. Finally feels like winter a little. Easy bro. I've been harping on the cold quite a bit. Yeah it is a lot colder. Current temp here is 32 degrees. It's going to get a lot colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 1 hour ago, SnoJoe said: Nobody's talking about the cold. Already to 26.8. It was cold all day. Had a daylight high of 33.4 and that was around 10:00 am this morning. Finally feels like winter a little. lol, it was 38 this morning and 36 now at my house. not worth mentioning for me yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted December 7, 2017 Author Share Posted December 7, 2017 6z NAM/GFS both west with a better look. 12z suite will likely follow the west trend. NAVGEM refuses to budge and still shows 1" QPF for the escarpment. UK with around .4-.5" QPF across the region (seems more likely to me than the NAVGEM) with the halfway solution between the NAV and Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 6z NAM/GFS both west with a better look. 12z suite will likely follow the west trend. NAVGEM refuses to budge and still shows 1" QPF for the escarpment. UK with around .4-.5" QPF across the region (seems more likely to me than the NAVGEM) with the halfway solution between the NAV and Euro. This is good news. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 The artificial snow is flying across the neighborhood valley at Wolf Ridge this morning. Should be a great weekend for skiing up here! (Or tubing) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Just wanted to say how thankful I am for the levelheadedness of this group. Holy sh*t, the other threads have almost become unreadable. I am keeping an eye on things from Balfour/Mountain Home in Henderson Cty. I live a few hundred feet up a mountain over here and like to think that gives me some sort of advantage over the valleys, ha! Ok, back to lurking... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDowell_Weather Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 I know i dont post much. I watch and learn more than anything. But anyway hope this storm can beat my expectations for my two year olds sake lol One thing that has constantly bugged me with this storm is the euro/gfs. Thats why a car topper would be a win in my book. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 9 minutes ago, BretWheatley said: Just wanted to say how thankful I am for the levelheadedness of this group. Holy sh*t, the other threads have almost become unreadable. I am keeping an eye on things from Balfour/Mountain Home in Henderson Cty. I live a few hundred feet up a mountain over here and like to think that gives me some sort of advantage over the valleys, ha! Ok, back to lurking... The mountains always have climo on their side. We know if there is a chance for winter weather in the South, we always sit better than anyone else and if we can't cash in, usually nobody does. It's easy to be levelheaded on these storms. When you're always boderline, it drives you insane! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted December 7, 2017 Author Share Posted December 7, 2017 It's coming to us fellas. Much improvement. Now just need the moisture to increase a tad for us near Boone and we're golden. Won't be at all surprised if that happens and WNC gets a widespread 4-6.Sent from my SM-G930R7 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 The nwf looks pretty nice too. I'll take it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Good morning folks! Hope you all are well and ready for Christmas. Looks like some are going to cash from this system. Good luck to all of you. It's cold down here at the beach! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 18 minutes ago, Tyler Penland said: It's coming to us fellas. Much improvement. Now just need the moisture to increase a tad for us near Boone and we're golden. Won't be at all surprised if that happens and WNC gets a widespread 4-6. Sent from my SM-G930R7 using Tapatalk That is a big shift. We will see if the nam can score on this. Never underestimate the NW trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 12 minutes ago, Buckethead said: The nwf looks pretty nice too. I'll take it! Yep this has been a pretty good setup for a few days. Should score a few inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted December 7, 2017 Author Share Posted December 7, 2017 Check, please. Sent from my SM-G930R7 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 1 hour ago, Tyler Penland said: Check, please. Sent from my SM-G930R7 using Tapatalk Nope not yet, need one more shift cause we all know I'm gonna find a way to get half what is forecasted as always happens where I live lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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