OUGrad05 Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Just now, jacindc said: Western side now blowing up on IR. Ya but eye is collapsing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: As bad as this is gong to be, it can always be worse and the US dodged a bullet relatively speaking. Not easy for these things to spin back up once the structure is disturbed at a great intensity. I think this one humbled everyone at one time or another, forecasting wise. No doubt. It was fascinating to track. Just hoping the surge isn't too bad for folks as the storm moves north. The pictures of those islands where beautiful rain forests and homes were just completely taken out is really sad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 8 minutes ago, Mountain_Patch said: hmmm The pressure recovered about 15mb in the aggregate, and the winds 10mph....at the end of the day, I'm not sure that is a tremendously agressive recovery, but we'll see what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacindc Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 6 minutes ago, OUGrad05 said: Ya but eye is collapsing... That may be, but the storm itself looks a whole lot more symmetrical than the oblong version of the past few hours. And that dry air immediately to the NW of the eye is now gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Enough with the definitive statements about how bad it will be for places Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 I am amazed by this storm's ability to look like it is getting stronger and weaker at the same time and I am not being sarcastic. A little wobble NW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Live feed from a Chaser at Marco Island: https://livestormchasing.com/stream/bart.comstock_secondary Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Just now, USCG RS said: Compared to the potential of 180-200 mph into Miami.. Yes, the United States is seeing a mitigated hit. Here he is correct. Of course as he said, it is relative. Yes....surge impacts will be immemsely destructive. Plenty of wind damage, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Probably will need to have a extreme wind warning in the next 20-30 minutes for the Naples area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCHurricane Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Interesting look on the IR...is Irma smiling after taking the meteorological community for a ride? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Take the "not so bad" discussions to another thread guys. It just causes arguments as one person views it differently than others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Just now, MattPetrulli said: Probably will need to have a extreme wind warning in the next 20-30 minutes for the Naples area. Not that soon, core wont get there for a few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jasons Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Didn't have time to read the whole discussion, but there were some posts overnight of 'what's happening to the eye'. At one point I woke-up and saw a satellite loop, and to me it looked like a case of some dry air ingestion disrupted the core. And that also explains the sorta 'half hurricane' look on radar. Seen it many times with land-falling hurricanes on the Gulf Coast (look at Rita and others). Irma is in an odd state because she has competing negative (dry air, increasing shear) and positive (jet fuel) factors at the moment. Never underestimate the damage dry air can do to a storm. Strong storms can shake off some of it for awhile, but when it's persistent and wraps into the storm, it starts to win-out over time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Enough! I've asked numerous times to take the talk to another thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 12 minutes ago, mappy said: Take the "not so bad" discussions to another thread guys. It just causes arguments as one person views it differently than others. People need to realize that water can do allot more damage then wind... In the coastal areas it will take hours for the surge to pass through. This will most likely be the big story in the hours to come as it heads up the coast... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 5 hours ago, jbenedet said: Yea. Maybe. That said, beyond key west, I think we're looking at a broad area of severe coastal flooding, and an incredible amount of downed trees and power outages.... The scope of the moderate-extensive wind damage and extreme surge will be something to behold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Naples beginning to get into hurricane conditions. This isn't going to end well.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 The posts about "FL dodged a bullet" need to go elsewhere, or better yet nowhere at all. Those will be deleted immediately. Please think before you post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Enough! I've asked numerous times to take the talk to another thread Apologies, I should have refrained from answering.That being said, my friend just pointed this out to me. https://www.wunderground.com/US/FL/074.html?utm_source=HomeCard&utm_content=Alert&cm_ven=HomeCardAlert&hdf=1Miami reporting significant coastal flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Latest graphic out of the NHC appears to show hurricane force winds making it into Miami Dade area. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?cone#contents Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 There are some parts of SE Florida that have > 10" rain from those bands - https://water.weather.gov/precip/index.php?analysis_date=1505001600&lat=27.0040504939&location_name=FL&location_type=state&lon=-86.3987799951&precip_layer=0.75&product=observed&recent_type=today&rfc_layer=-1&state_layer=-1&hsa_layer=0.75&county_layer=-1&time_frame=1day&time_type=recent&units=eng&zoom=6&domain=current Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Looks to me like the jury is out on Irma making landfall at Cape Romana -- if it gets past there, then it could make it a long way before being fully onshore given the angle of the coastline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jasons Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 109mph gust in Broward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weatherchaser Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Looks like Naples is at sustained hurricane conditions judging from Scott Peake's live stream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 4 minutes ago, USCG RS said: 5 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said: I'm surprised an extreme wind warning hasn't been issued yet For the record.. I've never seen that before. Is that a new product or just seldom used? Apparently reserved for specific cases (tropical) and is one of the new designations - http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/easfaq/ The Extreme Wind Warning will only be issued in association with hurricanes affecting the Atlantic and Gulf coasts of the continental United States, or Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. The issuance of Extreme Wind Warnings beyond these areas is not anticipated for the foreseeable future. A map of the areas where an Extreme Wind Warning can be issued is provided below. Map of offices that may issue an Extreme Wind Warning While the EAS codes for the Storm Surge Watch and Warning and Extreme Wind Warning have been approved for use by the Federal Communications Commission, each coastal state or territory will update its own respective EAS plan; the operational implementation of the EAS codes will occur only after necessary coordination between State Emergency Communications Committees and State Broadcaster Associations. It's possible some states or territories might not implement the new codes in time for the 2017 hurricane season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 4 minutes ago, USCG RS said: 5 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said: I'm surprised an extreme wind warning hasn't been issued yet For the record.. I've never seen that before. Is that a new product or just seldom used? It is issued for landfalling major hurricanes now where the eyewall comes on shore. And yes it is relatively new Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 The Extreme wind Warning has actually been operational for a few years, We just (fortunately) had not had any landfalling major hurricanes in the U.S. to warrant its use. One was issued for Matthew last year near Cape Canaveral (though Matthew stayed offshore so the winds never really materialized). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 2 minutes ago, MattPetrulli said: Looks like Naples is at sustained hurricane conditions judging from Scott Peake's live stream. please take live chaser stream talk to the Live Feed thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Apparently reserved for specific cases (tropical) and is one of the new designations - http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/easfaq/The Extreme Wind Warning will only be issued in association with hurricanes affecting the Atlantic and Gulf coasts of the continental United States, or Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. The issuance of Extreme Wind Warnings beyond these areas is not anticipated for the foreseeable future. A map of the areas where an Extreme Wind Warning can be issued is provided below.Map of offices that may issue an Extreme Wind WarningWhile the EAS codes for the Storm Surge Watch and Warning and Extreme Wind Warning have been approved for use by the Federal Communications Commission, each coastal state or territory will update its own respective EAS plan; the operational implementation of the EAS codes will occur only after necessary coordination between State Emergency Communications Committees and State Broadcaster Associations. It's possible some states or territories might not implement the new codes in time for the 2017 hurricane season. So it appears to be newer and specific. Thank you for this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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