lurker Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 Here's a link to 6 Key West live streams (and 1 Marathon) Just press play on the main controls at the bottom once everything loads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 Wow...that rain band is mixing winds down KFLL 092025Z 12035G61KT 1 1/4SM R10L/3000VP6000FT +TSRA BR SQ BKN026 BKN043 OVC060 27/24 A2966 RMK AO2 PK WND 11061/2022 LTG DSNT E AND SE RAB1955 TSB25 PRESRR P0018 T02670244 $ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 I don't think it's too early to hoist some tornado watches for South Florida...There's already one in effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 Just now, Chicago Storm said: There's already one in effect. Ah just saw that. Ty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 Woooooow on that Marathon camera...looks like they're well into tropical storm conditions and the core of the hurricane is still hundreds of miles away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye05 Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 Eye is looking much rounder and more symmetrical on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 Extrapolated pressure down another 4mb. Looks like a stronger outer wind max may be showing up on FL winds. Expect winds to slowly increase as the inner core reorganizes. She may not be that far off tbh. The IEW looks to be dissipating quickly, while the OEW shows signs of contraction. The outflow has really improved in all quadrants, especially the SE. Most importantly, imo, the ERC is ending as she gets into warm water, rather than beginning. This presents a prime opportunity for rather significant RI all other things considered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 May already be a cat 4??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 Those winds are fairly high above the surface, will take time for system to reorganize and respond to pressure drops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 8 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said: Woooooow on that Marathon camera...looks like they're well into tropical storm conditions and the core of the hurricane is still hundreds of miles away. KMTH 092043Z AUTO 05037G57KT 1SM RA BR FEW019 BKN033 OVC040 26/26 A2938 RMK AO2 PK WND 05057/2037 P0008 T02610261 Marathon airport 37 kt, gusting to 57 kt (42.5mph, gust 66 mph), It would shake the trees pretty good, considered severe thunderstorm strength wind gust, that would result in 5" or larger tree limbs down in the Midwest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adiabatic13 Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 IEW formed as Irma first exited the coast about 4 hours ago, not unexpected as the old core still had, and in fact has, a portion of its circulation over land...the coming hours, as Irma continues to pull away from Cuba, will determine whether or not the OEW is able to take over, that in turn will determine whether GFS-esque intensification is able to begin, there are many cases of both examples, only time will tell, I'm 60/40 on very bad news for the Gulf coast at this hour based on her history Charlie was the very rare beast that underwent RI right up to the coast while sporting a distinct dual maxima feature, Irma had that feature at her peak for a while as well edit: by "very bad news" I'm referring to a <910 mb central pressure, there are presently some adhesions showing up on radar btw the inner and outer eye wall features Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chattownsnow Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 Here is a very nice animation of hurricane Irmas predicted path versus the actual path https://www.reddit.com/r/dataisbeautiful/comments/6z0w20/timelapse_of_hurricane_irma_predictions_vs_actual/?st=J7DSERZE&sh=5449e913 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 That Ft. Lauderdale observation of a 70 mph gust with TS sustained winds already in that outer band is the most impressive land observation so far IMO, given how far Ft. Lauderdale is from the center. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hotair Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 Eye seems to have cleared out quite a bit in the latest satellite image Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 18z hurricane models are towards the west coast of Florida but that doesn't mean that the east side is safe. This is going to be a dangerous storm for the whole state and who ever didn't evacuate is foolish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 I would like to see the IEW really go away for RI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 Pretty significant pressure drop over the last few hours, the winds haven't responded yet but should start to increase as the evening progresses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: I would like to see the IEW really go away for RI. New NHC advisory isn't really expecting RI, just a gradual one over the next 24 prior to landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye05 Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 2 minutes ago, Hotair said: Eye seems to have cleared out quite a bit in the latest satellite image Still has an inner eye wall hanging on though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 I'm surprised the winds have not been upgraded yet with the pressure down to 933 mb. The Saffir/Simpson Scale shows a Cat 3 as 945-964 mb and max winds at 129 mph. A Cat 4 shows as 920-944 mb with winds ranging from 130-156 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 Pretty healthy looking storm after being over land for 15 hours.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 8 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: I'm surprised the winds have not been upgraded yet with the pressure down to 933 mb. The Saffir/Simpson Scale shows a Cat 3 as 945-964 mb and max winds at 129 mph. A Cat 4 shows as 920-944 mb with winds ranging from 130-156 mph. The actual wind speed is a function of the pressure gradient, not the minimum in pressure. This is why Sandy and Ike both had considerably weaker peak winds than one would expect with 930-950 mb pressures. They were very large storms with somewhat loose cores (very loose in Sandy's case) and thus the gradient was not particularly tight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 Still thinking 145-150 MPH at landfall. NHC underdone slightly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 2 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: I'm surprised the winds have not been upgraded yet with the pressure down to 933 mb. The Saffir/Simpson Scale shows a Cat 3 as 945-964 mb and max winds at 129 mph. A Cat 4 shows as 920-944 mb with winds ranging from 130-156 mph. Only a rough guide. Every storm is different, in terms of size, background pressures, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 Another thing to keep watching out for. @Quincy mentioned this earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 That track is terrible for the entire West coast of Florida, just rakes them with the RFQ/Core with the center just offshore/just inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I would like to see the IEW really go away for RI. Exactly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 10 minutes ago, Snow88 said: 18z hurricane models are towards the west coast of Florida but that doesn't mean that the east side is safe. This is going to be a dangerous storm for the whole state and who ever didn't evacuate is foolish. It's a big storm, the number of people without power could easily go over the million mark. That gets a little bit trying after the second day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 5 pm update - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 12 hours or so until landfall. Thinking 140-150 MPH winds when it hits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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