NortheastPAWx Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Everyone's eyes are rightfully on Irma, but the NHC has initiated advisories. There could be a double whammy risk here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Poor Jose, that initial track would really have everyone on the east coast interested if it wasn't for Irma. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
medville Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 Hopefully a fish storm. The islands dont need a follow up thats for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 Anyone watching Jose? Going through RI and could become a major too. All kinds of crazy possibilities in the long term. Perhaps a threat for us in New England way down the road? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 49 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: Anyone watching Jose? Going through RI and could become a major too. All kinds of crazy possibilities in the long term. Perhaps a threat for us in New England way down the road? Of course. But like you said, so much to sort through with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted September 6, 2017 Author Share Posted September 6, 2017 Latest NHC track passes it dangerously close to areas just hit by Irma. I can't imagine... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 I wonder, given the distance Jose has to Irma, if there could be some kind of fujiwara effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 Jose looks to be a big wave producer for the east coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 Jose is likely to track about 2 deg lat and 2 deg lon northeast of Barbuda. What un-luck, high surf right after a Category 5 hit on Barbuda. This seems to be pretty impressive. HWRF indicates CAT 3, but it will certainly track over some of the same water that Irma has tracked over. I would imagine that Irma has cooled the ocean 0.5 deg C in some spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 1 hour ago, Chinook said: Jose is likely to track about 2 deg lat and 2 deg lon northeast of Barbuda. What un-luck, high surf right after a Category 5 hit on Barbuda. This seems to be pretty impressive. HWRF indicates CAT 3, but it will certainly track over some of the same water that Irma has tracked over. I would imagine that Irma has cooled the ocean 0.5 deg C in some spots. As a whole as in within a 200nm area of Irmas path yes. But I would think right where the core went a 3c or more decrease. Jose needs to stay as far away from that strip of water as possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 Based on forecast track, Jose would intersect Irma's path where the 26° isotherm was below 70 meters. Irma had decent forward motion. Though some upwelling did occur and the immediate surface SSTs can be expected to have dropped 1°C, it will be at least 3 days before Jose's core will cross Irma's wake. Those SSTs may moderate some from depth. I don't think it will prevent Jose from remaining a major hurricane if it reaches that intensity prior to intersection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 Models really struggling with Jose atm. All over the place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 Really sucks for the Northern Islands BULLETIN Hurricane Jose Advisory Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017 1100 AM AST Thu Sep 07 2017 ...JOSE EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BY FRIDAY... ...WATCHES ISSUED FOR THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.9N 50.6W ABOUT 715 MI...1150 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Antigua has issued a Hurricane Watch for the islands of Antigua and Barbuda. The government of Antigua has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for the islands of Anguilla, Montserrat, St Kitts, and Nevis. The government of the Netherlands has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for the islands of Saba and St. Eustatius Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 When is the last time two major hurricanes hit the same place in one season let alone back to back? That is horrendously bad luck if this comes to fruition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 This is bad news for these folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 Eye has cleared out, heavy symmetrical convection now fills a robust CDO. Really got together in some kind of hurry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 As mentioned in the Irma thread, some interesting things could happen to Jose depending on Irma's final resting spot. Or absolutely nothing interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 Hate to say it but Jose looks about ready to go into beast mode. <edit> and possibly make a run up the east coast at the end of the euro run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 5 hours ago, Bluescat1 said: This is bad news for these folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 And there goes Jose. Already a major with 120mph. This could be very bad for the folks who have already had a horrible experience. Needs to gain some latitude to spare them more pain and suffering. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 Amusing Jose track from one of the EPS individuals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 Amusing Jose track from one of the EPS individuals.That would be awe inspiring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 ^ Florida being sliced and dice by hurricanes. Nothing like backing over it to make sure south fla is dead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 If Jose goes into the NE (highly unlikely) that would be the ultimate hurricane season disaster situation. With Texas and Florida already destroyed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 27 minutes ago, JC-CT said: 32 minutes ago, WeatherFeen2000 said: I wouldn't be surprised if this turned out to be sandy type storm. Look what the GFS 18z shows. Still wait to early but Jose could get real interesting too! Your model really failed us this time. I just looked at the 18Z GFS, it stalls Jose then takes it south then takes the Sandy route, but that is in the la la land part of the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 0z GFS has a big high pressure to the north and Jose in the Atlantic coming westward at 234. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 3 hours ago, Bluescat1 said: I just looked at the 18Z GFS, it stalls Jose then takes it south then takes the Sandy route, but that is in the la la land part of the run. Now it has it making a complete circle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 Jose stays well offshore on the 0z run because the high pressure was further east on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 Recon finding pressures in the 940's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 14 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: Recon finding pressures in the 940's Wouldn't shock me in the least if this makes it to Cat 4, at least for a short while. Track seems to be a bit north of previous ones. That is some good news for the northern Leeward islands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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