Windspeed Posted October 5, 2017 Share Posted October 5, 2017 I was just looking at the GOES 16 sat. of Nate and this large system way out in the South/East Atlantic caught my eye. NHC doesn't have the area as even possible development. Large system, looks like some mid level rotation. Kind of has that "look"? Thoughts?We're going to have a few more deep MDR/CV systems. It probably will get invested by 8PM EDT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted October 5, 2017 Share Posted October 5, 2017 6 minutes ago, Windspeed said: 21 minutes ago, stormtracker said: No no..im flying into CUN..I'd get there at 11am. Then driving down to Tulum, you're correct. Last time I did that, I was on the beach in Tulum by 1pm Ugh... I don't know, man. Southern quadrant may still be close and possibility intense convective banding over Cancun even if the small vortex is north of the coast. You're really playing it close here. Ah well, hope for the best. Perhaps at worst you just get delayed a bit. I'm talking tomorrow, not Saturday. Are you talking about tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted October 5, 2017 Share Posted October 5, 2017 I'm talking tomorrow, not Saturday. Are you talking about tomorrow? NO, Saturday. Dear lord, I'm sorry. I'm sucking at multitasking today. Well tomorrow 11 AM, you should be in good shape. Edit.............. ..... ... . . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted October 5, 2017 Share Posted October 5, 2017 At any rate, United just issued the advisory. No change fees, etc. Problem is, there are no more non stops going out tonight. Even if I left tonight at 10, got a layover in Housto n from midnight to 7am...and I wouldn't get into CUN until 9:40am. I mean that's an hour and a half earlier than my current flight and hell...every hour counts. Not sure what I should do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted October 5, 2017 Share Posted October 5, 2017 5 minutes ago, Windspeed said: NO, Saturday. Dear lord, I'm sorry. I'm sucking at multitasking today. Well tomorrow 11 AM, you should be in good shape. Edit.............. ..... ... . . Ha..yeah, I get in tomorrow at 11am on my current flight. I'm wondering if I should just take the chance and leave tonight just to get there an hour and a half earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted October 5, 2017 Share Posted October 5, 2017 Ha..yeah, I get in tomorrow at 11am on my current flight. I'm wondering if I should just take the chance and leave tonight just to get there an hour and a half earlier. They have villas and bars with WiFi. You can drink and keep us posted on storm conditions! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
etudiant Posted October 5, 2017 Share Posted October 5, 2017 If you're committed to go there, then leave tonight. It should allow you to avoid limbo at some airport. At worst then, you'll have an horrific honeymoon, with flooding and no power, which still beats being stuck at Houston International. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted October 5, 2017 Share Posted October 5, 2017 26 minutes ago, etudiant said: If you're committed to go there, then leave tonight. It should allow you to avoid limbo at some airport. At worst then, you'll have an horrific honeymoon, with flooding and no power, which still beats being stuck at Houston International. It's not my honeymoon..don't wish that on me!!! Just going down with some friends. We tried to go tonight...DC to IAH was fine..plenty of seats...IAH to CUN was full So stuck at the mercy of United and Nate. From everything I'm seeing, the winds, etc don't get to CUN until like 8pm...but we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 @Windspeed Posting from 32k feet over GA and landing in CUN 45 mins early! Thanks for all the info dude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 @Windspeed Posting from 32k feet over GA and landing in CUN 45 mins early! Thanks for all the info dude.Congratulations! Have great time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
emblaze2 Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 Please tell me I'm not seeing the contrail of a recon flight zipping across the eye of Maria in this loop, so I can stop thinking that's what it is: http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/loop.asp?data_folder=loop_of_the_day/goes-16/20170921000000&number_of_images_to_display=200&loop_speed_ms=50 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 Please tell me I'm not seeing the contrail of a recon flight zipping across the eye of Maria in this loop, so I can stop thinking that's what it is:http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/loop.asp?data_folder=loop_of_the_day/goes-16/20170921000000&number_of_images_to_display=200&loop_speed_ms=50You're not seeing a contrail. You're seeing high canopy cirrus gyre above 300 mb spinning and pulling around. That is left over layer from the old eyewall convection remnants and upper level spillover from the new eyewall. We see that a lot when a new eye is clearing out or interacting with 200 mb shear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 Got all my prep done here in Navarre! Ready to provide obs even though there might not be a whole lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 Keep having this feeling that Nate strengthens more than thought, and with such fast forward motion, wouldn't be much time for people to ramp up their preparedness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 Lol. I was all worried and this is what I arrived to. Nate...lolSent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 Why does every tropical storm thread have to turn into an argument about who is right and wrong on intensity? I don't blame mods, btw, I blame the posters that have to act like they are 10 years old. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 1 minute ago, KPITSnow said: Why does every tropical storm thread have to turn into an argument about who is right and wrong on intensity? I don't blame mods, btw, I blame the posters that have to act like they are 10 years old. because there are a core of people...like SN_lover...who have been terrible for years but refuse to shut up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 4 minutes ago, cmasty1978 said: because there are a core of people...like SN_lover...who have been terrible for years but refuse to shut up I think both sides are terrible. I'm just glad that njwx85 hasn't been in the thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 there are some fine people on both sides Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted October 7, 2017 Author Share Posted October 7, 2017 Fwiw, Kush is right in that thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 that's basically going to be the epitaph on my gravestone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted October 16, 2017 Share Posted October 16, 2017 Does anyone know where I can find an archive of GOES data for the Atlantic basin? I can find satellite data archives. But they're in just about every sector I don't want lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted October 16, 2017 Share Posted October 16, 2017 The feeling of "we are due" ~7days or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted October 17, 2017 Share Posted October 17, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scorpion Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 I'm thinking Cat 5 in the NW Caribbean in 7-8 days, threat to Florida but maybe between Florida and Cuba. Hopefully gets far enough NW before the trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 2 hours ago, Scorpion said: I'm thinking Cat 5 in the NW Caribbean in 7-8 days, threat to Florida but maybe between Florida and Cuba. Hopefully gets far enough NW before the trough. blast from the past. sup scorpion. come to ampol OT and tell the tropics dudes what you've been up to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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