andyhb Posted September 18, 2017 Share Posted September 18, 2017 Maria thread getting NYC weenied. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted September 18, 2017 Share Posted September 18, 2017 >People now getting banned for posting Dvorak numbers in the Maria thread That makes total sense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted September 18, 2017 Share Posted September 18, 2017 Was there really a need to remove the s2k post from this thread. Really... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jtm12180 Posted September 18, 2017 Share Posted September 18, 2017 Confused...why is anything being deleted in this thread? I thought this was the thread to say whatever (within reason of course...)?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted September 18, 2017 Share Posted September 18, 2017 1 hour ago, Chicago Storm said: Was there really a need to remove the s2k post from this thread. Really... What was the post about? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted September 19, 2017 Share Posted September 19, 2017 Saw this in the Maria thread and something jumped out at me. That track with the segment into the northern Bahamas and another into S. FL has to be Andrew, right? It strikes me how anomalous his track well north of the Lesser Antilles followed by a due west to even WSW beeline through the northern Bahamas and into south Florida really was. I first got into following tropical weather as a kid in the early-mid '90s, when The Weather Channel was my favorite channel to watch and all the documentaries were about Andrew because it was THE hurricane of the decade. So I grew up thinking that sort of track was typical (and that Cat. 4+ U.S. landfalls were a once every 2-3 year thing, since Hugo was still being talked about a lot as well). It also strikes me, in retrospect, how unlucky the U.S. was to have two Cat 4+ landfalls in three years in what was considered a down phase of the AMO. Yet here Maria is coming in well south of where Andrew was, and still is, at this juncture, considered more likely to recurve OTS than make a CONUS landfall. That had to be a heck of a ridge expansion that drove Andrew into Homestead from roughly 25N 65W. Also looks like Hugo was actually south of Andrew for awhile, and that 45-degree right turn that held steady all the way into SC was pretty anomalous, as well! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted September 19, 2017 Share Posted September 19, 2017 19 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said: Saw this in the Maria thread and something jumped out at me. That track with the segment into the northern Bahamas and another into S. FL has to be Andrew, right? It strikes me how anomalous his track well north of the Lesser Antilles followed by a due west to even WSW beeline through the northern Bahamas and into south Florida really was. I first got into following tropical weather as a kid in the early-mid '90s, when The Weather Channel was my favorite channel to watch and all the documentaries were about Andrew because it was THE hurricane of the decade. So I grew up thinking that sort of track was typical (and that Cat. 4+ U.S. landfalls were a once every 2-3 year thing, since Hugo was still being talked about a lot as well). It also strikes me, in retrospect, how unlucky the U.S. was to have two Cat 4+ landfalls in three years in what was considered a down phase of the AMO. Yet here Maria is coming in well south of where Andrew was, and still is, at this juncture, considered more likely to recurve OTS than make a CONUS landfall. That had to be a heck of a ridge expansion that drove Andrew into Homestead from roughly 25N 65W. Also looks like Hugo was actually south of Andrew for awhile, and that 45-degree right turn that held steady all the way into SC was pretty anomalous, as well! Pretty cool that Irma and Maria will be 2 of the 4 most furthest NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted September 19, 2017 Share Posted September 19, 2017 1 hour ago, StormchaserChuck said: Pretty cool that Irma and Maria will be 2 of the 4 most furthest NE. We don't know that will happen yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted September 19, 2017 Share Posted September 19, 2017 There is literally nothing worse than people trying to guess what the models are going to say. 240 hours out and we can't even wait 8 minutes until the graphics load before declaring final outcomes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted September 19, 2017 Share Posted September 19, 2017 20 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: There is literally nothing worse than people trying to guess what the models are going to say. 240 hours out and we can't even wait 8 minutes until the graphics load before declaring final outcomes. Agree and this behavior is getting worse every year. The weenies want to say "I told you so", or "I called that one". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted September 19, 2017 Share Posted September 19, 2017 There was a 7.1 earthquake in Mexico City. There was a thread about strengthening TCs leading to tremors and with research published in Nature from both the Pacific and Atlantic. We had an 8.3 right after Irma went through RI and now we have this one following Maria's RI. https://twitter.com/search?q="Mexico City"&src=tren&data_id=tweet%3A910217328222199810 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted September 19, 2017 Share Posted September 19, 2017 everything is horrible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted September 19, 2017 Share Posted September 19, 2017 This is what I'm thinking right now for hurricane Maria future track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 This is what I'm thinking right now for hurricane Maria future track.Ah, I see you found the right thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 because of the quake today i was wondering what would be the effect on a hurricane if a quake happened on the path it would take.. would the shaking cause cooler water to come to the surface and weaken the storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 because of the quake today i was wondering what would be the effect on a hurricane if a quake happened on the path it would take.. would the shaking cause cooler water to come to the surface and weaken the storm?Lol wut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 27 minutes ago, nycwinter said: because of the quake today i was wondering what would be the effect on a hurricane if a quake happened on the path it would take.. would the shaking cause cooler water to come to the surface and weaken the storm? No, but you might see it start dancing on the satellite imagery. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 Thanks @buckeyefan1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 5 minutes ago, Hoosier said: No, but you might see it start dancing on the satellite imagery. Thats only if the earthquake tremors reach the satellites though. Not common. Happened in the great big explosion quake of 1928 though, shook all our satellites and broke some lenses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 Just now, BxEngine said: Thats only if the earthquake tremors reach the satellites though. Not common. Happened in the great big explosion quake of 1928 though, shook all our satellites and broke some lenses. But, how much for Philly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 1 minute ago, mappy said: Thanks @buckeyefan1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 Just now, mappy said: But, how much for Philly? depends on the IKE. Higher ike, 7". Lower ike, prob means an erc and the satellite will only tremble for 3". that hurt my head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catdaddyfalcon15 Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 1 hour ago, nycwinter said: because of the quake today i was wondering what would be the effect on a hurricane if a quake happened on the path it would take.. would the shaking cause cooler water to come to the surface and weaken the storm? yep. this is definitely the banter thread. lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thess Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 I'm actually on a cruise ship heading away from Hispaniola right now, which is kind of freaky because it means yesterday we were heading *towards* Maria (for Royal Caribbean's port on Haiti). Fortunately I didn't tell my mother about this trip because she'd be (irrationally) losing her mind right now. Now torn between worrying about my friend's family in San Juan (and all of PR) and wondering if Maria will manage to jog west far enough to hang around off Florida just in time to stop me from getting off this ship as scheduled on Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted September 20, 2017 Author Share Posted September 20, 2017 1 hour ago, BxEngine said: depends on the IKE. Higher ike, 7". Lower ike, prob means an erc and the satellite will only tremble for 3". that hurt my head. Maria reminds me of Sandy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 14 minutes ago, Rjay said: Maria reminds me of Sandy Does your fiance know that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 1 hour ago, Rjay said: Maria reminds me of Sandy check out the 384hr run on the nigerian model... brings a cat 6 hurricane full of grizzly bears into islip. the dynamics are solid, the only question is if we'll have the blocking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 I am so sick of the same people saying that it won't weaken with no evidence, and the same people saying it will weaken with no reasoning. It doesn't really matter to me, both sides are extremely annoying...especially when they make a guess and then thump their chest that they were right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Akeem the African Dream Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 11 hours ago, thess said: I'm actually on a cruise ship sounds awful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 I really hope the season quiets down soon. We don't need any more names to get retired (I am assuming Harvey, Irma & Maria are gone). Plus the Caribbean has taken an extreme amount of puishment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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