lilj4425 Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 12 minutes ago, H2O said: I wish it hit your keyboard Nah. I just need more beer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Has this storm broken the record foremost posts about a given weather event on this board?? I feel like it has been going on forever unlike winter storms and run of the mill canes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 God, so many people in the main thread trying to wishcasting based on their forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 It's gonna be 125, 130, 135, 140, 145, 150, 155, 160, 165 all at landfall and I'm gonna be right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Irma's in an area now where I feel like storms tend to over-perform. I'll take the over on the NHC peak intensity of 125mph by a bunch. I feel like that forecast was probably made before the eye cleared out and the ERC looking more likely to complete soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roy Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Everybody thinks they know better than the NHC in the main thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Just now, Roy said: Everybody thinks they know better than the NHC in the main thread. Just stop. The main thread is maddening right now, and folks on both sides are being idiotic, and wishcasting both ways. Good points have been made both ways..and obviously the cards will fall as they will. Please though don't disregard the analysis of mets like LEK, stebo, and snowgoose off hand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jimmosk Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 I'd just like to say a big THANK YOU to the americanwx admins who have kept this site running smoothly despite the crush of members (and nonmembers) reading and refreshing (and rerefreshing) the boards during this HSECH (which is my abbreviation for historic southeast coast hurricane, and why sure you can feel free to use it :^) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catdaddyfalcon15 Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 its ok to disagree. i think the nhc is def underestimating it. it wont be a monster cat 5, but cat 4; def good money on that. irma is clearly getting together although not without some struggles (anyone thinking otherwise is imo dumb and blind as hell) . either way irma is going to be a destructive storm and there is no way around this anymore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 1 hour ago, andyhb said: It's gonna be 125, 130, 135, 140, 145, 150, 155, 160, 165 all at landfall and I'm gonna be right. You're wrong. It's gonna be an ice storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 21 minutes ago, catdaddyfalcon15 said: its ok to disagree. i think the nhc is def underestimating it. it wont be a monster cat 5, but cat 4; def good money on that. irma is clearly getting together although not without some struggles (anyone thinking otherwise is imo dumb and blind as hell) . either way irma is going to be a destructive storm and there is no way around this anymore People can disagree with NHC. It's annoying one liners that don't add any value that are a problem. Then people reply to that and round and round it goes. There have been a huge number of new signups in recent days, but some of the NHC bashers have been around for a while and should be able to present disagreements a little better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roy Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 I didn't mind those that had good points. It's just hard tracking it all when there is a bunch of posts saying they are wrong but no evidence. Maybe a lot of that forecast was made before things looked better. Will see how things evolve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Dont feel like looking through 20 pages....Has there been any discussion on whether or not people believe Irma has been overhyped? I personally feel she has. Not that Irma hasn't been a destructive hurricane and won't cause severe damage in FL, but it isn't like Florida hasn't experienced hurricanes before. I think the fact that the country just dealt with Harvey and that Irma was a powerful Cat 5 for hours upon hours had many people in the media freaking out. I mean, let's face it, without the massive flooding in Harvey, it wouldn't have been such a catastrophic system. Yeah places that experienced the eye wall upon landfall had a lot of damage, but idk.... Thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 A category 5 hurricane entering the Bahamas is overhyped? It takes days to evacuate S. Florida. The two major models had a S. Fl hit for many runs. What are government agencies supposed to do with such a circumstance other than present a worst possible scenario?Anyway, after people see the surge disaster that's about to occur over the next 24 hours along the western peninsula coastline, the overhype talk will disappear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 What is rending my heart, is the plight of all of the people who evacuated to the west coast of Florida and who now cant re-evac somewhere else due to fuel shortages and crowded roads. It's just terrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Witness Protection Program Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Other than a couple of spots, most of the roads haven't been too crowded today. Anybody could have gotten out today, in fact I know someone who drove from Naples to Miami this morning. Right now there's also gas, I just checked Gas Buddy and most stations in Orlando and Lakeland have some or all grades. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Witness Protection Program Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 I like how the NWS says don't focus on the forecast track, but isn't that basically what they are doing with their storm surge map? And thus by extension the media. Late last night they were showing surge estimates based on the storm coming in just east of Naples, only this morning did they adjust those upwards for the more western track. And then it wasn't until late tonight that Tampa finally called for evacuation of Zone B, and still the 12:20am surge statement is talking about Tampa seeing 4-6 feet surge, TWC showing 5-8 feet. But if this keeps shifting westward where the eye doesn't come ashore south of St. Pete, doesn't that storm surge height potentially go way up? Seems like it would be better in the future to make 2 surge maps and statements: One based on the forecast, and one showing the worst case scenario if the storm doesn't follow the forecast. I'm not at all criticizing their forecasts, which I think have been excellent. Shifts happen. But it does seem that the risks for many areas of the west coast of FL have been not fully communicated until very late in the game. Maybe I don't understand it completely, but couldn't Tampa see a greater than 6' storm surge if the storm shifts westward and stays offshore of St. Pete? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 There is going to be a lot of water pushed up into that Bay. Just try not to be there when it does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 2 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Bahia Honda is one of the most incredible beaches I've been to. Have you found a working webcam down there? It is good news that the eyewall will likely miss Marathon. Hey Mahk. Thought I'd move this over to banter just in case it gets removed by the mods. That beach is amazing and it sucks that it's about to take the brunt of Irma. No webcams anywhere down there, so will just have to live by pictures. Already reports of most of Rt 1 flooded over with the worst of the surge yet to come. Had vacation to Marathon planned starting this Wednesday. Had to change plans. I just hope they make it down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Live stream of a guy on his boat N of Key West Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Akeem the African Dream Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 10 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Has this storm broken the record foremost posts about a given weather event on this board?? I feel like it has been going on forever unlike winter storms and run of the mill canes No way. 1-3 inch Alberta clippers in the mid Atlantic get more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 C+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Akeem the African Dream Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Pretty impressed with how far away from center the winds and rain are. Irma has it going on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 No way. 1-3 inch Alberta clippers in the mid Atlantic get more Yeah it's not even close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Akeem the African Dream Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Can't wait to see what the rainfall totals up on the Treasure coast are after this is done. Someone is going to end up with AOA 20" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Akeem the African Dream Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 I'm so confused. Arent legit observations allowed in the storm mode thread now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 1 minute ago, Akeem the African Dream said: I'm so confused. Arent legit observations allowed in the storm mode thread now? there is an obs thread, so I assume obs there, main storm discussion in the storm thread. perhaps an actual green tagger can clear it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rugun Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 New here as you can see, signed up a few days ago to track this storm. Been through most of the biggest hurricanes the last 25 years and I always track and look for things that weaken a storm unlike most here that want to see it get bigger, with that said. Why was the Euro track thrown out as garbage in the other thread a few days ago? It's been almost spot on to me. Another thing I noticed as I watched the goes Rainbow and could see it weaken but others would say it's getting stronger which was absolutely wrong and then every wobble was a move north. Here's the track I'm talking about that was downplayed as nothing. https://weather.us/cyclone-tracks/euro/cuba/2017090812-240-irma.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacindc Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Obs thread hasn't been touched for hours. Seems silly to not have them in the main thread at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thess Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Didn't there used to be a report button, or does that get disabled in storm mode? The guy spamming about his friend's big pine key video ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.