The_Doctor Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 forecasterjack really wants us to visit weather.us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geddyweather Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 1 hour ago, The_Doctor said: forecasterjack really wants us to visit weather.us Yeah, but tbh there's some good imagery on there. Cross-posting this simulated satellite image from the main thread. Has Irma impacting a swath from Jacksonville, FL to Santiago de Cuba. Also, check out "Minicane" Jose behind Irma. Size pales in comparison but has a nice pinhole eye. Definitely plenty of eye-candy coming out from this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 Who are you people? Were you even around when the legends ruled the tropics discussion? That's what I am thinking every time I browse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 I'm sorry if this is off topic, but with some of the weird runs pulling Irma into near Chicago eventually, what is the furthest west a landfaling Atlantic hurricane has ever pushed into the continental us? I remember times tropical systems have gone over my head in Pittsburgh, but never one getting into the Midwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keysfins Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Moved from main thread-- Completely green on this forum so please forgive a question I have not seen yet. Granted, the path through SFL is not confirmed. But what would storm surge look like in the Keys? And what factors most strongly predict storm surge--pressure, wind direction, wind speed, timing of tides? Lived in middle Keys during Wilma, and the storm surge was the biggest factor for damage, over wind and rain. The island that Marathon is on was completely awash. Thank Dog it happened during daylight hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 41 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: I'm sorry if this is off topic, but with some of the weird runs pulling Irma into near Chicago eventually, what is the furthest west a landfaling Atlantic hurricane has ever pushed into the continental us? I remember times tropical systems have gone over my head in Pittsburgh, but never one getting into the Midwest. Would take some research to find the farthest west, but it is pretty rare to see one move that far west. Connie in 1955 made landfall on the east coast with the remnant center then tracking over Lake Huron. The 1898 Georgia hurricane made it pretty far west before recurving. All going to depend on what the pattern is like around/after landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 OEMs, weather offices and the media in Florida need to step their game up and damp down the needless panic ongoing. Seeing grocery stores emptied 5 days in advance of a potential hurricanes is utterly insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 My uncle and aunt are supposed to come up Thurs to Sunday to Buffalo. Doesn't look like that is going to happen now unfortunately. He has 2 properties, one in Fort Lauderdale and one in West Palm Beach. This will be his first hurricane. He's excited and nervous at the same time. He has nothing ready to prepare his 2 houses with. I told him he would be better off farther north, but the farther north house is closer to the coast. Should be an interesting week down there for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 A friend of mine lives in Anguilla. Him and his family are in the states on my strong recommendation but any ideas what kind of winds Anguilla may see. Looks like to me they may get hit pretty hard. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 10 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: OEMs, weather offices and the media in Florida need to step their game up and damp down the needless panic ongoing. Seeing grocery stores emptied 5 days in advance of a potential hurricanes is utterly insane. Weren't you complaining about the Houston EMs doing (in your eyes) nothing or very little? I'd rather them be a little more bullish this time around. It's not like there are mandatory evacs out yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WishingForWarmWeather Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Should be interesting attempting to get family in Cocoa Beach to pay attention to this. They are part of the "hurricane fatigue" group, and barely bat an eye at any tropical weather. I hope they're paying attention. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mempho Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 OEMs, weather offices and the media in Florida need to step their game up and damp down the needless panic ongoing. Seeing grocery stores emptied 5 days in advance of a potential hurricanes is utterly insane. Why would you not do this? Also, yesterday was Labor Day and traditionally a very busy day for grocery stores anyway. I'm thinking a lot of people were going anyway and just went ahead and stocked up. Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mempho Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 I scoffed at all those people who said the total eclipse foretold impending disaster on the nation. Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfgmfg Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 6 minutes ago, mempho said: I scoffed at all those people who said the total eclipse foretold impending disaster on the nation. My planetary alignment algorithm had better lead time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted September 5, 2017 Author Share Posted September 5, 2017 St Maarten is my favorite island. I go there often. I'm very worried about the people there. Many of the houses are poorly built. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 how come irma pressure at a cat 5 is much higher then either katrina or rita was when they were both cat 5? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 4 minutes ago, nycwinter said: how come irma pressure at a cat 5 is much higher then either katrina or rita was when they were both cat 5? latitude and size Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Holy freaking crap, 180mph! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Jose is going to have to be watched down the road. Ramps up fairly quickly in the long range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Akeem the African Dream Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 @Rjay check your pms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Family in Boynton Beach Florida , I am ver concerned and want them to come up North to NYC but they and many in their community are not concerned and are going to stay put,,,a little help guys and girls how bad will they get it ? Appears Irma will hit the East Coast of Florida hard according to the latest GFS,,,Euro this afternoon should be telling. You think it actually hits them as a CAT 5 and how do I get these people to get out of dodge ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Anyone know whether the Air Force Hurricane Hunters are planning to evacuate St. Croix? I mean I know it's south of the projected path but it is under a hurricane warning. It would suck to lose 2 of the 3 planes investigating right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 17 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said: Family in Boynton Beach Florida , I am ver concerned and want them to come up North to NYC but they and many in their community are not concerned and are going to stay put,,,a little help guys and girls how bad will they get it ? Appears Irma will hit the East Coast of Florida hard according to the latest GFS,,,Euro this afternoon should be telling. You think it actually hits them as a CAT 5 and how do I get these people to get out of dodge ? What's their location and elevation and home construction? If they are prone to flooding or live in a wood house they should prepare to evacuate. Assuming they stay it's going to be a scary time if they get into stronger winds, but typically people survive that. Some of these model tracks have me concerned that it could be a very long time before services are restored in some areas. Potential is there for massive destruction over a large area with dense population, so rescue/recovery would be badly overwhelmed. Note that one way to avoid the congestion on the evacuation routes is to do it either early (now) or late night/early am. Vast majority of people evacuate in the daylight just ahead of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Also while I'm bantering, can we get the GFDL back? Yeah it was screwy sometimes but I liked it as a resource and even the NAM thinks the HMON is crappy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 any information on the disturbance in the bay of campeche? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Newb question about how advisory stated intensity relates to SSHWS category. I've seen the attached map of Hugo's track thrown out in the Irma thread. It shows the upper bound of Category 3 as being 130 MPH, with Category 4 beginning at 131 MPH. However, Harvey was called a Category 4 upon reaching an advisory-reported intensity of 130 MPH. Back in 2008, the highest operationally assessed intensity of Hurricane Ike leading up to its Texas landfall was 110 MPH, but it was still called a Category 2 and thus did not interrupt the eventual 12-year streak without a landfall-as-a-major in the US. Why was the 1 MPH difference rounded up a category in Harvey's case but not in Ike's? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 1 hour ago, Chargers09 said: any information on the disturbance in the bay of campeche? Will get little to no attention. I may start a thread on it soon, even if it's me talking with myself :P. It appears that it will be a big rain producer for areas around Tampico as it's forecasted to move very slowly for several days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 For any new folks tracking for the first time here is the normal process. On Tuesday, we will know more on Thursday On Wednesday, we will know more on Friday On Thursday, we will know more on Saturday On Friday, we will know more on Sunday On Saturday, it's nowcasting time!!!!! On Sunday, well damn, we didn't expect that. Next BTW the above also goes to tracking possible snow threats in the SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mempho Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 3 hours ago, Chargers09 said: any information on the disturbance in the bay of campeche? Meanwhile- we have a TD with no thread and one reply in the TS Jose thread....crazy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Meanwhile- we have a TD with no thread and one reply in the TS Jose thread....crazy!All eyez on Irma. We'll get to the others in due time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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