AlaskaETC Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 Is Deck Pick/Matt trolling? Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 Getting frustrated with the guidance on this system. She's running consistently South of all modeling and forecasts and we buy it over and over again. What are the chances it goes much farther west than any of the models have right now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 12 minutes ago, AlaskaETC said: Is Deck Pick/Matt trolling? Wow. people on the mt rushmore of the community get to troll hard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 1 minute ago, cmasty1978 said: people on the mt rushmore of the community get to troll hard I learned that a long time ago, unfortunately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 Afraid to post it in the main thread due to being told they are crappy models BUT the UKMET has had this western idea and Cuba LF for a while leading up to today and........the CRAS (of all models) has actually led the way and outperformed the UKMET in terms of being the farthest S and W model most of the duration of Irma and has not waivered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 Everywhere I look I see outlets and people exclaim this hurricane to be the most powerful hurricane in the "Atlantic" in history. If the GOM and Caribbean weren't in existence than yes it would be. The play on words is causing everyone to think this is stronger than Hurricane Wilma - very unfortunate and cringey. The measure of strength for tropical cyclones is pressure but the general populous doesn't really know that. I'm already seeing the clichés abound despite avoiding reading much today online - unbearable seeing predictable drivel. Should've done this Wednesday but better late than never - In before the "Could've been worse" and "Dodged a bullet"! Those main 2 have company with these: "sigh of relief", "good thing", and "Miami got lucky", Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted September 9, 2017 Author Share Posted September 9, 2017 23 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Afraid to post it in the main thread due to being told they are crappy models BUT the UKMET has had this western idea and Cuba LF for a while leading up to today and........the CRAS (of all models) has actually led the way and outperformed the UKMET in terms of being the farthest S and W model most of the duration of Irma and has not waivered. The UKIE insisted on a Cuba lf until today I believe but was too far south in the days 2-5 range. Still performed better than all the models except the Euro which is to be expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 Everywhere I look I see outlets and people exclaim this hurricane to be the most powerful hurricane in the "Atlantic" in history. If the GOM and Caribbean weren't in existence than yes it would be. The play on words is causing everyone to think this is stronger than Hurricane Wilma - very unfortunate and cringey. The measure of strength for tropical cyclones is pressure but the general populous doesn't really know that. I'm already seeing the clichés abound despite avoiding reading much today online - unbearable seeing predictable drivel. Should've done this Wednesday but better late than never - In before the "Could've been worse" and "Dodged a bullet"! Those main 2 have company with these: "sigh of relief", "good thing", and "Miami got lucky", There is more to a cyclone's "power" than just surface pressure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 people have no chill and want to fight over the dumbest things. cuba is the new ERC. tomorrow it will be surge or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 I hear if you cut the fuel source, "she" weakens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 Just now, mappy said: I hear if you cut the fuel source, "she" weakens take away coffee, la croix, and whiskey and my wife becomes unable to function Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Akeem the African Dream Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 Don lemon on CNN is hammering this guy who didn't evacuate the keys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 3 minutes ago, Akeem the African Dream said: Don lemon on CNN is hammering this guy who didn't evacuate the keys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 Just now, Akeem the African Dream said: Don lemon on CNN is hammering this guy who didn't evacuate the keys Is it the same guy who said s*** twice last night on his show when talked to by Bill Wier? That was funny, after the first the bar owner kept talking as usual and then just slipped in another later - Bill then said okay we have to end this now . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfgmfg Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 Be sure to update radarscope on iOS so you get proper displays during hurricanes: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 Can someone please post the latest NHC update? TIA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 5 hours ago, psv88 said: What is the NHC smoking? Irma is about make a hard landing on Cuba, theres no chance in hell she becomes a cat 5 again, come on. Back to cat 5. Guess they were smoking the good stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfgmfg Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 Is this accurate enough to say if an AF plane just flew in Cuban airspace? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 5 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Can someone please post the latest NHC update? TIA I am trying to find it too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 4 minutes ago, mfgmfg said: Is this accurate enough to say if an AF plane just flew in Cuban airspace? they usually work out permission. cuba wants and needs that data just as much as we do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 2 minutes ago, mfgmfg said: Is this accurate enough to say if an AF plane just flew in Cuban airspace? Was wondering the same thing. What protocols apply in these cases? I can't imagine that Cuba would be overly thrilled with but then again, if we share the data with them, they are fine with it or is there an agreement? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 someone posted a link the other day about the history of this arrangement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 Eye just bounced off Cuba like a basketball. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 Just now, cmasty1978 said: they usually work out permission. cuba wants and needs that data just as much as we do. Damn it, ninja'd with an answer before I could respond with more questions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfgmfg Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 2 minutes ago, cmasty1978 said: someone posted a link the other day about the history of this arrangement Yeah but what I picked up from that was that NOAA had something worked out (even though they seemed to avoid flying over Cuba on their last flight) and the Air Force didn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 6 minutes ago, mfgmfg said: Yeah but what I picked up from that was that NOAA had something worked out (even though they seemed to avoid flying over Cuba on their last flight) and the Air Force didn't. NOAA has more broad based clearance and the USAF can ask for it on particular missions. they flew in during IKE, for instance. here's an article from an embedded reporter: http://www.nbcnews.com/id/26676853/ns/weather-hurricane_ike/t/bumpy-flight-offers-birds-eye-view-ike/#.WbNevtOGOCQ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacindc Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 Didn't take long for the overall structure to go from very "flat" and even on a E-W axis to showing a decidedly NW-SE axis (watching on GOES 16). Hint on a shift in direction... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Papa Joe Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 The "land" that Irma is over right now are mostly mangrove swamps, so she's essentially still over very warm water. Those swamps go quite a ways. Look at Cuba with google maps and turn on the satellite background. Miles and miles of mangrove swamps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 I screencapped the whole NHC front page for the 11:00 pm EDT cycle. Unbelievable!! The level of action in the Atlantic during the last 48 hours is astounding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted September 9, 2017 Share Posted September 9, 2017 It wobbled a quarter mile north of the forecast track, time to freak out everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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