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Tropical Banter Thread


Rjay

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When there's so many people saying "don't focus on the points, focus on the cone," I really wish the NHC would consider not using forecast points on their graphics outside of three days. Go ahead and build the cone out to five days, and normal people would of course look right at the center of the cone to assume that that's the likeliest path, but I truly think that those Day 4 and 5 points on a map can be counterproductive to the rest of the message.

(An example version attached)

 

 

mycone.jpg

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3 minutes ago, fourseasons said:

Are you psychic? 

There's no way anyone should be calling it a dud for anywhere in FL at this point.

1. This is a banter thread. 

2. Yes, you can. Areas like FLL and PBI have undoubtedly been spared anything more than a typical cane. 

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16 minutes ago, jacindc said:

When there's so many people saying "don't focus on the points, focus on the cone," I really wish the NHC would consider not using forecast points on their graphics outside of three days. Go ahead and build the cone out to five days, and normal people would of course look right at the center of the cone to assume that that's the likeliest path, but I truly think that those Day 4 and 5 points on a map can be counterproductive to the rest of the message.

(An example version attached)

 

 

mycone.jpg

Violently agree.

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With the size of this eyewall, even a landfall in central Everglades National Park would likely be a big problem for Miami, and that is still well within the margin of error.  Of course a landfall more towards Everglades City or Marco Island would be better for Miami, but still pretty rough.

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8 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

With the size of this eyewall, even a landfall in central Everglades National Park would likely be a big problem for Miami, and that is still well within the margin of error.  Of course a landfall more towards Everglades City or Marco Island would be better for Miami, but still pretty rough.

What are the radar and IR sims showing for this around landfall and just after? 

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42 minutes ago, jacindc said:

When there's so many people saying "don't focus on the points, focus on the cone," I really wish the NHC would consider not using forecast points on their graphics outside of three days. Go ahead and build the cone out to five days, and normal people would of course look right at the center of the cone to assume that that's the likeliest path, but I truly think that those Day 4 and 5 points on a map can be counterproductive to the rest of the message.

(An example version attached)

So, a Joe Bastardi-like graphic? I kid.

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