RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 8 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: Global warming Where? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LurkerBoy Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 GEFS say the mild up ain’t so bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 21 minutes ago, LurkerBoy said: GEFS say the mild up ain’t so bad. They always do. That's a torch early next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 25 minutes ago, LurkerBoy said: GEFS say the mild up ain’t so bad. There’s minimum 2 days of 60’s next week. Perhaps 70 near you in NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 Nina changes. AWT. Keep that ridge poleward though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: There’s minimum 2 days of 60’s next week. Perhaps 70 near you in NYC LOL No. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LurkerBoy Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: They always do. That's a torch early next week. Ok. So trust the OP? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 Just now, LurkerBoy said: Ok. So trust the OP? For next week? Probably lean on euro guidance, but not the op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: We absolutely do. Go back and look For kicks, I looked at the last 10 years at CON which one might assume would get more Dec snow than NE CT. I don’t think that it is as snowy as you think. Here is a list of the first >1” snows at CON in the last 10 years: ’07 – 12/3 ’08 – 12/17 ’09 – 12/5 ’10 – 12/26 ’11 – 12/23 ’12 – 12/17 ’13 – 12/9 ’14 – 11/26 ’15 – 12/29 ’16 – 12/5 Not exactly chock full of early season events. I mean, there are a bunch of “T”s earlier in each season, but a “T” isn’t “snowy” IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 2 minutes ago, SJonesWX said: For kicks, I looked at the last 10 years at CON which one might assume would get more Dec snow than NE CT. I don’t think that it is as snowy as you think. Here is a list of the first >1” snows at CON in the last 10 years: ’07 – 12/3 ’08 – 12/17 ’09 – 12/5 ’10 – 12/26 ’11 – 12/23 ’12 – 12/17 ’13 – 12/9 ’14 – 11/26 ’15 – 12/29 ’16 – 12/5 Not exactly chock full of early season events. I mean, there are a bunch of “T”s earlier in each season, but a “T” isn’t “snowy” IMO. I didn’t mean it snows every year in the first week, but it snows at least half of the years in the first 10 days of Dec if you back say 50 years or a larger sample size. Talking interior areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 17 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I didn’t mean it snows every year in the first week, but it snows at least half of the years in the first 10 days of Dec if you back say 50 years or a larger sample size. Talking interior areas. Oh noes, you'll miss out on 1-2" that melts in a day. How will we recover? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Oh noes, you'll miss out on 1-2" that melts in a day. How will we recover? Sigh.. you just don’t get it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Sigh.. you just don’t get it. We'll make up for it in April. Just what you want. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 What the weather is "supposed to be like" based upon individual "calculations" aside... That 00z operational tonality brings us closer to the threshold of such apoplectic misery that folks just give and the traffic in here winnows down to crickets... Be interesting social experiment in climate causality to human behavior, to come in here in have the last post be days old - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: We absolutely do. Go back and look Today's our Archambault event, sucks, if it were 2 weeks later probably looking at a 12 to 18 special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Today's our Archambault event, sucks, if it were 2 weeks later probably looking at a 12 to 18 special. Yeah...man we ware wasting valuable low sun angle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 1 hour ago, SJonesWX said: For kicks, I looked at the last 10 years at CON which one might assume would get more Dec snow than NE CT. I don’t think that it is as snowy as you think. Here is a list of the first >1” snows at CON in the last 10 years: ’07 – 12/3 ’08 – 12/17 ’09 – 12/5 ’10 – 12/26 ’11 – 12/23 ’12 – 12/17 ’13 – 12/9 ’14 – 11/26 ’15 – 12/29 ’16 – 12/5 Not exactly chock full of early season events. I mean, there are a bunch of “T”s earlier in each season, but a “T” isn’t “snowy” IMO. I think you missed an October event in 2011. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 I'd check all of those numbers again. 2007 had 2.1" on 11/20. I stopped there since I'm on the ipad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 Why isn't NWS, AccuWeather, Weather Underground picking up on the "torch". I see Saturday, Tuesday, and Wednesday in the low to mid 50's here. So 6-10F AN for a few days. Not quite "why did I put the AC away?" type weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 "Indian summer"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 40 minutes ago, dendrite said: I'd check all of those numbers again. 2007 had 2.1" on 11/20. I stopped there since I'm on the ipad. Yea, what about Nov 2012? Didn’t CON get the post Sandy snows? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 So I used the North Foster COOP, since 1974. Of the 336 days in the Dec 1 to Dec 7th period they had 33 days with 2 inches or greater on the ground or 10% Next 7 days, 96 days with 2 or greater or 29%. We mid month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 45 minutes ago, dendrite said: I'd check all of those numbers again. 2007 had 2.1" on 11/20. I stopped there since I'm on the ipad. yeah, i rushed it a bit in my angst to prove DIT wrong. you are correct obviously about Oct 2011. i know it technically counts, but that is definately not a season in season. i did miss the '07 november event. and to icebergs point, yes CON got an inch or so post-Sandy. to be clear, the numbers I used are not at CON itself, but the data I got from my dad's place 10 miles WNW of there. my overall point is that the first half of December is often times not very snowy. i don't think the beginning of this season has been much different than the average November so far, and don't expect anything different in December. it is what it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 30 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea, what about Nov 2012? Didn’t CON get the post Sandy snows? Exactly 1.0", so not >1". Same happened on 11/17/08 and 12/22/10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 27 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: So I used the North Foster COOP, since 1974. Of the 336 days in the Dec 1 to Dec 7th period they had 33 days with 2 inches or greater on the ground or 10% Next 7 days, 96 days with 2 or greater or 29%. We mid month So we have snow 10% of the time in the first week of December in the last 43 years. How many times can you prove the guy from Tolland wrong?? Yet he continues to think that November is a snowy month ... when the first week of December is only snowy 1/10th of the time in 43 years. I guess Perception (no matter how wrong it may be) is some people's reality...even when proven otherwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 9 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: So we have snow 10% of the time in the first week of December in the last 43 years. How many times can you prove the guy from Tolland wrong?? Yet he continues to think that November is a snowy month ... when the first week of December is only snowy 1/10th of the time in 43 years. I guess Perception (no matter how wrong it may be) is some people's reality...even when proven otherwise. That's days with at least 2 on the ground. Obviously climo dictates mid Dec on is when we are most likely to see accumulating snow that sticks around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 Cycles. Cycles of frequent early December snows lasting 5 years are interspersed with sparse periods of 5-10 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: That's days with at least 2 on the ground. Obviously climo dictates mid Dec on is when we are most likely to see accumulating snow that sticks around. Have you ever seen a poster so obsessed or irate over another poster? This is getting dangerous I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Have you ever seen a poster so obsessed or irate over another poster? This is getting dangerous I think. Almost like Trump's obsession with Lavar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 22, 2017 Share Posted November 22, 2017 Look the bottom line is that there really is not a reason to be so bent out of shape for having under 2" by 12/10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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