Typhoon Tip Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 14 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: No one wants to talk about that nice SE ridge in the extended? I did .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 2 hours ago, LurkerBoy said: Do you purposefully make your posts overly verbose and hard to understand? They're not hard to understand for the majority of random people around you - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LurkerBoy Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 14 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: They're not hard to understand for the majority of random people around you - Your posts read like you wield a thesaurus at all times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LurkerBoy Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 16 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I did .. Wait is it bad? It looks like seasonal into early Dec Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 17 minutes ago, LurkerBoy said: Wait is it bad? It looks like seasonal into early Dec Good work! That’s correct but I think Nick and Tip are mentioning this in the context that we may play with fire and if we have boundaries north of us it can be warm. But if we’re north we can get decent snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 7 minutes ago, weathafella said: Good work! That’s correct but I think Nick and Tip are mentioning this in the context that we may play with fire and if we have boundaries north of us it can be warm. But if we’re north we can get decent snow. I mean I'd think the EPS would get colder across the northern tier than modeled, because of the decent AK ridging, but it has a general smattering of above normal heights across much of the conus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 1 hour ago, OSUmetstud said: No one wants to talk about that nice SE ridge in the extended? Yeah it's getting a little more Nina like in the extended. I noticed this the other day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 Does Joerg have weeklies? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 27 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah it's getting a little more Nina like in the extended. I noticed this the other day. Just think where the 10-15 day was for next week, EPS has been wretched 10-15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 Next shot at snow/ light accumulation looks like Sunday morning. Similar to today but more widespread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Just think where the 10-15 day was for next week, EPS has been wretched 10-15 It was warmer but the mean height pattern wasn’t bad. Must be some members pumping up the SE ridge quite a bit and adding warmth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Just think where the 10-15 day was for next week, EPS has been wretched 10-15 It sure has...wouldn't put too much stock into those..good or bad at that time lead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 1 hour ago, LurkerBoy said: Your posts read like you wield a thesaurus at all times. Ha! yea...not all the time. different moods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 1 hour ago, LurkerBoy said: Wait is it bad? It looks like seasonal into early Dec Not necessarily - no. Could it be? sure ... Not to waffle, but having a ridge in the SE isn't a death sentence... I wouldn't count on big organized and deep cyclones...but the storm types get more "overrunning" in character. Though they tend less intense, they also tend to strung out events that can last longer that when you have a wound up slug of precipitation and wind associated with a 12 hour coastal blitz. For the general reader: you know...I've not seen a definitive correlation on the following, but it certainly seems intuitive that ice storms might be correlated better with Nina vestige patterns? I dunno though. Anyway, have to also keep in mind that we're just talking tendencies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 The 18z GFS shows snowstorm impacting Chatham, MA on the 27th of NOV. This looks like a coastal low inverted trough brushes the eastern SNE region before heading into the Maritimes, a lot of time for this to morph either way. However, this is promising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: The 18z GFS shows snowstorm impacting Chatham, MA on the 27th of NOV. This looks like a coastal low inverted trough brushes the eastern SNE region before heading into the Maritimes, a lot of time for this to morph either way. However, this is promising. Not gonna happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 26 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Next shot at snow/ light accumulation looks like Sunday morning. Similar to today but more widespread Chief Meteorologist Ryan Hamrohan says just a flurry...I highly doubt there is any accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 In a wait n see approach as we step down closer to met winter. Blocking ftl this week, but better days ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 23 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Not gonna happen. This statement is usually a good sign for snow lovers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: This statement is usually a good sign for snow lovers. lol....the infamous statement from January of 15.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 12 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: This statement is usually a good sign for snow lovers. It's also usually what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: It's also usually what happens. Especially 11/27 vs 1/22. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 21, 2017 Share Posted November 21, 2017 Weeklies?? Old weenies must know... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 21, 2017 Share Posted November 21, 2017 40 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Chief Meteorologist Ryan Hamrohan says just a flurry...I highly doubt there is any accumulation. Did you think there’d be any today when you were studying 500 maps on Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 21, 2017 Share Posted November 21, 2017 You coastal folks need the SST’s to cool. They are still torched. Warmer than last year at this time . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 21, 2017 Share Posted November 21, 2017 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Did you think there’d be any today when you were studying 500 maps on Euro? There were a few snow showers this morning..had one here...but no accumulation..unless you count some flakes on the vehicle and on roofs accumulation?? I don't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 21, 2017 Share Posted November 21, 2017 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You coastal folks need the SST’s to cool. They are still torched. Warmer than last year at this time . I think that’s wrong. Boston light at 50 seems normal for 11/20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 21, 2017 Share Posted November 21, 2017 10 minutes ago, weathafella said: Weeklies?? Old weenies must know... Here you go Jerry. http://www.phillywx.com/topic/894-cfs-ggem-jma-and-euro-weeklies-thread/?do=findComment&comment=82820 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 21, 2017 Share Posted November 21, 2017 1 minute ago, weathafella said: I think that’s wrong. Boston light at 50 seems normal for 11/20. I saw a map today comparing the two years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 21, 2017 Share Posted November 21, 2017 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: Here you go Jerry. http://www.phillywx.com/topic/894-cfs-ggem-jma-and-euro-weeklies-thread/?do=findComment&comment=82820 Thanks Mitch!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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