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Fall 2017 Model Mehham

Go Kart Mozart

By Go Kart Mozart,
in New England

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CT Rain

CT Rain

Posted
Posted
35 minutes ago, dendrite said:

They're adding the stratosphere and wave model data on the other site soon too. Pretty crazy what they're doing. They're giving the big middle finger to JB and JoeD'A.

I believe they paid a fortune for it. More than the $1M or whatever wxbell had for their license that didn't allow data to be distributed beyond their client base. 

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mitchnick

mitchnick

Posted
Posted
6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Oh that's what the plan is?

 

A hunch. Could be wrong,  but wx info is a product like anything else.  I think the internet has shown that business as usual is always subject to change. Traditional models like accuwx, Wxbell,  etc. are ripe for attack I would think.

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weathafella

weathafella

Posted
Posted
34 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

A hunch. Could be wrong,  but wx info is a product like anything else.  I think the internet has shown that business as usual is always subject to change. Traditional models like accuwx, Wxbell,  etc. are ripe for attack I would think.

If Joerg Kachelmann can figure out an innovative way to keep it free including forums the entire wx community will migrate over there.   And vendors will need to compete.   I think no one will be paying  in the near future.

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dendrite

dendrite

Posted
Posted
4 minutes ago, weathafella said:

If Joerg Kachelmann can figure out an innovative way to keep it free including forums the entire wx community will migrate over there.   And vendors will need to compete.   I think no one will be paying  in the near future.

They could make a ton in ad revenue if they wanted. 

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CoastalWx

CoastalWx

Posted
Posted
14 minutes ago, LurkerBoy said:

Sleet in NYC. How's the LR looking folks?


FHR  24| 36  48| 60  72| 84  96|108 120|132 144|156 168|180 192
MON  20| TUE 21| WED 22| THU 23| FRI 24| SAT 25| SUN 26| MON 27 CLIMO
X/N  80| 72  84| 69  84| 70  82| 68  82| 66  81| 64  79| 62  77 63 79
TMP  76| 74  78| 71  77| 73  75| 70  75| 67  74| 65  71| 63  71
DPT  66| 67  68| 68  68| 70  68| 66  65| 63  62| 59  56| 57  57
CLD  OV| OV  OV| PC  PC| OV  OV| OV  PC| PC  PC| CL  CL| CL  CL
WND  12| 10   9|  5   7|  5   9|  4   6|  5   7|  5   8|  6   9
P12  35| 58  51| 30  18| 32  51| 42  26| 28  21| 18  12|  7   9 19 18
P24    |     77|     37|     56|     52|     32|     24|     12    29
Q12   0|  2   1|  0   0|  1   2|  1   0|  1   0|  0    |
Q24    |      3|      1|      2|      1|      0|       |
T12   9| 23  22|  8  12|  7  19| 13   9|  4   4|  2   4|  2   2
T24    | 23    | 26    | 15    | 26    |  9    |  7    |  4
PZP   0|  0   0|  1   0|  0   1|  0   0|  1   1|  0   0|  0   0
PSN   0|  1   0|  0   0|  0   0|  0   0|  0   0|  3   0|  0   0
PRS   0|  0   0|  0   0|  1   0|  0   1|  0   0|  0   1|  1   0
TYP   R|  R   R|  R   R|  R   R|  R   R|  R   R|  R   R|  R   R

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mitchnick

mitchnick

Posted
Posted
28 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Bingo!  One would thInk that’s the end game.

That's what they did at YouTube to start, now they offer ad free if you pay. Pay only at YouTube seems to be the natural progression from here. Whether it gets to that point,  only time will tell. YouTube has a huge audience,  unlike weather, which is more of a niche. As a result, I think Weather.us won't have as easy a time of it like YouTube.  In the meantime,  we enjoy the free maps at the expense of Accuwx, Wxbell,  Storm Vista, and the like.

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dendrite

dendrite

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

That's what they did at YouTube to start, now they offer ad free if you pay. Pay only at YouTube seems to be the natural progression from here. Whether it gets to that point,  only time will tell. YouTube has a huge audience,  unlike weather, which is more of a niche. As a result, I think Weather.us won't have as easy a time of it like YouTube.  In the meantime,  we enjoy the free maps at the expense of Accuwx, Wxbell,  Storm Vista, and the like.

Pay only at Youtube will be the start of their death. Other free sites will spring up and take over. 

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LurkerBoy

LurkerBoy

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, weathafella said:

Hot, humid, popup storms most days.

 

57 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:


FHR  24| 36  48| 60  72| 84  96|108 120|132 144|156 168|180 192
MON  20| TUE 21| WED 22| THU 23| FRI 24| SAT 25| SUN 26| MON 27 CLIMO
X/N  80| 72  84| 69  84| 70  82| 68  82| 66  81| 64  79| 62  77 63 79
TMP  76| 74  78| 71  77| 73  75| 70  75| 67  74| 65  71| 63  71
DPT  66| 67  68| 68  68| 70  68| 66  65| 63  62| 59  56| 57  57
CLD  OV| OV  OV| PC  PC| OV  OV| OV  PC| PC  PC| CL  CL| CL  CL
WND  12| 10   9|  5   7|  5   9|  4   6|  5   7|  5   8|  6   9
P12  35| 58  51| 30  18| 32  51| 42  26| 28  21| 18  12|  7   9 19 18
P24    |     77|     37|     56|     52|     32|     24|     12    29
Q12   0|  2   1|  0   0|  1   2|  1   0|  1   0|  0    |
Q24    |      3|      1|      2|      1|      0|       |
T12   9| 23  22|  8  12|  7  19| 13   9|  4   4|  2   4|  2   2
T24    | 23    | 26    | 15    | 26    |  9    |  7    |  4
PZP   0|  0   0|  1   0|  0   1|  0   0|  1   1|  0   0|  0   0
PSN   0|  1   0|  0   0|  0   0|  0   0|  0   0|  3   0|  0   0
PRS   0|  0   0|  0   0|  1   0|  0   1|  0   0|  0   1|  1   0
TYP   R|  R   R|  R   R|  R   R|  R   R|  R   R|  R   R|  R   R

5lytn.jpg

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Typhoon Tip

Typhoon Tip

Posted
Posted

I'm actually astounded at the Euro (operational) warmth across the conus.  Particularly that day 8 bulge extending out from the SW into the Plains' ...almost looks like a hybrid/prelude to a Sonora heat release, as the previous two or so days caps the SW air mass, the model thinks its May apparently ..., heats it to Hades and back, then threatens to roll it out on eastward with that Rosby reposition that's hinted (frankly) in all models for that matter.

Not sure if that's for real, but if so, would that dictate the anomaly distribution for the first half of December, or be something more transient...? I'm reeeasonably high confident few in here have noticed... could be wrong. It's subtle; I'd almost have to be in front of a monitor with an index finger in one hand, and a mouse clicking in the other to demo where/why that is.. But, a Rosby roll-out could transpire beginning shortly after TG that could tug a day or two (or more) of near record warmth.  Yet, with little present teleconnector indication for that - it's why I think transient if at all.

Anyway, +20C over Kansas ...not sure what the return rate is on that for post the ides of November, but, I got to think that is getting increasingly verified ...and by the time any such model solution would verify, it's nearing Dec 1 anyway. Canadian GGEM looks similar in that regard.  The GFS has the roll-out wave/ridging but as usual, mutes the significance of the warm air it is toting with it...but structurally it is in support. 

Meanwhile, why is the operational Euro attenuating all northern Hemisphere cold beyond D6/7 ?  It's got the general circumvallate of -16C everywhere, with small and large pockets nearing -30C as it should, then...the whole domain region in those freebie runs seems to up and modify upwards by an average of 10C.  Wouldn't it be an awesome sci-fi if the every day operational forecast models actually modeled the threshold crossing of the GW death dial - haha.  jokin' around

 

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