Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2017 Share Posted November 17, 2017 Just now, Snow88 said: Tellies ? Eps? Anything except the atrocious GFS Op Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 17, 2017 Share Posted November 17, 2017 14 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Anything except the atrocious GFS Op In fairness they all suck at d7 which this threat is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted November 17, 2017 Share Posted November 17, 2017 I have to admit this winter is shaping up a lot better than the last few winters have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 17, 2017 Share Posted November 17, 2017 34 minutes ago, weathafella said: In fairness they all suck at d7 which this threat is. Yea, euro probably a hair better at that lead time. If it showed a snowy solution we wouldn’t, shouldn‘t be any happier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted November 17, 2017 Share Posted November 17, 2017 49 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Tellies ? Eps? twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LurkerBoy Posted November 17, 2017 Share Posted November 17, 2017 27 minutes ago, leo2000 said: I have to admit this winter is shaping up a lot better than the last few winters have. Facts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted November 17, 2017 Share Posted November 17, 2017 And I agree it's possible the averages are all bumped up...I mean, unless disaster strikes in the next 3 years, ORH is going to be at like 73" or 74" for the 1991-2020 normals. But usually when I talk about averages, I mean long term and not the 30 year average. Even over 30 years you can insert some decent noise. Local co-op's 81-10 snowfall is 3.3" under the long-term average of 89.8", while 91-20 (to date) is 2.5" above the LT. Getting their worst decade - 1980s with 75.6" - out of the 30-year makes a big difference. And yes, there's lots of noise; that worst-decade-of-13 followed their best - 70s averaged 103.1". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2017 Share Posted November 17, 2017 Euro op in clown land and GFS seem to hint at something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2017 Share Posted November 17, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted November 17, 2017 Share Posted November 17, 2017 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: https://imgur.com/a/Qrbj8 Over the canal or East of Orleans? Cold rain into the deep interior or heavy snow west of 495? Classic nor'easter. Hmm and so deep into the looking glass. No harm dreaming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2017 Share Posted November 17, 2017 Just now, J Paul Gordon said: Over the canal or East of Orleans? Cold rain into the deep interior or heavy snow west of 495? Classic nor'easter. Hmm and so deep into the looking glass. No harm dreaming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Will (little rock) Posted November 17, 2017 Share Posted November 17, 2017 https://www.nsf.gov/news/special_reports/autumnwinter/predicts.jsp National Science Foundation Winter Outlook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted November 17, 2017 Share Posted November 17, 2017 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Wow... with a little orogrpahic lifting we could get plastered on the Tolland-Worcester Massif! Only out a week from Monday. Can only get better from here. Actually its the ECMWF there's a chance it might verify. Anyhow, fun thinking about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted November 17, 2017 Share Posted November 17, 2017 1 hour ago, LurkerBoy said: Facts Well things in the medium range are looking better. Any bad patterns look to be not establishing themselves when they seem to show up in the 11-15 day range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2017 Share Posted November 17, 2017 5 minutes ago, J Paul Gordon said: Wow... with a little orogrpahic lifting we could get plastered on the Tolland-Worcester Massif! Only out a week from Monday. Can only get better from here. Actually its the ECMWF there's a chance it might verify. Anyhow, fun thinking about it. It’s next weekend..Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 17, 2017 Share Posted November 17, 2017 Meterology Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted November 17, 2017 Share Posted November 17, 2017 22 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Meterology Somebody somewhere believes in it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2017 Share Posted November 17, 2017 1 minute ago, Cold Miser said: Somebody somewhere believes in it. Day 9 blizzards are the best . Beast mode in fantasy land on the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 17, 2017 Share Posted November 17, 2017 EPS mildly interested in next weekend. Nothing like the OP but we'll keep an eye on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted November 17, 2017 Share Posted November 17, 2017 7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Day 9 blizzards are the best . Beast mode in fantasy land on the Euro Yup. Chuck 'em high, chuck 'em low, and chuck em' more that a week away...and even better done well before the season starts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 17, 2017 Share Posted November 17, 2017 3 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: Somebody somewhere believes in it. The upper air look supported it before a solution spitted it out. Not saying lock it up but it makes sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted November 17, 2017 Share Posted November 17, 2017 5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: The upper air look supported it before a solution spitted it out. I'm saying lock it up because it makes sense. Look everyone...Iceberg just locked in a storm at over a week away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted November 17, 2017 Share Posted November 17, 2017 That warmup has kind of disappeared on the EPS. Interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2017 Share Posted November 17, 2017 We deep freeze Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 17, 2017 Share Posted November 17, 2017 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’s next weekend..Saturday That model image you posted says 240 hours on it...that's 10 days from now, so that wouldn't be next Saturday! It would be next Monday or so. It doesn't matter at this point, but like Berg said...the upper air looked supportive for something like that. Have to see how it progresses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted November 17, 2017 Share Posted November 17, 2017 Be interested to see if the 18z GFS creeps closer from previous run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2017 Share Posted November 17, 2017 Oh my God.. would someone please , please explain it to him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted November 17, 2017 Share Posted November 17, 2017 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Oh my God.. would someone please , please explain it to him. You have been nominated... 3...2...1...GO!!! edit: "Completed Through 240hrs" should be enough. At the very minimum to at least get someone on the right track. if that combined with the storm totals being shown doesn't help then I can't be the one to explain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted November 17, 2017 Share Posted November 17, 2017 Actually I'm more interested in seeing James' response when he sees the Euro run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 17, 2017 Share Posted November 17, 2017 9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Oh my God.. would someone please , please explain it to him. I looked at the snowfall graphic you put up...it said 240. Your other one showing the system said 216 hr...which is 9 days away, which still doesn't make it next Saturday Kevin. So please explain how a 216 hour graphic gets us to next Saturday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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