Typhoon Tip Posted September 27, 2017 Share Posted September 27, 2017 Heh... I think if anything the Euro and company are over-done with limitations in the 850 continental layering there... We'll see. that's not a formal declaration for a forecast, but given the tele spread ...that canvas actually supports historic warmth. The operational cluster appears a bit happy in creating least excuses to "dent" potential. As the last 4 days have demoed ... that weird era of counting on unseen reasons to spontaneously emerge just in time to stop bigger numbers from getting into the NE ...may finally be broken luck. In other words, we may actually see better success with ridging now - going forward. The best part about it is that we are turning the page into October climo ...which is akin to saying, something somewhere somehow will tend to offset plus biases. not a lot but some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 27, 2017 Share Posted September 27, 2017 The door remains tightly shut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted September 27, 2017 Share Posted September 27, 2017 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: The door remains tightly shut Who cares it's only early fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 27, 2017 Share Posted September 27, 2017 7 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: Who cares it's only early fall. Mild is fine . That look right there is more record heat for us later next week and more AC usage . Pretty wild stuff and I'd guess no one wants 90 in Oct. Maybe you do? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted September 27, 2017 Share Posted September 27, 2017 11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: The door remains tightly shut I mean now you're just trolling because you have to know by now that the upper air look you keep posting is a risk for backdoors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted September 27, 2017 Share Posted September 27, 2017 3 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: I mean now you're just trolling because you have to know by now that the upper air look you keep posting is a risk for backdoors. He doesn't know how to read upper air...never learned it. But yeah, that's some confluence clearly in E Quebec/Nova Scotia...you get the stubborn high there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 27, 2017 Share Posted September 27, 2017 8 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: I mean now you're just trolling because you have to know by now that the upper air look you keep posting is a risk for backdoors. No. I do not see that at all. There is 0 risk in SNE with that height and ridge position. Congrats Labrador Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted September 27, 2017 Share Posted September 27, 2017 13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Mild is fine . That look right there is more record heat for us later next week and more AC usage . Pretty wild stuff and I'd guess no one wants 90 in Oct. Maybe you do? Only for Christmas and Santa in johrts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 27, 2017 Share Posted September 27, 2017 MAV has 33F for CON Sun AM. BML 28F. Not a bad way to follow up a 4-day late Sep heat wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted September 27, 2017 Share Posted September 27, 2017 1 minute ago, dendrite said: MAV has 33F for CON Sun AM. BML 28F. Not a bad way to follow up a 4-day late Sep heat wave. 12 hour mildowns dont count. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 27, 2017 Share Posted September 27, 2017 1 minute ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: 12 hour mildowns dont count. A little longer than 12hrs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 27, 2017 Share Posted September 27, 2017 Kevin is in the highly annoying meltdown mode. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 27, 2017 Share Posted September 27, 2017 Anyone claiming there is no heat for us next week is drunk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted September 27, 2017 Share Posted September 27, 2017 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Anyone claiming there is no heat for us next week is drunk Anyone claiming that anyone is claiming there is no heat, and that there is no backdoor signal next week is drunk. Treehouse must've been on point today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 GFS is trying to end Sep with 40s for highs in the interior Sat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 Man..what a torch later next week/weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 57 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Man..what a torch later next week/weekend Winter may never come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 3 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Man..what a torch later next week/weekend Did you look at overnight models? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 Certainly don't want any more 90 degree days this autumn!!! So done with that as I'm sure most are. But upper 70's to near 80 is fine with me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: Did you look at overnight models? GEFS/ENS are way way AN with a few days of 80+ Oct 5-10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: GEFS/ENS are way way AN with a few days of 80+ Oct 5-10 The EPS/GEFS look like they show a hint of a front in the means next week so there's probably some split amongst the members. Both op runs pass it through. I don't think I'd be spiking the ball yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 14 minutes ago, dendrite said: Did you look at overnight models? Nah, all torch all the time. But every day closer to Halloween we get the more those days are numbered for the KFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 35 minutes ago, dendrite said: The EPS/GEFS look like they show a hint of a front in the means next week so there's probably some split amongst the members. Both op runs pass it through. I don't think I'd be spiking the ball yet. Not spiking anything.. but that's a massive long duration ensemble signal at this lead time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 49 minutes ago, dendrite said: The EPS/GEFS look like they show a hint of a front in the means next week so there's probably some split amongst the members. Both op runs pass it through. I don't think I'd be spiking the ball yet. Looking at the EPS members forecast high temps, there is definitely a more consistent warm signal early next week, but by next Thursday about 10% creep in with a normal temp day rather than torchy, and by Friday it's more like half the members are normal. Just back of the envelope type stuff, but 80s look roughly twice as likely for Kevin than a normal day next Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 1 hour ago, WinterWolf said: Certainly don't want any more 90 degree days this autumn!!! So done with that as I'm sure most are. But upper 70's to near 80 is fine with me. I was told 90F for October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 41 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: I was told 90F for October. 90F for what lol?? I'm not understanding your post? Today is perfect...I'll take this any day for the next month or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 21 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Mild is fine . That look right there is more record heat for us later next week and more AC usage . Pretty wild stuff and I'd guess no one wants 90 in Oct. Maybe you do? See above post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 27 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: See above post. Psst.. don't look at the Gfs pssstt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 42 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Psst.. don't look at the Gfs pssstt Dont care about cold weather for another month. Three tropical systems around 10/10. Wonder how many fantasy runs it will take to bring them into SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 10 hours ago, dendrite said: GFS is trying to end Sep with 40s for highs in the interior Sat. I keep wondering how long it'll take for the interior to have highs in the 50s again after early September. MVL max temps for Sept 1 was 57F and Sept 3 was 53F...I wonder if we can go a full month before seeing that again? This month still blows my mind with how backwards it was. Coldest days to start the month and then it just gets warmer from there...despite climo heading in the opposite direction. Today looked like the first seasonable day in 2 weeks...with upper 50s daytime, but it was 60s all night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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