tamarack Posted October 24, 2017 Share Posted October 24, 2017 17 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Likely it’s an even stronger soueaster screamer than tomorrow’s. We may have to widespread damaging screamers within a weeks time. I believe 95-96 had that in November The southeast gale of 11/12/95 flattened over 2,000 cords of timber on the state's Holeb tract, west of Jackman. I'd rather not see a repeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted October 24, 2017 Share Posted October 24, 2017 I definitely remember being in Franconia Notch sometime in the 95-96 season with an ice covered Cannon Mountain lot, driving rain, and southerlies gusting to 75-80 mph at times. The Cannon summit was gusting to 100 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 24, 2017 Share Posted October 24, 2017 Pretty big -EPO on the Euro ensembles today...a lot more robust than the 00z run for early November. If that ends up being the trend, then we'd prob see some colder weather with it. At the very least, an early start for S Canada and N plains/lakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 24, 2017 Share Posted October 24, 2017 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Pretty big -EPO on the Euro ensembles today...a lot more robust than the 00z run for early November. If that ends up being the trend, then we'd prob see some colder weather with it. At the very least, an early start for S Canada and N plains/lakes. Yeah all eyes on the Pacific. The IMBY weenies may take time getting their cold...but need to look at the broad picture. I like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 24, 2017 Share Posted October 24, 2017 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah all eyes on the Pacific. The IMBY weenies may take time getting their cold...but need to look at the broad picture. I like it. Yeah pretty classic gradient pattern is shown there...if that's how the atmosphere wants to behave as we get closer to the winter solstice, we shouldn't complain. That type of Pacific would likely be quite good for us with another 3-4 weeks of climo baked in. If we can avoid the November Cyclops, then I'm going to feel pretty good going into December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 24, 2017 Share Posted October 24, 2017 7 hours ago, tamarack said: The southeast gale of 11/12/95 flattened over 2,000 cords of timber on the state's Holeb tract, west of Jackman. I'd rather not see a repeat. W PA got crushed with like 2' of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted October 24, 2017 Share Posted October 24, 2017 GFS has an incredible wind and rain event for this area later this weekend. Verbatim, it's probably hurricane force gusts for coastal areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 24, 2017 Share Posted October 24, 2017 18z gfs lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 25, 2017 Share Posted October 25, 2017 6 hours ago, Snow88 said: 18z gfs lol Drilled every TC down to the 800s, is it going to drill every winter storm down into the sub 980s too? Best part is with the new model revamp coming out in 2019 there will be little work done to improve/fix the NAM and GFS from here on out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2017 Share Posted October 25, 2017 Big low again this weekend. That one looks more impressive than this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted October 25, 2017 Share Posted October 25, 2017 23 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Big low again this weekend. That one looks more impressive than this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted October 25, 2017 Share Posted October 25, 2017 30 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Big low again this weekend. That one looks more impressive than this one. Primarily affecting the area east of 495 ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2017 Share Posted October 25, 2017 9 minutes ago, scoob40 said: Primarily affecting the area east of 495 ? No it looks strong for all. Probably coastal areas favored for winds obviously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted October 25, 2017 Share Posted October 25, 2017 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: No it looks strong for all. Probably coastal areas favored for winds obviously. Drought uber-cancelled on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 25, 2017 Share Posted October 25, 2017 55 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Big low again this weekend. That one looks more impressive than this one. Let’s take down some more !! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2017 Share Posted October 25, 2017 The euro looked like it had very strong winds on the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted October 25, 2017 Share Posted October 25, 2017 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The euro looked like it had very strong winds on the coast. I haven't really looked into this much, but that looks like a cat 1 hurricane/hybrid running into RI/SE MA late Sunday on the 6z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2017 Share Posted October 25, 2017 3 minutes ago, jbenedet said: I haven't really looked into this much, but that looks like a cat 1 hurricane/hybrid running into RI/SE MA late Sunday on the 6z GFS. The euro and gfs lol. I dunno, but both models showing quite a storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted October 25, 2017 Share Posted October 25, 2017 16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The euro looked like it had very strong winds on the coast. Yeah the gust product is a hoot to say the least. 90-100 mph into the south coast. Not worth the pixels its printed on, but still... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted October 25, 2017 Share Posted October 25, 2017 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Big low again this weekend. That one looks more impressive than this one. stop scaring everybody, it's not this weekend, it's sunday night bro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 25, 2017 Share Posted October 25, 2017 Scoots says it’s a mini cane right up CTRV on Euro. Hopefully someone posts gust products Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted October 25, 2017 Share Posted October 25, 2017 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The euro and gfs lol. I dunno, but both models showing quite a storm. Yea I just looked at the euro; really impressive. With all the rain leading up to it and during this has the makings of a significant event...Still time for big changes but recent trends are certainly concerning... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted October 25, 2017 Share Posted October 25, 2017 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Scoots says it’s a mini cane right up CTRV Perhaps. But the strength of the windfield will be highly asymmetric once it gets up here. All the big winds will be on the eastern half of the circulation. Current guidance points to east end of LI, RI, and SE MA, as getting the significant wind impacts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 25, 2017 Share Posted October 25, 2017 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The euro and gfs lol. I dunno, but both models showing quite a storm. You can add the Ukie and CMC to that mix Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 25, 2017 Share Posted October 25, 2017 11 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Perhaps. But the strength of the windfield will be highly asymmetric once it gets up here. All the big winds will be on the eastern half of the circulation. Current guidance points to east end of LI, RI, and SE MA, as getting the significant wind impacts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 25, 2017 Share Posted October 25, 2017 ok WTF Euro with 100 mph gusts, really? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2017 Share Posted October 25, 2017 Yeah I'll sell that for sure. In any case, could be a high impact event, either from rain or wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoveSN+ Posted October 25, 2017 Share Posted October 25, 2017 Certainly going to be a rainmaker, with those tropical remnants likely mixing into the trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 25, 2017 Share Posted October 25, 2017 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah I'll sell that for sure. In any case, could be a high impact event, either from rain or wind. GFS just further east, wtf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 25, 2017 Share Posted October 25, 2017 Later today the 12z runs will have it hitting Bermuda...but I'll take some more rain though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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