CoastalWx Posted October 19, 2017 Share Posted October 19, 2017 Might need to hoist the Ginxy SOS signal next week in the northeast. Deep cutoff with tropical flow in October usually spells hydro issues. Something to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 19, 2017 Share Posted October 19, 2017 Congrats Upstate NY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 19, 2017 Share Posted October 19, 2017 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Congrats Upstate NY Man you are like a fart in an oxygen tank. Just no fun and completely depressing. Your team is about to go into the WS, yet your posts make Sarah Mclachlan sound like a comedian. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 19, 2017 Share Posted October 19, 2017 28 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Man you are like a fart in an oxygen tank. Just no fun and completely depressing. Your team is about to go into the WS, yet your posts make Sarah Mclachlan sound like a comedian. Not going to get excited about rains targeted for W NY and PA. By all means though.. hype away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 19, 2017 Share Posted October 19, 2017 43 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Man you are like a fart in an oxygen tank. Just no fun and completely depressing. Your team is about to go into the WS, yet your posts make Sarah Mclachlan sound like a comedian. lol. Once winter comes it'll be calls of 1-3" every time a model prints 0.01" QPF and he'll be telling you to stop being so cautionary haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 19, 2017 Share Posted October 19, 2017 8 minutes ago, powderfreak said: lol. Once winter comes it'll be calls of 1-3" every time a model prints 0.01" QPF and he'll be telling you to stop being so cautionary haha. What a Debbie D he is. Good grief. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted October 19, 2017 Share Posted October 19, 2017 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Man you are like a fart in an oxygen tank. Just no fun and completely depressing. Your team is about to go into the WS, yet your posts make Sarah Mclachlan sound like a comedian. i laughed at this, good stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 19, 2017 Share Posted October 19, 2017 So much for Snow88s weenie “blocking”. Watch the games at metlife stadium, you could find better blocking there....though not by much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 19, 2017 Share Posted October 19, 2017 12 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Might need to hoist the Ginxy SOS signal next week in the northeast. Deep cutoff with tropical flow in October usually spells hydro issues. Something to watch. Dave Epstein will be bummed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 20, 2017 Share Posted October 20, 2017 22 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Man you are like a fart in an oxygen tank. Just no fun and completely depressing. Your team is about to go into the WS, yet your posts make Sarah Mclachlan sound like a comedian. LMAO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 20, 2017 Share Posted October 20, 2017 People stealing rain now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted October 20, 2017 Share Posted October 20, 2017 23 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Man you are like a fart in an oxygen tank. Just no fun and completely depressing. Your team is about to go into the WS, yet your posts make Sarah Mclachlan sound like a comedian. Hope it's not a wet one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 20, 2017 Share Posted October 20, 2017 Weeklies keep flipping around. Week 3 back to being warm and lower heights near AK through west coast. Week 4 then tries to bring the EPO towards the negative side. I feel like Week 3 and 4 have been useless lately so anyone's guess there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted October 20, 2017 Share Posted October 20, 2017 4 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Weeklies keep flipping around. Week 3 back to being warm and lower heights near AK through west coast. Week 4 then tries to bring the EPO towards the negative side. I feel like Week 3 and 4 have been useless lately so anyone's guess there. This weather on the whole is ridiculous. Seems like we just keep punting any changes to more seasonable or colder weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 20, 2017 Share Posted October 20, 2017 5 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Weeklies keep flipping around. Week 3 back to being warm and lower heights near AK through west coast. Week 4 then tries to bring the EPO towards the negative side. I feel like Week 3 and 4 have been useless lately so anyone's guess there. Impressive cold dump into the Upper Plains at the end of the OP 12z GFS run today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoveSN+ Posted October 20, 2017 Share Posted October 20, 2017 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Impressive cold dump into the Upper Plains at the end of the OP 12z GFS run today. Certainly impressive, but likely overdone for early November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 20, 2017 Share Posted October 20, 2017 3 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: This weather on the whole is ridiculous. Seems like we just keep punting any changes to more seasonable or colder weather Might as well just punt winter on 1st down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 20, 2017 Share Posted October 20, 2017 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Might as well just punt winter on 1st down. It's only October Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 20, 2017 Share Posted October 20, 2017 14 minutes ago, Snow88 said: It's only October whoosh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoveSN+ Posted October 20, 2017 Share Posted October 20, 2017 15 minutes ago, Snow88 said: It's only October I think you missed the /s on his post there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 20, 2017 Share Posted October 20, 2017 4 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: This weather on the whole is ridiculous. Seems like we just keep punting any changes to more seasonable or colder weather I meant flip as in one week cold next week warm. Not that they went from cold to straight warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 20, 2017 Share Posted October 20, 2017 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I meant flip as in one week cold next week warm. Not that they went from cold to straight warm. There’s no saving his thought process. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted October 20, 2017 Share Posted October 20, 2017 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I meant flip as in one week cold next week warm. Not that they went from cold to straight warm. I mean in general.... doesn’t seem like any change to normal for any extended period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted October 20, 2017 Share Posted October 20, 2017 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: There’s no saving his thought process. Lol... I thought it was a fair point. It’s been warm... and doesn’t look much cooler overall moving forward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 20, 2017 Share Posted October 20, 2017 5 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Lol... I thought it was a fair point. It’s been warm... and doesn’t look much cooler overall moving forward It's a warm Nina October augmented by the leftover heat from tropical activity. I'm not too worried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 20, 2017 Share Posted October 20, 2017 3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Lol... I thought it was a fair point. It’s been warm... and doesn’t look much cooler overall moving forward lol. I agree but we sense your pessimism for DJF already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 21, 2017 Share Posted October 21, 2017 So we finally seem to be getting a better Pacific, but remember the wavelengths this time of year. The Pacific finally becomes favorable with a more -EPO/+PNA look into day 10 and even beyond. Shown in the first image. In the second image, you can see a large MJO forcing shown at 200mb pass easterly and exhibit a more Nino look. That seems to be the reason why we are seeing this pattern. Notice earlier in that graphic, nothing comes close to exhibiting this kind of wave until now. That's because we have been in a soild nina state for a long time. Interesting stuff...but also..it helps that the coolest waters are east and allows the wave to propagate east over warmer waters west of dateline. Th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 21, 2017 Share Posted October 21, 2017 Apparently I cannot upload more than a small word doc, so here is the link for the MJO stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 21, 2017 Share Posted October 21, 2017 To expound on the wavelength issue, those with the immediate gratification fetish may not get it. The cold will plunge into the Plains and Midwest from time to time. We will get shots, but this pattern is not the same now, as it would be in winter. Regardless...I certainly am glad not to see the one eyed weenie in AK. At least for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 21, 2017 Share Posted October 21, 2017 Next few weeks one of those maddening patterns where all the cold stays west of the apps and we continue to rot with above normal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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