Typhoon Tip Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 On 11/20/2017 at 9:20 PM, OSUmetstud said: No one wants to talk about that nice SE ridge in the extended? Expand I did .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 On 11/20/2017 at 7:16 PM, LurkerBoy said: Do you purposefully make your posts overly verbose and hard to understand? Expand They're not hard to understand for the majority of random people around you - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LurkerBoy Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 On 11/20/2017 at 9:36 PM, Typhoon Tip said: They're not hard to understand for the majority of random people around you - Expand Your posts read like you wield a thesaurus at all times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LurkerBoy Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 On 11/20/2017 at 9:35 PM, Typhoon Tip said: I did .. Expand Wait is it bad? It looks like seasonal into early Dec Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 On 11/20/2017 at 9:51 PM, LurkerBoy said: Wait is it bad? It looks like seasonal into early Dec Expand Good work! That’s correct but I think Nick and Tip are mentioning this in the context that we may play with fire and if we have boundaries north of us it can be warm. But if we’re north we can get decent snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 On 11/20/2017 at 10:10 PM, weathafella said: Good work! That’s correct but I think Nick and Tip are mentioning this in the context that we may play with fire and if we have boundaries north of us it can be warm. But if we’re north we can get decent snow. Expand I mean I'd think the EPS would get colder across the northern tier than modeled, because of the decent AK ridging, but it has a general smattering of above normal heights across much of the conus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 On 11/20/2017 at 9:20 PM, OSUmetstud said: No one wants to talk about that nice SE ridge in the extended? Expand Yeah it's getting a little more Nina like in the extended. I noticed this the other day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 Does Joerg have weeklies? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 On 11/20/2017 at 10:23 PM, CoastalWx said: Yeah it's getting a little more Nina like in the extended. I noticed this the other day. Expand Just think where the 10-15 day was for next week, EPS has been wretched 10-15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 Next shot at snow/ light accumulation looks like Sunday morning. Similar to today but more widespread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 On 11/20/2017 at 10:51 PM, Ginx snewx said: Just think where the 10-15 day was for next week, EPS has been wretched 10-15 Expand It was warmer but the mean height pattern wasn’t bad. Must be some members pumping up the SE ridge quite a bit and adding warmth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 On 11/20/2017 at 10:51 PM, Ginx snewx said: Just think where the 10-15 day was for next week, EPS has been wretched 10-15 Expand It sure has...wouldn't put too much stock into those..good or bad at that time lead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 On 11/20/2017 at 9:51 PM, LurkerBoy said: Your posts read like you wield a thesaurus at all times. Expand Ha! yea...not all the time. different moods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 On 11/20/2017 at 9:51 PM, LurkerBoy said: Wait is it bad? It looks like seasonal into early Dec Expand Not necessarily - no. Could it be? sure ... Not to waffle, but having a ridge in the SE isn't a death sentence... I wouldn't count on big organized and deep cyclones...but the storm types get more "overrunning" in character. Though they tend less intense, they also tend to strung out events that can last longer that when you have a wound up slug of precipitation and wind associated with a 12 hour coastal blitz. For the general reader: you know...I've not seen a definitive correlation on the following, but it certainly seems intuitive that ice storms might be correlated better with Nina vestige patterns? I dunno though. Anyway, have to also keep in mind that we're just talking tendencies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 The 18z GFS shows snowstorm impacting Chatham, MA on the 27th of NOV. This looks like a coastal low inverted trough brushes the eastern SNE region before heading into the Maritimes, a lot of time for this to morph either way. However, this is promising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 On 11/20/2017 at 11:15 PM, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: The 18z GFS shows snowstorm impacting Chatham, MA on the 27th of NOV. This looks like a coastal low inverted trough brushes the eastern SNE region before heading into the Maritimes, a lot of time for this to morph either way. However, this is promising. Expand Not gonna happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 On 11/20/2017 at 10:52 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Next shot at snow/ light accumulation looks like Sunday morning. Similar to today but more widespread Expand Chief Meteorologist Ryan Hamrohan says just a flurry...I highly doubt there is any accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 In a wait n see approach as we step down closer to met winter. Blocking ftl this week, but better days ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 On 11/20/2017 at 11:17 PM, CoastalWx said: Not gonna happen. Expand This statement is usually a good sign for snow lovers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 On 11/20/2017 at 11:41 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: This statement is usually a good sign for snow lovers. Expand lol....the infamous statement from January of 15.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 On 11/20/2017 at 11:41 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: This statement is usually a good sign for snow lovers. Expand It's also usually what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 On 11/20/2017 at 11:54 PM, CoastalWx said: It's also usually what happens. Expand Especially 11/27 vs 1/22. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 21, 2017 Share Posted November 21, 2017 Weeklies?? Old weenies must know... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 21, 2017 Share Posted November 21, 2017 On 11/20/2017 at 11:21 PM, WinterWolf said: Chief Meteorologist Ryan Hamrohan says just a flurry...I highly doubt there is any accumulation. Expand Did you think there’d be any today when you were studying 500 maps on Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 21, 2017 Share Posted November 21, 2017 You coastal folks need the SST’s to cool. They are still torched. Warmer than last year at this time . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 21, 2017 Share Posted November 21, 2017 On 11/21/2017 at 12:02 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Did you think there’d be any today when you were studying 500 maps on Euro? Expand There were a few snow showers this morning..had one here...but no accumulation..unless you count some flakes on the vehicle and on roofs accumulation?? I don't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 21, 2017 Share Posted November 21, 2017 On 11/21/2017 at 12:04 AM, Damage In Tolland said: You coastal folks need the SST’s to cool. They are still torched. Warmer than last year at this time . Expand I think that’s wrong. Boston light at 50 seems normal for 11/20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 21, 2017 Share Posted November 21, 2017 On 11/21/2017 at 12:02 AM, weathafella said: Weeklies?? Old weenies must know... Expand Here you go Jerry. http://www.phillywx.com/topic/894-cfs-ggem-jma-and-euro-weeklies-thread/?do=findComment&comment=82820 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 21, 2017 Share Posted November 21, 2017 On 11/21/2017 at 12:11 AM, weathafella said: I think that’s wrong. Boston light at 50 seems normal for 11/20. Expand I saw a map today comparing the two years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 21, 2017 Share Posted November 21, 2017 On 11/21/2017 at 12:12 AM, mitchnick said: Here you go Jerry. http://www.phillywx.com/topic/894-cfs-ggem-jma-and-euro-weeklies-thread/?do=findComment&comment=82820 Expand Thanks Mitch!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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