Jump to content

  • Member Statistics

    17,910
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Gilkian8980
    Newest Member
    Gilkian8980
    Joined

Fall 2017 Model Mehham

Go Kart Mozart

By Go Kart Mozart,
in New England

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 3.1k
  • Created
  • Last Reply
CT Rain

CT Rain

Posted
Posted
  On 11/20/2017 at 2:23 AM, dendrite said:

They're adding the stratosphere and wave model data on the other site soon too. Pretty crazy what they're doing. They're giving the big middle finger to JB and JoeD'A.

Expand  

I believe they paid a fortune for it. More than the $1M or whatever wxbell had for their license that didn't allow data to be distributed beyond their client base. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
weathafella

weathafella

Posted
Posted
  On 11/20/2017 at 11:28 AM, mitchnick said:

A hunch. Could be wrong,  but wx info is a product like anything else.  I think the internet has shown that business as usual is always subject to change. Traditional models like accuwx, Wxbell,  etc. are ripe for attack I would think.

Expand  

If Joerg Kachelmann can figure out an innovative way to keep it free including forums the entire wx community will migrate over there.   And vendors will need to compete.   I think no one will be paying  in the near future.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
dendrite

dendrite

Posted
Posted
  On 11/20/2017 at 12:05 PM, weathafella said:

If Joerg Kachelmann can figure out an innovative way to keep it free including forums the entire wx community will migrate over there.   And vendors will need to compete.   I think no one will be paying  in the near future.

Expand  

They could make a ton in ad revenue if they wanted. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
CoastalWx

CoastalWx

Posted
Posted
  On 11/20/2017 at 12:06 PM, LurkerBoy said:

Sleet in NYC. How's the LR looking folks?

Expand  


FHR  24| 36  48| 60  72| 84  96|108 120|132 144|156 168|180 192
MON  20| TUE 21| WED 22| THU 23| FRI 24| SAT 25| SUN 26| MON 27 CLIMO
X/N  80| 72  84| 69  84| 70  82| 68  82| 66  81| 64  79| 62  77 63 79
TMP  76| 74  78| 71  77| 73  75| 70  75| 67  74| 65  71| 63  71
DPT  66| 67  68| 68  68| 70  68| 66  65| 63  62| 59  56| 57  57
CLD  OV| OV  OV| PC  PC| OV  OV| OV  PC| PC  PC| CL  CL| CL  CL
WND  12| 10   9|  5   7|  5   9|  4   6|  5   7|  5   8|  6   9
P12  35| 58  51| 30  18| 32  51| 42  26| 28  21| 18  12|  7   9 19 18
P24    |     77|     37|     56|     52|     32|     24|     12    29
Q12   0|  2   1|  0   0|  1   2|  1   0|  1   0|  0    |
Q24    |      3|      1|      2|      1|      0|       |
T12   9| 23  22|  8  12|  7  19| 13   9|  4   4|  2   4|  2   2
T24    | 23    | 26    | 15    | 26    |  9    |  7    |  4
PZP   0|  0   0|  1   0|  0   1|  0   0|  1   1|  0   0|  0   0
PSN   0|  1   0|  0   0|  0   0|  0   0|  0   0|  3   0|  0   0
PRS   0|  0   0|  0   0|  1   0|  0   1|  0   0|  0   1|  1   0
TYP   R|  R   R|  R   R|  R   R|  R   R|  R   R|  R   R|  R   R

Link to comment
Share on other sites
mitchnick

mitchnick

Posted
Posted
  On 11/20/2017 at 12:11 PM, weathafella said:

Bingo!  One would thInk that’s the end game.

Expand  

That's what they did at YouTube to start, now they offer ad free if you pay. Pay only at YouTube seems to be the natural progression from here. Whether it gets to that point,  only time will tell. YouTube has a huge audience,  unlike weather, which is more of a niche. As a result, I think Weather.us won't have as easy a time of it like YouTube.  In the meantime,  we enjoy the free maps at the expense of Accuwx, Wxbell,  Storm Vista, and the like.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
dendrite

dendrite

Posted
Posted
  On 11/20/2017 at 12:47 PM, mitchnick said:

That's what they did at YouTube to start, now they offer ad free if you pay. Pay only at YouTube seems to be the natural progression from here. Whether it gets to that point,  only time will tell. YouTube has a huge audience,  unlike weather, which is more of a niche. As a result, I think Weather.us won't have as easy a time of it like YouTube.  In the meantime,  we enjoy the free maps at the expense of Accuwx, Wxbell,  Storm Vista, and the like.

Expand  

Pay only at Youtube will be the start of their death. Other free sites will spring up and take over. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
LurkerBoy

LurkerBoy

Posted
Posted
  On 11/20/2017 at 12:08 PM, weathafella said:

Hot, humid, popup storms most days.

Expand  

 

  On 11/20/2017 at 12:21 PM, CoastalWx said:


FHR  24| 36  48| 60  72| 84  96|108 120|132 144|156 168|180 192
MON  20| TUE 21| WED 22| THU 23| FRI 24| SAT 25| SUN 26| MON 27 CLIMO
X/N  80| 72  84| 69  84| 70  82| 68  82| 66  81| 64  79| 62  77 63 79
TMP  76| 74  78| 71  77| 73  75| 70  75| 67  74| 65  71| 63  71
DPT  66| 67  68| 68  68| 70  68| 66  65| 63  62| 59  56| 57  57
CLD  OV| OV  OV| PC  PC| OV  OV| OV  PC| PC  PC| CL  CL| CL  CL
WND  12| 10   9|  5   7|  5   9|  4   6|  5   7|  5   8|  6   9
P12  35| 58  51| 30  18| 32  51| 42  26| 28  21| 18  12|  7   9 19 18
P24    |     77|     37|     56|     52|     32|     24|     12    29
Q12   0|  2   1|  0   0|  1   2|  1   0|  1   0|  0    |
Q24    |      3|      1|      2|      1|      0|       |
T12   9| 23  22|  8  12|  7  19| 13   9|  4   4|  2   4|  2   2
T24    | 23    | 26    | 15    | 26    |  9    |  7    |  4
PZP   0|  0   0|  1   0|  0   1|  0   0|  1   1|  0   0|  0   0
PSN   0|  1   0|  0   0|  0   0|  0   0|  0   0|  3   0|  0   0
PRS   0|  0   0|  0   0|  1   0|  0   1|  0   0|  0   1|  1   0
TYP   R|  R   R|  R   R|  R   R|  R   R|  R   R|  R   R|  R   R

Expand  

5lytn.jpg

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Typhoon Tip

Typhoon Tip

Posted
Posted

I'm actually astounded at the Euro (operational) warmth across the conus.  Particularly that day 8 bulge extending out from the SW into the Plains' ...almost looks like a hybrid/prelude to a Sonora heat release, as the previous two or so days caps the SW air mass, the model thinks its May apparently ..., heats it to Hades and back, then threatens to roll it out on eastward with that Rosby reposition that's hinted (frankly) in all models for that matter.

Not sure if that's for real, but if so, would that dictate the anomaly distribution for the first half of December, or be something more transient...? I'm reeeasonably high confident few in here have noticed... could be wrong. It's subtle; I'd almost have to be in front of a monitor with an index finger in one hand, and a mouse clicking in the other to demo where/why that is.. But, a Rosby roll-out could transpire beginning shortly after TG that could tug a day or two (or more) of near record warmth.  Yet, with little present teleconnector indication for that - it's why I think transient if at all.

Anyway, +20C over Kansas ...not sure what the return rate is on that for post the ides of November, but, I got to think that is getting increasingly verified ...and by the time any such model solution would verify, it's nearing Dec 1 anyway. Canadian GGEM looks similar in that regard.  The GFS has the roll-out wave/ridging but as usual, mutes the significance of the warm air it is toting with it...but structurally it is in support. 

Meanwhile, why is the operational Euro attenuating all northern Hemisphere cold beyond D6/7 ?  It's got the general circumvallate of -16C everywhere, with small and large pockets nearing -30C as it should, then...the whole domain region in those freebie runs seems to up and modify upwards by an average of 10C.  Wouldn't it be an awesome sci-fi if the every day operational forecast models actually modeled the threshold crossing of the GW death dial - haha.  jokin' around

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Go to topic listing

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...