WNash Posted October 4, 2017 Share Posted October 4, 2017 On 10/4/2017 at 6:45 PM, Damage In Tolland said: record breaking dews Expand Next week’s peak on Mon-Tues looks like a temp in Hartford in the low-mid 70s and dews in the mid-upper 60s. Air temp of 73 and dew point of 67 yields a heat index of... 74. Good luck coping with that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted October 4, 2017 Share Posted October 4, 2017 On 10/4/2017 at 9:34 PM, WNash said: Next week’s peak on Mon-Tues looks like a temp in Hartford in the low-mid 70s and dews in the mid-upper 60s. Air temp of 73 and dew point of 67 yields a heat index of... 74. Good luck coping with that Expand The dangerous drought and dry soil may help keep the dewpoint down next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 4, 2017 Share Posted October 4, 2017 On 10/4/2017 at 9:34 PM, WNash said: Next week’s peak on Mon-Tues looks like a temp in Hartford in the low-mid 70s and dews in the mid-upper 60s. Air temp of 73 and dew point of 67 yields a heat index of... 74. Good luck coping with that Expand Instead of your continuous harassing..why not take a look and see what the 100th percentile dews are for the 2nd week of October and get back to us when you have an answer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 4, 2017 Share Posted October 4, 2017 On 10/4/2017 at 8:58 PM, WxBlue said: Huh? I see absolutely nothing of any sort to suggest severe wx. Expand Nate goes west of NE..deep tropical feed..strong cold front.. You've got an anomalous LLJ and an actual phasing of Nate's remnants with the low/trough. Euro shows a damaging wind event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 5, 2017 Share Posted October 5, 2017 On 10/4/2017 at 10:56 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Nate goes west of NE..deep tropical feed..strong cold front.. You've got an anomalous LLJ and an actual phasing of Nate's remnants with the low/trough. Euro shows a damaging wind event Expand Oh, I see. I didn't check the Euro run, but I'm pretty sure that won't verify 156 hours out with so many synoptic and mesoscale pieces in question right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 5, 2017 Share Posted October 5, 2017 On 10/4/2017 at 10:56 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Nate goes west of NE..deep tropical feed..strong cold front.. You've got an anomalous LLJ and an actual phasing of Nate's remnants with the low/trough. Euro shows a damaging wind event Expand I like how you cherry picked the 900 mb winds because the surface winds at 156 hours didn't get your up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 5, 2017 Share Posted October 5, 2017 Hows the latest runs looking on Nate? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 5, 2017 Share Posted October 5, 2017 On 10/5/2017 at 1:00 PM, dryslot said: Hows the latest runs looking on Nate? Expand Stay the course? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 5, 2017 Share Posted October 5, 2017 On 10/5/2017 at 1:25 PM, dendrite said: Stay the course? Expand If we end up with some showers it would be a win, It looks like it gets shredded as it moves north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted October 5, 2017 Share Posted October 5, 2017 On 10/4/2017 at 10:55 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Instead of your continuous harassing..why not take a look and see what the 100th percentile dews are for the 2nd week of October and get back to us when you have an answer Expand Near record dew point temps with slightly AN temps in October are an interesting footnote, but as sensible weather they don't mean much. On the other hand PWAT modeling for next Monday is above 2" so that's a pretty juicy troposphere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 On 10/5/2017 at 1:27 PM, dryslot said: If we end up with some showers it would be a win, It looks like it gets shredded as it moves north.Need more than showersSent from my XT1254 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LurkerBoy Posted October 9, 2017 Share Posted October 9, 2017 Is there any brisk light at the end of this muggy tunnel? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 9, 2017 Share Posted October 9, 2017 On 10/9/2017 at 11:56 AM, LurkerBoy said: Is there any brisk light at the end of this muggy tunnel? Expand Any significant changes look to be out beyond day 9-10 for whatever that is worth. Looks mostly above normal until then but hopefully not as humid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 10, 2017 Share Posted October 10, 2017 No worries.. Margusity delivers! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 10, 2017 Share Posted October 10, 2017 Henry Vaguecity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 10, 2017 Share Posted October 10, 2017 On 10/4/2017 at 10:56 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Nate goes west of NE..deep tropical feed..strong cold front.. You've got an anomalous LLJ and an actual phasing of Nate's remnants with the low/trough. Euro shows a damaging wind event Expand Zero wind report from SPC for yesterday and today. -shrug- Anyway... massive SE ridge dome is breaking down by Day 10 on the GEFS, but the overall ridge pattern isn't moving out anytime soon with the exception of a trough next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 12, 2017 Share Posted October 12, 2017 GW is effecting the models ... one can plainly see it - normally we get this sort of 300+ hour snow storm depiction out of a GFS operational run by the end of August... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted October 13, 2017 Share Posted October 13, 2017 GFS shows a huge cold outbreak coming in the end of October Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 13, 2017 Share Posted October 13, 2017 The AK vortex breaks down as the Pacific temporarily changes states. Almost Nino like as the forcing moves east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 13, 2017 Share Posted October 13, 2017 Euro is similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 13, 2017 Share Posted October 13, 2017 I thought you could copy images into this forum? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 13, 2017 Share Posted October 13, 2017 On 10/13/2017 at 11:41 AM, CoastalWx said: Euro is similar. Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LurkerBoy Posted October 13, 2017 Share Posted October 13, 2017 On 10/13/2017 at 11:46 AM, CoastalWx said: Expand What's this here mean fer de simpletons? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 13, 2017 Share Posted October 13, 2017 Oh, so think of the purple areas as forcing and upward motion from tropical convection. You can see how as you go forward in time, this wave moves east. It's a reason why the Pacific will change later this month into early Novie. I'm not implying anything beyond that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 13, 2017 Share Posted October 13, 2017 Maybe upward motion isn't the best way to say it..but it's basically forcing a pattern change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 14, 2017 Share Posted October 14, 2017 On 10/13/2017 at 12:19 PM, CoastalWx said: Maybe upward motion isn't the best way to say it..but it's basically forcing a pattern change. Expand What would that have looked in Nov 2011? All orange and red around 150W? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 14, 2017 Share Posted October 14, 2017 On 10/14/2017 at 12:15 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: What would that have looked in Nov 2011? All orange and red around 150W? Expand Probably. Lots of forcing way back in the IO eastward to Philippines. Cold water and easterlies were pretty far west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 14, 2017 Share Posted October 14, 2017 Wow. Scooter going blockbuster for November. With his monster Dec/Jan call, we might get a wire to wire deep winter landscape from Veterans Day onward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 14, 2017 Share Posted October 14, 2017 On 10/14/2017 at 1:41 PM, ORH_wxman said: Wow. Scooter going blockbuster for November. With his monster Dec/Jan call, we might get a wire to wire deep winter landscape from Veterans Day onward. Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 14, 2017 Share Posted October 14, 2017 On 10/14/2017 at 1:41 PM, ORH_wxman said: Wow. Scooter going blockbuster for November. With his monster Dec/Jan call, we might get a wire to wire deep winter landscape from Veterans Day onward. Expand He also said big snows for Christmas, breaking the grinch streak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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