dendrite Posted October 10, 2017 Share Posted October 10, 2017 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah the late night wedging helped. But the wiping was two rolls deep prior. I was packing the car, and commented on how steamy it felt. Straight up KEYW for EEK. His tropical garden in LCI FTW. Yeah Sunday morning was pretty nasty. I went into my garage in shorts and a tee and was a little chilly, but the windows were steamed up so I knew it would be sultry outside. I can easily tolerate high dews if the temp is relatively cool. 72/68 house = okay. 77/68 = a long night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 10, 2017 Share Posted October 10, 2017 MOS has a sneaky freeze chance at CON Friday the 13th with that high despite relatively warm 850s. That probably spells a big shallow inversion where the rad pits tickle 32F, I'm at 37F, and the 1kft+ hills are 42F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted October 11, 2017 Share Posted October 11, 2017 12 minutes ago, dendrite said: MOS has a sneaky freeze chance at CON Friday the 13th with that high despite relatively warm 850s. That probably spells a big shallow inversion where the rad pits tickle 32F, I'm at 37F, and the 1kft+ hills are 42F. It usually takes forever for my first killing frost. Places down below will be in the upper 20's and I'll still miss it. That 42F will be right on... the settlers that built my house in 1795 were smart to build up high with a south sloping exposure. Long seasons on both ends and protection from the NW wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 11, 2017 Share Posted October 11, 2017 29 minutes ago, dendrite said: MOS has a sneaky freeze chance at CON Friday the 13th with that high despite relatively warm 850s. That probably spells a big shallow inversion where the rad pits tickle 32F, I'm at 37F, and the 1kft+ hills are 42F. Not so sneaky anymore. I updated the low temp forecast to knock CON to freezing (from 37). Sorry day shift, overruled. 13 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: It usually takes forever for my first killing frost. Places down below will be in the upper 20's and I'll still miss it. That 42F will be right on... the settlers that built my house in 1795 were smart to build up high with a south sloping exposure. Long seasons on both ends and protection from the NW wind. No snow up to thy knickers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 11, 2017 Share Posted October 11, 2017 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah the late night wedging helped. But the wiping was two rolls deep prior. I was packing the car, and commented on how steamy it felt. Straight up KEYW for EEK. His tropical garden in LCI FTW. Man you guys make me thankful for the dews up here. We got up very briefly up into the mid-60s but mostly 50s/low 60s this weekend... while humid for this time of year, there's a decent sensible difference between low 60s and upper 60s to low 70s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 11, 2017 Share Posted October 11, 2017 12 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Man you guys make me thankful for the dews up here. We got up very briefly up into the mid-60s but mostly 50s/low 60s this weekend... while humid for this time of year, there's a decent sensible difference between low 60s and upper 60s to low 70s. Wedgy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 11, 2017 Share Posted October 11, 2017 Don't ever recall needing to run AC in October before...hopefully that is done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 11, 2017 Share Posted October 11, 2017 Pretty typical early October sounding with a 15.1 kft freezing level at GYX tonight... Although last night was 15.5, and the night before that 15.8 (might both be records for those 00z launches). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 11, 2017 Share Posted October 11, 2017 Is there a way way obtain archived bufkit data? I swore there was a place but can't find it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 11, 2017 Share Posted October 11, 2017 5 hours ago, weatherwiz said: Is there a way way obtain archived bufkit data? I swore there was a place but can't find it. http://mtarchive.geol.iastate.edu/2017/10/11/bufkit/ navigate back through the directory to get to a previous year. I think it goes back to 2010. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted October 11, 2017 Share Posted October 11, 2017 Don't ever recall needing to run AC in October before...hopefully that is doneMaybe again on SaturdaySent from my XT1254 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 11, 2017 Share Posted October 11, 2017 9 hours ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Don't ever recall needing to run AC in October before...hopefully that is done One more day of 70 dews Sunday..then the dew attack is over..but not the warmth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted October 11, 2017 Share Posted October 11, 2017 Monthlies so far... BOS +8.6 PVD +8.7 BDL +8.8 ORH +8.9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 11, 2017 Share Posted October 11, 2017 TORCH! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 11, 2017 Share Posted October 11, 2017 Those numbers should come down a bit if gefs is right last week of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted October 11, 2017 Share Posted October 11, 2017 32 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Those numbers should come down a bit if gefs is right last week of the month. Yeah but until then there's maybe a day or two of -1 or -2 "cold" in the next 7-10 days. But, I'm sure a month that starts out -8 is right around the corner! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 11, 2017 Share Posted October 11, 2017 6 minutes ago, snowman21 said: Yeah but until then there's maybe a day or two of -1 or -2 "cold" in the next 7-10 days. But, I'm sure a month that starts out -8 is right around the corner! The cold is in the Rockies. Lost of -5 to -7 there. It's also in Siberia. Between the ridging and leftover heat from tropicals...I'm not surprised at the torchy start on the East Coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoveSN+ Posted October 11, 2017 Share Posted October 11, 2017 It certainly has been nothing but a torch for the first 11 days of October. Another small round of rain for southern parts tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 11, 2017 Share Posted October 11, 2017 38 minutes ago, snowman21 said: Yeah but until then there's maybe a day or two of -1 or -2 "cold" in the next 7-10 days. But, I'm sure a month that starts out -8 is right around the corner! Like last month? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 11, 2017 Share Posted October 11, 2017 3 hours ago, dendrite said: http://mtarchive.geol.iastate.edu/2017/10/11/bufkit/ navigate back through the directory to get to a previous year. I think it goes back to 2010. Perfect thank you! I’m doing June 5th and 6th, 2010 so that works great!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 11, 2017 Share Posted October 11, 2017 45 minutes ago, snowman21 said: Yeah but until then there's maybe a day or two of -1 or -2 "cold" in the next 7-10 days. But, I'm sure a month that starts out -8 is right around the corner! That was the first 7-10 days of September here. -6 to -9 before the torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 11, 2017 Share Posted October 11, 2017 6 minutes ago, dendrite said: Like last month? lol you beat me to it. Last ten days of August were close to that too. We saw some serious negative departures at times this summer and I still think -3.0 for a JJA mean is pretty chilly relative to normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 11, 2017 Share Posted October 11, 2017 23 hours ago, tamarack said: Light to occasionally moderate rain 8 AM on yesterday, tapering to dz in the evening, 1.01" for cocorahs this morning. Puddles all sucked into the soil - 1.5" in 2 days, it's a nice start to perhaps make up for the deficit June 1 onward. Didn't do much to cut the deficit here, 0.55" for the total Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 11, 2017 Share Posted October 11, 2017 Bye bye Farrell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted October 11, 2017 Share Posted October 11, 2017 First 10 days of September: BDL -4.7 ORH -4.4 BDR -3.8 CON -3.3 MHT -3.0 PVD -2.6 BOS -2.2 PWM -1.3 Clearly last month's start was nothing like this month's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 11, 2017 Share Posted October 11, 2017 30 minutes ago, snowman21 said: First 10 days of September: BDL -4.7 ORH -4.4 BDR -3.8 CON -3.3 MHT -3.0 PVD -2.6 BOS -2.2 PWM -1.3 Clearly last month's start was nothing like this month's. Whatever. Most sites were well BN in those last few days of August into the first week of Sep. The point still stands. I don't care if we're running +15F so far...if the pattern is right we could still be damn cold for November. C'mon, you of all people know how extreme it can get from one month to the next. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 11, 2017 Share Posted October 11, 2017 40 minutes ago, snowman21 said: First 10 days of September: BDL -4.7 ORH -4.4 BDR -3.8 CON -3.3 MHT -3.0 PVD -2.6 BOS -2.2 PWM -1.3 Clearly last month's start was nothing like this month's. I was talking more about where I live... Look up MVL/MPV/1V4...or go August 20-Sept 10 or thereabouts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 11, 2017 Share Posted October 11, 2017 it's a fake chilly surface result ... whatever the hell that means. but, it's definitely an over-top pattern. strip away the lower tropospheric features and you're left with a historic ridge look - whether it actually is or not. the top of the ridge cresting and breaking through Ontario, and we end up with surface high moving back N of the region underneath. probably straight up down soundings from the top of the boundary layer to almost 700 mb with that. an icer in 45 days .. once we get out ... jesus, 300 hours or so? the look may change, so suggested by the long range tele modes/modalities. which of course can change... by the way ... HFD, PVD and ORH all running 8 and change over climo for the first 10 days of the month. i'm actually surprised it's not more. interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 11, 2017 Share Posted October 11, 2017 2 hours ago, dendrite said: Whatever. Most sites were well BN in those last few days of August into the first week of Sep. The point still stands. I don't care if we're running +15F so far...if the pattern is right we could still be damn cold for November. C'mon, you of all people know how extreme it can get from one month to the next. Winter cancel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 11, 2017 Share Posted October 11, 2017 Where's @CT Rain to call me out on the TDS? Seriously though, we have someone sending us damage pictures from 8/22/17 today or tomorrow. He thought the damage was a nice, straight swath so he GPSed the locations of the photos. We took a dig through the radar data and I have to say I'm not totally sure what I'm looking at. Vr shear at or below 25 knots, NROT around 0.7, environment was favorable for brief tornadoes. I was looking at BOX radar at the time, added the "tornado possible" tag to the SVR, and mentioned brief tornadoes in NWSChat. From 210z to 212z there was a low CC area that pops up around the area of concentrated damage. It is normal for the velocity couplet to be ahead of a TDS since the radar scans reflectivity first, velocity second. BUT ZDR is high (like 3.5-4 db), you would expect it to be near 0 if that's truly debris. Now there is this reflectivity spike around the freezing level that could point towards water-coated hail. That could account for lower CC and high ZDR. We sent the data to the training branch to see if they have any insight. Because if that is debris, it's around 7-8 kft and that would be bordering on significant tornado. Something you would think we'd here more about in the last two months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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